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Canadian General Election (OT) - #elxn42: October 19, 2015

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I love how the Conservatives say they're pro-defense when they've gutted support for veterans and completely ruined the procurement process for new equipment. The naval destroyer contract is how many years overdue now? And the lump sum for disabled veterans?

The F-35 was a big issue last campaign and we STILL don't have new jets =/
 

lacinius

Member
So the point still stands. Because we do, it shouldn't be debated and/or changed?


I would say there is a case to be made for respecting our history and heritage, given how little of that we do hold onto, or are taught in school... sort of like England holding onto the monarchy or not. I am specifically saying England holding onto the monarchy, and not Canada retaining the monarchy, given that in England it is all the more encompassing and defining. What else do we really have here in Canada that is just as encompassing and defining if not our English/French foundation... aside from being "Not American" of course.

However, Canada has not done itself any favours by being so horribly weak at teaching French in school. As several have pointed out in this thread, many have gone the French Immersion route and then promptly dropped it by the time they hit high school because you end up still so utterly useless at conversation. That was also my experience and basically it sounds like there have been several generations that have tried and ended up no further along. I can't help wonder about these debates if the opposite were to have occurred, having several generations by now well versed instead?
 

lupinko

Member
is this a debate?

because bilingualism is a done deal thanks to the awesome Pierre Trudeau (and also adopting the metric system LOL)

No there isn't, but Tabris is the only one trying to make it a thing. I had enough of it to be baited into it.

I'm done though since there is no debate, and I'd rather get back to the issues, hating on C-24 and posting funny Mulcair Bear or Demon Harper pics, Justin only really had musketeer Trudeau from the past.
 

lacinius

Member
No there isn't, but Tabris is the only one trying to make it a thing. I had enough of it to be baited into it.

I'm done though since there is no debate, and I'd rather get back to the issues, hating on C-24 and posting funny Mulcair Bear or Demon Harper pics, Justin only really had musketeer Trudeau from the past.


There should also be much hate for C-23, the unFair Elections Act
 

Dr.Guru of Peru

played the long game
well said,
I will take Montreal's model where everyone intermingles in harmony over Vancouver's self-segregation where various groups refuse to mix

Who wouldn't prefer harmony? What a silly statement.

Anyways, the evidence would burst your bubble. Montreal is probably the most segregated city in Canada.
 

lupinko

Member
There should also be much hate for C-23, the unFair Elections Act

Don't get me started on that, preventing Elections Canada from telling Canadians to get out and vote, uhhh really?

But then again, duuuurrr Harper and the Cons are more Liberal than the American left!!
 

Dr.Guru of Peru

played the long game
Here in Vancouver, BC the following languages are more important than French:

- Cantonese
- Mandarin
- Punjabi
- Korean
- Tagalog
- Vietnamese
- Farsi

Pretty crappy list of languages. These are all tongues that are rarely spoken as second languages. Learning one of these will open up doors for you in the ghetto or the native country. Learning French will open up doors all across Canada and the world.
 

Tiktaalik

Member
I love how the Conservatives say they're pro-defense when they've gutted support for veterans and completely ruined the procurement process for new equipment. The naval destroyer contract is how many years overdue now? And the lump sum for disabled veterans?

Speaking of how badly the Conservatives have underfunded the military, here's a great new article about how Canada's Navy is now pretty much bottom tier and incapable of anything.

http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/the-sinking-of-the-canadian-navy/

According to retired officers and naval experts, the RCN has objectively deteriorated to its lowest capability in over 40 years. But the dire state of what remains of Canada’s Navy is not fully apparent until one compares it to other nations. Last fall, Ken Hansen published an analysis in the Canadian Naval Review that did exactly that. In it, Hansen noted that, without destroyers and replenishment ships, the RCN had been dealt a crippling blow.

The loss of the destroyers means the Navy can no longer defend a formation against long-range threats, nor can it provide effective command and control. Without replenishment ships, it’s now impossible to sustain the fleet with the necessary supplies, ammunition and fuel over any distance. This, Hansen pointed out, means the RCN can no longer be considered a “medium global force projection navy.”

Naval forces can be ranked on a nine-point scale called the Todd/Lindberg classification system. At Rank 1 is the United States, whose navy is capable of “global-reach power projection.” The Canadian Forces has long aimed to maintain itself at Rank 3, which the Department of National Defence, in its planning document “Leadmark: The Navy’s Strategy for 2020,” describes as “navies that may not possess the full range of capabilities, but have a credible capacity in certain of them, and consistently demonstrate a determination to exercise them at some distance from home waters.” Without the two key abilities to provide command and control, and resupply, the RCN no longer meets this description. It is no longer a blue-water navy.

So where does the RCN rank? According to Hansen’s analysis, it is now a Rank 6 navy, only capable of “inshore coastal defence.” Other navies that share this capacity include Vietnam, North Korea and the smaller Gulf states. More robust navies that have the ability to “project forces well offshore” include Indonesia and Bangladesh. Both are developing nations, poor enough to be long-term recipients of Canadian aid.


...


Does anyone have a plan to refloat the Canadian Navy? Liberal candidate Andrew Leslie, a retired lieutenant-general and the co-chair of Justin Trudeau’s International Affairs Council, told Maclean’s the situation is a crisis, and claims that fixing the Navy would be “just about the top priority” for a Liberal government. NDP Defence Critic Jack Harris told Maclean’s “the Conservatives had known for years that HMCS Protecteur and HMCS Preserver needed replacing. Yet they delayed, and now the Navy is left scrambling to fill the gap.” Harris promised that improving Canada’s Navy would be a priority of an NDP government. The office of Minister Kenney did not return calls from Maclean’s.
 

lupinko

Member
Pretty crappy list of languages. These are all tongues that are rarely spoken as second languages. Learning one of these will open up doors for you in the ghetto or the native country. Learning French will open up doors all across Canada and the world.

I'd agree for most, but Mandarin is very important in today's world.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
Speaking of how badly the Conservatives have underfunded the military, here's a great new article about how Canada's Navy is now pretty much bottom tier and incapable of anything.

http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/the-sinking-of-the-canadian-navy/

For a party that is trying to make national security an election issue, this is pretty embarrassing. But, and this may be a stupid question, what does the navy even do? Why do we need them and all those weapons? We're not near any hostile nations (hostile to us, at least) and if anything happens to us, America would come to our rescue, right?
 
I was just about to post that Maclean's article, because it really is infuriating. I'm not even a fan of military spending, but it still feels embarrassing that one of our country's major symbolic institutions is in such a state of disrepair.

For a party that is trying to make national security an election issue, this is pretty embarrassing. But, and this may be a stupid question, what does the navy even do? Why do we need them and all those weapons? We're not near any hostile nations (hostile to us, at least) and if anything happens to us, America would come to our rescue, right?

First, your latter point is terrible: even if we are allies with the United States, I don't think anyone should feel comfortable handing over the defence of our sovereignty to another country. And that's without even considering how the United States might feel about us letting our military fall into such dire conditions. We're currently the only country in the world that's allowed to command U.S. troops, thanks to NORAD, and that's done with the expectation we even pretend to pull out own weight. I can't imagine that continues if we collectively say, "Enh, whatever, the U.S. can handle it."?

Secondly, even without the military aspect, if you read the story you'd see that having things like ships and rescue helicopters and planes means being able to rescue boaters in distress, or evacuating Canadians from war zones, or responding to ecological disasters. Just last week, they announced the rules for Shell drilling in Atlantic Canada. Do you know how much time they have to cap a blown oil well? One week. Want to know how long Shell has to do the same thing in Alaska, under some recent drilling rules the U.S. announced? 24 hours. The difference is entirely because our coast guard wouldn't be in any position to respond to a spill for that long, and even then we're heavily reliant on the Americans to help us out. Or if you want a non-abstract example, think back a few months to that oil spill into Vancouver harbour: it happened far enough away from Vancouver that it could've been stopped, but it wasn't detected because we no longer have a coast guard capable of monitoring the ocean that well.

Like I said: even if you're not in favour of military spending, it's one of those things that has uses that go far beyond defending our borders.
 
I don't know if this has been posted but goddamn it is scary.

http://i.imgur.com/8THSx2S.gifv

hqdefault.jpg
 

Azih

Member
Pretty crappy list of languages. These are all tongues that are rarely spoken as second languages. Learning one of these will open up doors for you in the ghetto or the native country. Learning French will open up doors all across Canada and the world.

I.. don't think that learning Mandarin is in any way an unwise decision.

And honestly good on the Liberals for calling out the horrific Islamophobic shit that the Conservatives have been laying out. It sucks to be a minority group used as a wedge issue.
 

SRG01

Member
I was just about to post that Maclean's article, because it really is infuriating. I'm not even a fan of military spending, but it still feels embarrassing that one of our country's major symbolic institutions is in such a state of disrepair.

First, your latter point is terrible: even if we are allies with the United States, I don't think anyone should feel comfortable handing over the defence of our sovereignty to another country. And that's without even considering how the United States might feel about us letting our military fall into such dire conditions. We're currently the only country in the world that's allowed to command U.S. troops, thanks to NORAD, and that's done with the expectation we even pretend to pull out own weight. I can't imagine that continues if we collectively say, "Enh, whatever, the U.S. can handle it."?

Secondly, even without the military aspect, if you read the story you'd see that having things like ships and rescue helicopters and planes means being able to rescue boaters in distress, or evacuating Canadians from war zones, or responding to ecological disasters. Just last week, they announced the rules for Shell drilling in Atlantic Canada. Do you know how much time they have to cap a blown oil well? One week. Want to know how long Shell has to do the same thing in Alaska, under some recent drilling rules the U.S. announced? 24 hours. The difference is entirely because our coast guard wouldn't be in any position to respond to a spill for that long, and even then we're heavily reliant on the Americans to help us out. Or if you want a non-abstract example, think back a few months to that oil spill into Vancouver harbour: it happened far enough away from Vancouver that it could've been stopped, but it wasn't detected because we no longer have a coast guard capable of monitoring the ocean that well.

Like I said: even if you're not in favour of military spending, it's one of those things that has uses that go far beyond defending our borders.

Or even soldiers helping out in disaster areas in the country, such as floods in Manitoba or even the wildfires this year in Saskatchewan.
 

gabbo

Member
You want this Government to start building ships after the F-35 disaster? When has Canada ever had a navy capable of projecting power abroad?

If you take our current prime minister's word for it, since 2006.
Otherwise, I don't think most Canadians don't care about being seen as a military powerhouse, and would much prefer the peace keeping we had in the 90s
 

Tiktaalik

Member
It's not even projecting power abroad it's just even a bit offshore.

If you read the full article it pretty much states that Canada cannot even defend its Arctic claims at all. It seems possible that Canada could be forced into giving up its offshore arctic seabed claims (and all the resources that go along with it) to Russia simply because Canada has no presence there and nothing to back up its claims. I'm not a saber rattler at all and I don't care for military matters generally, but that's a net negative to Canadians.
 

Hilti92

Member
You want this Government to start building ships after the F-35 disaster? When has Canada ever had a navy capable of projecting power abroad?
The ship building contract my province was awarded is a waste of money. I'm someone who directly benefits from NS winning it and I'm against it. The money would have been a benefit elsewhere. Also, Irving is an absolute shit company.
 
For whatever reason, I'm always trying to put Canada-GAF on suicide watch.

While it's not great, compare that to the last election:
CPC 44
LPC 25
NDP 26

If the Conservatives vote drops by 7 points, that could have a pretty major impact, depending on where the drop is. Though Nanos also finds the Greens at 2x what they got the last election; as much as I like May, I have a hard time imagining them drawing that much of the vote this time around.
 
Where do you think Commander Dickhead is dumping his hundreds of millions in campaign money?

Liberals are the Conservatives main competitor in Ontario, that is the only reason why Conservatives continue to attack Trudeau despite the NDP having a better national lead.

Conservatives are targeting key ridings instead of going national

Liberals doing badly = Conservatives win because of Ontario.

Liberals need certain amount of support enough to have the Conservatives downgrade to minority or NPD minority
 

Silexx

Member
I'm just thinking out loud here, but I wonder how the Blue Jays' surging will affect this election. I mean they are attracting record numbers in viewers and is prime real estate for political ads. Might be a Freakonomics study in the making.
 

Azih

Member
It really does seem like the Conservatives are replaying the last election where Jack Layton's surge led to Conservatives winning split ridings. Hold their base + win split ridings in Ontario is the strategy.
 

maharg

idspispopd
And here's the weekly reminder that Nanos only polled 250 (presumably about 65 of them in Ontario) people total in the last week and then mixed in results from the prior 3 weeks to get their results.
 
And here's the weekly reminder that Nanos only polled 250 (presumably about 65 of them in Ontario) people total in the last week and then mixed in results from the prior 3 weeks to get their results.

Their numbers are kind of all over the place. Liberals and NDP tied in the Prairies (AB/SK/MB), Liberals ahead of Conservatives in BC. Not sure if those two make sense.
 
Their numbers are kind of all over the place. Liberals and NDP tied in the Prairies (AB/SK/MB), Liberals ahead of Conservatives in BC. Not sure if those two make sense.

There is something sketchy about their polling methods for sure. In the prairies it goes CPC, NDP, LPC, with the LPC being fairly behind because of results in AB and SK.

I think it's to do with smaller sample sizes combined with poor demographic reach/interpretation.
 
Their numbers are kind of all over the place. Liberals and NDP tied in the Prairies (AB/SK/MB), Liberals ahead of Conservatives in BC. Not sure if those two make sense.

I'd like to think that Trudeau's wooing of Western Canada is paying dividends all at once...but yeah, I'm a little skeptical.


Also, BC voters have an obligation to vote for this guy. Viewtiful, that's you, right? You have to move to this riding.
 
the long campaign will help Justin get a boost.

Harper is going all full Republican with terror this, drugs that, crime everyone go to jail (avoiding the economy)
 

maharg

idspispopd
I'd like to think that Trudeau's wooing of Western Canada is paying dividends all at once...but yeah, I'm a little skeptical.


Also, BC voters have an obligation to vote for this guy. Viewtiful, that's you, right? You have to move to this riding.

This is the thing about this fucking 4 week roll. For all you know what you're actually seeing is a bump from 2 weeks ago that was being hidden by a particularly bad result 4 weeks ago that just rolled off, that has since dissipated.

It's absolutely baffling that anyone would do this kind of thing.
 
New poll from Ipsos:

NDP 33 (-1)
CPC 31 (-2)
LPC 28 (+3)

The worrisome numbers for Harper: 56% say the country is on the "wrong track", compared to 57% who said it was on the "right track" during the 2011 election campaign. On top of that, 69% say they want a change in leadership. And there's room for that to get worse, too, since "more than eight in 10 respondents (and almost six in 10 Conservative supporters) said they either strongly or somewhat agree the incumbent prime minister should participate in the consortium debates."

In other news, Mulcair has explained his debate position a little more: they're classifying the U of T/Munk Debate in Toronto as a "bilingual" debate. So he's doing that "bilingual" one (which, again, is in Toronto for the University of Toronto) and then the French TVA one.

EDIT: Sorry, the Munk Debate is with U of T, not Globe and Mail. The G&M and Google debates are both up in the air, with Mulcair now begging Harper to do them so he can go back on his decision to skip them.
 
New poll from Ipsos:

NDP 33 (-1)
CPC 31 (-2)
LPC 28 (+3)

The worrisome numbers for Harper: 56% say the country is on the "wrong track", compared to 57% who said it was on the "right track" during the 2011 election campaign. On top of that, 69% say they want a change in leadership. And there's room for that to get worse, too, since "more than eight in 10 respondents (and almost six in 10 Conservative supporters) said they either strongly or somewhat agree the incumbent prime minister should participate in the consortium debates."

In other news, Mulcair has explained his debate position a little more: they're classifying the Globe & Mail/Munk Debate in Toronto as a "bilingual" debate. So he's doing that "bilingual" one (which, again, is in Toronto for the G&M) and then the French TVA one.

hmmm, Id say that's even more justification for a coalition even if the Conservatives end up with the most seats.
 
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