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Canadian General Election (OT) - #elxn42: October 19, 2015

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ksharp right now

crying-money-woody-harrelson-zombieland.gif
All the way to the offshore bank account.
 

mo60

Member
Kelowna going Liberal is the most insane result of the election.

The conservatives vote collapsed a bit in BC this election. There seat count dropped by like more 50%.This allowed the liberals and ndp to sneak in and get some seats that would usually be impossible for them to get like Kelowna.
 

maharg

idspispopd
I think people are finally going to get a decent answer to the question "how are they different, anyhow?" When C-51 amending comes up, I expect (in both the imperative sense and in terms of prediction) the NDP to make a really strong case for why it should just be scrapped rather than altered. When PR comes up, I expect the NDP to be the voice against half-measures like AV. And I really hope they still push hard to expand health coverage to areas it isn't currently covered, like drug plans (seriously, I know people who are literally made poor by having to pay for drugs).

Has that helped him at all? The Supreme Court does its job well and properly as far as I know. I haven't noticed any partisan garbage like in America.

To expand, supreme court judges are appointed from lower courts. Namely, the provincial courts of queen's bench, which the PM also appoints. One of the reasons Harper hasn't been able to appoint hard line right wingers to the Supreme Court is because the Liberals had appointment powers for basically all of the last half century. Now Harper has had 10 years to get some right wingers into lower courts, and this is eventually going to hamper the choices of a Liberal PM like Trudeau the same way it did Harper.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
Wow, my riding in Winnipeg (Elmwood-Transcona) has been crazy close all night. All the votes have been counted, and it looks like the NDP candidate defeated the Conservative incumbent by 51 votes!

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/sp...na/Elmwood---Transcona-results-334347131.html

cTC0icE.jpg


With this late result, all of Winnipeg is non-Conservative.

Holy shit! Yay!!!!

edit: That's closer than I expected. I'm glad that I made sure to get all the eligible voters in my house to vote (and for the right party)! I feel like I made a difference. :)
 

Pandaman

Everything is moe to me
Today at work it was nothing but old people complaining about Trudeau appealing to young people and potheads that don't pay taxes.

tomorrow at work should be an excellent day.
 

Tabris

Member
I listened to the speech multiple times to transcribe this for another thread, but here is one of the most beautiful statements I've heard from a modern politician for you to enjoy:

"I want you to think about one (story) in particular. Last week, I met a young Mom in St.Catherines Ontario. She practices the Muslim faith and was wearing a hijab. She made her way through the crowd and handed me her infant daughter. And as she leaned forward, she said something that I will never forget, she said she was voting for us because she wanted to make sure that her little girl has the right to make her own choices in life, and her government will protect those rights."

"To her, I say this, you and your fellow citizens, have chosen a new government. A government that believes deeply in the diversity of our country. We know in our bones that Canada was built by people from all corners of the world, that worship every faith, that belong to every culture, that speak every language."

"We believe in our hearts that this country's unique diversity is a blessing bestowed upon us by previous generations of Canada. Canadians that stared down prejudice and fought discrimination in all it's forms. We know our enviable and inclusive society didn't happen by accident and won't continue without effort. I've always known this, and Canadians know this too, and if not, I would have given another speech today."

"Have faith in your fellow citizens my friends. They are kind and generous, they are open-minded and optimistic, and they know in their heart of hearts, that a Canadian is a Canadian is a Canadian."
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
Globe and Mail said:
Mr. Trudeau cannily allowed his opponents to lower expectations about him

no he didn't, he was subject to a multi-year attack campaign calling him a rockstar barbie by the party the Globe and Mail endorsed

Globe and Mail said:
The Liberal platform also successfully countered the Conservatives’ fearful message that voting for anyone other than the incumbents meant putting the economy at risk.

What fearful message? The fearful message the Globe and Mail endorsed when they said: "Canada needs a change. It also needs the maintenance of many aspects of the economic status quo... It is not time for the Conservatives to go... In an election about the economy, the Conservatives might have won, and would have deserved to"

But the real winners of this long election campaign were Canadians. They had ample opportunity to consider and reconsider their votes, and make an informed choice.

The informed choice they made was not the choice the Globe and Mail endorsed

Mr. Trudeau is inheriting a weak economy while entertaining big domestic ambitions

A weak economy created by the party the Globe and Mail endorsed for their economic vision when they said "On that score, the Conservative Party has a solid record. Hardly perfect but, relatively speaking, better than most. "

The party he leaves behind, despite holding nearly one-third of the seats in the House of Commons, holds limited appeal beyond its existing minority of voters.

Really, that's interesting, because the Globe and Mail endorsed that party knowing it apparently had no appeal beyond a minority of voters

The Tory brand is still strong on fiscal matters and the economy

Mr. Trudeau is inheriting a weak economy

Again, reminder that the Globe and Mail endorsed the Conservatives on the basis of their strong economic policy.
 

Sean C

Member
To expand, supreme court judges are appointed from lower courts. Namely, the provincial courts of queen's bench, which the PM also appoints. One of the reasons Harper hasn't been able to appoint hard line right wingers to the Supreme Court is because the Liberals had appointment powers for basically all of the last half century. Now Harper has had 10 years to get some right wingers into lower courts, and this is eventually going to hamper the choices of a Liberal PM like Trudeau the same way it did Harper.
Eh, there are still plenty of Liberal appointees around (and plenty of Harper's appointments are perfectly fine, anyway, perhaps in spite of himself), and Trudeau will soon be making plenty of judicial appointments of his own.

I listened to the speech multiple times to transcribe this for another thread, but here is one of the most beautiful statements I've heard from a modern politician for you to enjoy:
In a speech where Trudeau was wisely aiming for conciliation on the whole, I thought the anecdote about the Muslim woman and her child was very subtly lacerating.
 

Divvy

Canadians burned my passport
In a speech where Trudeau was wisely aiming for conciliation on the whole, I thought the anecdote about the Muslim woman and her child was very subtly lacerating.

Well, to be fair, it's only lacerating to the mysogynists and the racists.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
He still essentially wasted 10 seats in Parliament

Seriously, does the bloc actually do anything? .
I don't think anyone will be able do anything with a Liberal majority so it doesn't matter.
The NDP is now tied for the second best result in an election now. At least it wasn't a complete wipeout like the Liberals last election.Their popular vote is still lower than that election were they also got 43 seats.I hope they do better next time.
Yeah, I'm pretty okay with this result. I didn't really expect them to do well after seeing the polls so I am relieved that they didn't completely collapse. They're back to 2008 levels and can work from there. Not a big deal for the NDP.
I don't expect the House of Commons to meet before the New Year (and in any event, it takes time to draft bills, etc., so rushing the House into session wouldn't serve much purpose), but things I'd like to see Trudeau announce quickly would include the appointment of his Senate advisory panel. I'm sure he'll want to get the Senate back up to full strength in time for the next session of Parliament, as I'm sure he'll have plenty of legislation to pass.
I just remembered that. That was one of the things that I preferred about Trudeau compared to Mulcair. I think that his solution is worth trying before tearing down the senate. If the senate can act like the Supreme Court, it can be useful.
 

Pandaman

Everything is moe to me
You work with some.... less than well opinionated people.
I know, it's going to be great.
On the way home someone stopped me asking where the polls were and then ranted about kathleen wynne shoving sex education and transexuals down childrens throats.
 

Cynar

Member
Wow, my riding in Winnipeg (Elmwood-Transcona) has been crazy close all night. All the votes have been counted, and it looks like the NDP candidate defeated the Conservative incumbent by 51 votes!

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/sp...na/Elmwood---Transcona-results-334347131.html

cTC0icE.jpg


With this late result, all of Winnipeg is non-Conservative.
that's a good enema that Winnipeg received along with Canada. Congrats.
BTW in case you were wondering, voting reform is dead
So much pessimism
 

Divvy

Canadians burned my passport
You mistake my point, I was applauding that. He was subtly but quite upfrontly conveying the inhumanity of the CPC's wedge politics.

Oh I know, and I agree. I was just pointing out the fact that such an issue even exists shows how low the conservatives sunk this election.
 

Leeness

Member
At a certain point I just don't want to be wrong lol.

Honestly it's remarkable how well the Liberals have done in this riding.

It's purely due to Trudeau. The Conseratives really didn't let Watts run on her record.

We still couldn't make it though... Very disappointing.
 

Sean C

Member
I just remembered that. That was one of the things that I preferred about Trudeau compared to Mulcair. I think that his solution is worth trying before tearing down the senate. If the senate can act like the Supreme Court, it can be useful.
I try to be fair-minded about policy, and the NDP's platform was on the whole one that I would have been fine seeing enacted in government. But the Senate is one area where I will unequivocally say the Liberals had not just the better plan, but the only realistic plan. Senate abolition isn't happening; several premiers (including Wade MacLauchlan, my boss) have made it clear that it's a non-starter, as far as they're concerned. So regardless of whether it's a good idea or not, it isn't happening. And refusing to appoint anybody, as both the Tories and NDP were saying they'd do for the foreseeable future, is a flagrant breach of the constitutional duty to fill those seats (as the courts would have had to rule eventually, had it come to that).
 

Tiktaalik

Member
I'm enormously excited to see Harper out, but I fundamentally hate Majority governments, so it's quite a bitter sweet victory to me.

I don't expect i'll be pleased by this government, but I'm hopeful and have an open mind.
 

UberTag

Member
Down to 6 contested ridings. I'm still in the dark on two of them (one being led by a Liberal, the other by a Conservative).

The four I know about are...

Burnaby South
Calgary Centre
Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
Kenora
 

Mailbox

Member
I know, it's going to be great.
On the way home someone stopped me asking where the polls were and then ranted about kathleen wynne shoving sex education and transexuals down childrens throats.

As someone who started learning sed ed in school (mostly anatomy and stuff) in grade 5, that makes me sad.
 
A few more things before I call it a night

1. I hope the NDP can hold on to the few areas they still have the lead in. Disappointed with how badly they did today.
2. Bloc does not deserve 10 seats.
3. gutter_trash has earned his vindication. Still can't believe that Liberal's got a majority.
4. My hopes for electoral reform have dropped considerably. Maybe the Liberal's will still plan to reform the electoral process but with the majority, I doubt it.
5. Harper is no longer PM and in the end, that's all that matters.

And with that I bid you all a good night and that tomorrow will bring a new era for Canada.
 
crossing into Provincial lines. Pierre-Karl Peladeau placed all his bets behind the Bloc and Duceppe and has egg on his face.


The Bloc scored lower this time in the popular vote (despite increasing their seat count) while Duceppe himself loses in his riding.

PKP is not a in a good position to propel the PQ in the future, no matter what unpopular policies and cuts the Provincial Liberals do.

** (Quebec Liberals are not affiliated to the Federal Liberals)
 

Azzanadra

Member
I don't think anyone will be able do anything with a Liberal majority so it doesn't matter.

Yeah, I'm pretty okay with this result. I didn't really expect them to do well after seeing the polls so I am relieved that they didn't completely collapse. They're back to 2008 levels and can work from there. Not a big deal for the NDP.

I just remembered that. That was one of the things that I preferred about Trudeau compared to Mulcair. I think that his solution is worth trying before tearing down the senate. If the senate can act like the Supreme Court, it can be useful.

I think its a big deal. Its not like the second coming of Layton is just going to appear anytime soon. Mulcair is staying on as leader, and I hope he reverts back to Angry Tom. He kind of reminded me of Stannis Baratheon, and that's a man I would follow.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
You mistake my point, I was applauding that. He was subtly but quite upfrontly conveying the inhumanity of the CPC's wedge politics.

He's been doing that for his entire campaign and I really appreciate it. Defending Muslims is politically dangerous in the U.S. You have to walk on egg shells and choose your words carefully. I'm glad that Trudeau took a strong stance against Harper's hate and without dancing around with his wording. It's pushed the nation and political discourse away from where the U.S. is.

Now that I think about it, I really like Trudeau. He's campaigned well and has me sold on him, moreso than Mulcair. I prefer the NDP but I'd rather have Trudeau as Prime Minister.
I still wish it was a minority.
 

Sean C

Member
Holy shit, the Liberals might get four seats in Alberta:

1. Darshan Kang has been elected in Calgary-Skyview.

2. With all polls in, Amarjeet Sohi leads in Edmonton-Mill Woods by...80 votes. Recount, but that seems like a win.

3. Kent Hehr leads in Calgary Centre by around 500 votes, with 10 polls left.

4. Randy Boissonnault leads in Edmonton Centre by about 1000 votes, with 12 polls left.

This would be the biggest Liberal class from Alberta since 1993, and these guys were all elected with absolutely no vote-splitting (or, perhaps, the vote-splitting being between the Liberals and NDP). Damn.
 

SRG01

Member
It's not regularly polled, but most of the polls over the last year have the Liberals at about 60 and the Tories at about 30. This will translate to maybe 32-34 seats for the Liberals to 10-12 for the PCs, and 4-ish for the NDP.

Here's the story
- Party politics in Newfoundland are barely ideological. The Liberals are not meaningfully left of the PCs, there's no ideological content in disagreements, platforms are not strongly ideological. So if you're a federal Liberal, there's no clear pattern as to who you ought vote in Newfoundland. The provincial PCs (not Conservatives) have historically really hated the federal conservatives under Harper.
- Danny Williams retires with supermajoritarian support
- The PCs select Kathy Dunderdale as leader. Oil tanks, province's economy tanks, she's an awful leader, she has no party support, and she passes a law to limit access to information because ???? fuck the press and the people ???
- Liberals lose Yvonne Jones (their somewhat popular leader) to federal politics (she got re-elected tonight)
- The NDP (polling around the same as the Liberals) self-immolates over party infighting caused by the provincial leader sucking and failing to attract candidates leading to half the party quitting and every federal figure decline to come save the party
- Dunderdale gets unceremoniously tossed out after riding a slide in the polls to basically nothing.
- Temporary Premier is Tom Marshall, he's a caretaker guy. He reverses some of Dunderdale's mess, but can't move mountains.
- PCs have a leadership race. One of three candidates is tossed out after being an open racist and not a PC. The guy who wins, but quits before he becomes the leader (partly after news coverage pointing out that he's an ardent pro-lifer).
- PCs have another leadership race, pick Paul Davis. He's been a competent premier doing the best he can with a tumultuous economy. He's going to get bounced in a few weeks but he deserves a lot of credit and this is very much a case of a good guy having bad timing.
- Liberals select Dwight Ball, who is also a very competent, quiet guy. Not super charismatic or a wonderful leader, but a hard worker and well liked. He'll be premier in a few weeks.

That honestly sounds worse than what the Alberta PCs went through the past few years. Yikes.

Edit: omg Sohi is leading Millwoods?! Woooooooo!!!
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
4 if they follow the fixed election date act. Which they don't have to.

And shouldn't, tbqh. I think 4 is a slightly better length than 5, but fixed dates serve barely any purpose and are basically institutionally incompatible with the system of parliamentary confidence :p
 

bishoptl

Banstick Emeritus
I voted NDP - and Don Davies actually won in my riding - I'm pretty pleased with how this evening turned out. Anything to get rid of this festering boil of a Prime Minister, despite it being 10 years too late. I have an innate distrust of majority governments, but I can live with Trudeau at the reins.

A great night overall.
 
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