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Canadian General Election (OT) - #elxn42: October 19, 2015

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LET ME BE CLEAR
 

Tiktaalik

Member
Trudeau's closing statement baffling to me as I find Mulcair's platform of switching voting systems, a new national childcare system and destroying the senate (!!!) to be incredibly ambitious.
 
That whole thing was just abysmal. I think Trudeau got in some good lines, and I felt like he did a good job of differentiating himself from the other two, but I can't imagine anyone could've watched that and been informed on much.

Trudeau's closing statement baffling to me as I find Mulcair's platform of switching voting systems, a new national childcare system and destroying the senate (!!!) to be incredibly ambitious.

Only one of those actually relates to the economy, and the platform the NDP put out today made it clear that they're not planning on having childcare until 2020 at the earliest.

So when are we getting some French debates anyways?

First week of October -- TVA only. And allegedly Munk will have "bilingual elements". No idea what's going on with the consortium debates.
 
That whole thing was just abysmal. I think Trudeau got in some good lines, and I felt like he did a good job of differentiating himself from the other two, but I can't imagine anyone could've watched that and been informed on much.

I disagree.

I think all three actually did a decent job articulating themselves even though Trudeau had some flaky moments.
 

Parch

Member
Lots of talking points so I don't really think anything was accomplished tonight.

Other than finding out that Trudeau is an irrational boob. He's not doing the Liberals any good. Mulcair was much more controlled and focused, but should have been targeting Harper more. Harper said little and showed his calm experience, fully willing to let the others argue.
 

Tiktaalik

Member
National Childcare is probably the top policy plank from all parties that would most kickstart the economy. It creates childcare jobs and also allows people to go back to work, which increases productivity.
 
A rich white guy who spends most of his time in the US...

Sounds exactly like Harper's demographic.

I think Walter Gretzky is a big Con supporter as well.

His cousin Al is a resident crazy in London who routinely runs for the "freedom party". I played some very low stakes poker with him once. Nice guy.
 

Kifimbo

Member
A rich white guy who spends most of his time in the US...

Sounds exactly like Harper's demographic.

I think Walter Gretzky is a big Con supporter as well.

What about Donald Sutherland, Neil Young and Leonard Cohen ? What about Rachel McAdams and Ellen Page ? Rich white people who spend most of their time in the US.
 

Kinitari

Black Canada Mafia
I was honestly under the impression that NDP was supposed to be more 'to the left' than the liberals, but it didn't really seem like it from this debate, am I wrong in either of these assessments guys?
 

Tiktaalik

Member
I was honestly under the impression that NDP was supposed to be more 'to the left' than the liberals, but it didn't really seem like it from this debate, am I wrong in either of these assessments guys?

With their national childcare pledge, the NDP is the only party advocating an expansion of the welfare state. They are certainly the most left wing party.
 

Kinitari

Black Canada Mafia
With their national childcare pledge, the NDP is the only party advocating an expansion of the welfare state. They are certainly the most left wing party.

That's true, and he also mentioned the 15 dollar minimum wage - something I've heard in passing but not actually looked into, I should. I think what threw me was the anti-deficit position, and Trudeau's talk about '1%' tax increasing and reducing taxes for the middle wage just sounds like 'left leaning' to me - but I need to probably think about it broader than that.
 

mo60

Member
Did not like how that debate was run and here are my thoughts on it.I seriously don't know happened with trudeau in this debate. He was way to aggressive and trying to sound like he was in parliament instead of in an actual debate. He also tried to pull off one liners a lot or tried to find stuff to sink his opponents with especially in the first part of the debate. Mulcair had the same issue(too agressive at times), but it was not as bad as trudeau and he actually sounded prime ministerial at times. He did make mistakes at times also.Harper was a bit repetitive at times and I still think he's weak on the environment, but he actually acted calm and cool a lot more than the other two . I think mulcair barely edged(1%-3% difference) out harper in this debate while trudeau did pretty bad.
 

Azih

Member
I was honestly under the impression that NDP was supposed to be more 'to the left' than the liberals, but it didn't really seem like it from this debate, am I wrong in either of these assessments guys?

The NDP is way more centrist than it used to be that's true, but in addition to the childcare pledge they're also by far the most committed reformers with voting system reform.

Trudeau is trying to shed his too young too green image

Harper is trying to seem like the only Prime Ministerial option

Mulcair is trying to strike a balance between being Prime Ministerial and being an agent of true change.
 

diaspora

Member
That's true, and he also mentioned the 15 dollar minimum wage - something I've heard in passing but not actually looked into, I should. I think what threw me was the anti-deficit position, and Trudeau's talk about '1%' tax increasing and reducing taxes for the middle wage just sounds like 'left leaning' to me - but I need to probably think about it broader than that.

There is no $15 minimum wage plan from the NDP.
 

Tiktaalik

Member
I was writing a response to your post before the debate started but held off posting because I knew the debate would accelerate the thread speed and you might miss it, so here it is:

A general thing I have observed (possibly incorrectly) is that the liberal party seems to be the ones with the most robust plans - the NDP not quite as good and the conservatives/green seemingly even more idealistic and unrealistic. I think what appeals to me about the liberal party platform is that it seems both the most realistic, and very progressive - but I don't know if this is just my gut speaking.

I agree that the Liberal plan is the most realistic and easy to immediately implement, however I don't really consider the Liberal platform to be all that progressive. I'd consider the most progressive platform to be the one that does the most to help the poorest, not just which one taxes the rich the most. The Liberal's "middle class" tax cut for example simply moves money from the top 1% to the top 10%, so I don't really see this as a progressive move that would help most Canadians. I think the one promise from all parties that would do the most to help low income Canadians would be the NDP's National Childcare Plan.

More specifically, things like the discussion on first past the post, and how the liberals are adamant about abolishing it, and switching to ranked ballots really appeals to me - the NDP are a bit vague on what to do here, but not in a bad way more in a "We need to do more research way" which I can somewhat appreciate, the conservatives obviously want to keep it in place for obvious reasons.

From what I've read it's more the reverse, with the Liberal Party holding the vaguer stance of stating that they'd form a committee to investigate reform, and the NDP being concrete that they will switch to Proportional Representation if they win. The NDP already put a bill to switch to PR before Parliament. Trudeau voted against it as he personally favours ranked ballots. I know there are other posters that are very into this issue and they may chime in with more info. This organization contacted each MP and asked them what their opinion on FPTP was. In many cases the only responses were from NDP and Green candidates.

Liberals are also very vocal about wanting to spend during this recession, as opposed to the 'balance the budget' language I am hearing from Cs and NDPs - which is not particularly useful, as far as I understand.

I'm a big proponent of increased infrastructure spending, and I think the Liberals have the right view that it's ok to be comfortable going into deficit in order to invest. However I would like to hear a lot more from them about the nature and type of their investments. Without more details I feel like they're just trying to bamboozle me with big numbers (which aren't really even that big in the grand scheme of our $279 billion budget).

I wouldn't consider it left wing or right wing to advocate for increased investment in infrastructure in general so just announcing more funding is not enough to put me at ease that that funding will go to the right priorities. Infrastructure spending eventually boils down to pork barrel politics and great photo ops, so it's something that all parties really like. For example we saw the Conservatives announce over $2 billion for public transit in Calgary this year.

I'd like to hear a lot more detail from the Liberals and the NDP both about the policies behind their infrastructure plans. For example money for "affordable housing" is a great thing to promise, but there's a huge difference between a plan that is focusing on subsidized housing for low income Canadians and the hard to house, and a plan that would be no strings attached tax breaks for developers to build rental housing regardless of whether its sub-market, market or luxury housing. Depending on how it's focused infrastructure funding can intrench expensive, unsustainable urban development, or help lift people out of poverty. Details matter.
 

Kinitari

Black Canada Mafia
I seriously don't know happened with trudeau in this debate. He was way to aggressive and trying to sound like he was in parliament instead of in an actual debate. He also tried to pull off one liners a lot or tried to find stuff to sink his opponents with especially in the first part of the debate. Mulcair had the same issue(too agressive at times), but it was not as bad as trudeau and he actually sounded prime ministerial at times. He did make mistakes at times also.Harper was a bit repetitive at times and I still think he's weak on the environment, but he actually acted calm . I think mulcair barely edged(1%-3% difference) out harper in this debate while trudeau did pretty bad.

Yeah, I haven't really watched Trudeau talk a lot but he didn't act in a way that I expected him to act - I felt like he was trying to skirt the line between "I am rising above mud slinging" and "I'm not some soft spoken guy who doesn't seem tough like a PM". He ended up saying "I'm being honest, these two guys are being politicians" while then also using the same talking points over and over in an almost comically predictable way, like a politician would. His attempt to seem adult seemed almost... exasperated, like he was out of breath trying to keep it up. Maybe that's a bit unfair.

I generally like the liberal platform more than NDP, but Mulcair is better at playing politician than Trudeau, I think. Maybe I need to see them both speak more though.
 
Some interesting background on the usage of "Old Stock Canadians". Spoiler: Stormfront is the top result (or was -- I imagine now Harper's going to get that honour).

National Childcare is probably the top policy plank from all parties that would most kickstart the economy. It creates childcare jobs and also allows people to go back to work, which increases productivity.

...except, again, the NDP platform released today said that they wouldn't be implementing National Childcare until 2020, and that was based on some pretty wildly optimistic growth and oil price assumptions (plus getting the provinces to kick in billions on new spending). If it's really going to kickstart the economy, why wait 4+ years?
 

Kinitari

Black Canada Mafia
I was writing a response to your post before the debate started but held off posting because I knew the debate would accelerate the thread speed and you might miss it, so here it is:



I agree that the Liberal plan is the most realistic and easy to immediately implement, however I don't really consider the Liberal platform to be all that progressive. I'd consider the most progressive platform to be the one that does the most to help the poorest, not just which one taxes the rich the most. The Liberal's "middle class" tax cut for example simply moves money from the top 1% to the top 10%, so I don't really see this as a progressive move that would help most Canadians. I think the one promise from all parties that would do the most to help low income Canadians would be the NDP's National Childcare Plan.

I think my problem here is I am being a little bit too self centered, as I don't have a kid, I almost always forget about the national childcare plan - that's something I need to read a lot more about, I think that's something that can help a lot of people out.
From what I've read it's more the reverse, with the Liberal Party holding the vaguer stance of stating that they'd form a committee to investigate reform, and the NDP being concrete that they will switch to Proportional Representation if they win. The NDP already put a bill to switch to PR before Parliament. Trudeau voted against it as he personally favours ranked ballots. I know there are other posters that are very into this issue and they may chime in with more info. This organization contacted each MP and asked them what their opinion on FPTP was. In many cases the only responses were from NDP and Green candidates.
I think re-reading both platforms, I see where you're coming from. The strong "last time we'll have first past the post" language on the liberal website blinded me to the second half the statement essentially saying "but we don't know what will replace it". Where the NDP's statement is a little lighter in the front end but is much clearer about where they want to be.


I'm a big proponent of increased infrastructure spending, and I think the Liberals have the right view that it's ok to be comfortable going into deficit in order to invest. However I would like to hear a lot more from them about the nature and type of their investments. Without more details I feel like they're just trying to bamboozle me with big numbers (which aren't really even that big in the grand scheme of our $279 billion budget).

I wouldn't consider it left wing or right wing to advocate for increased investment in infrastructure in general so just announcing more funding is not enough to put me at ease that that funding will go to the right priorities. Infrastructure spending eventually boils down to pork barrel politics and great photo ops, so it's something that all parties really like. For example we saw the Conservatives announce over $2 billion for public transit in Calgary this year.

These are all really useful thoughts, I really appreciate them, things I need to consider more.

I'd like to hear a lot more detail from the Liberals and the NDP both about the policies behind their infrastructure plans. For example money for "affordable housing" is a great thing to promise, but there's a huge difference between a plan that is focusing on subsidized housing for low income Canadians and the hard to house, and a plan that would be no strings attached tax breaks for developers to build rental housing regardless of whether its sub-market, market or luxury housing. Depending on how it's focused infrastructure funding can intrench expensive, unsustainable urban development, or help lift people out of poverty. Details matter.

I think housing is a big deal to me, as I am finally in a place in my life where I have strong employment and a dual income, and I need to start seriously considering where I stand on home ownership.

The NDP is way more centrist than it used to be that's true, but in addition to the childcare pledge they're also by far the most committed reformers with voting system reform.

Trudeau is trying to shed his too young too green image

Harper is trying to seem like the only Prime Ministerial option

Mulcair is trying to strike a balance between being Prime Ministerial and being an agent of true change.

I almost forgot Harper was there most of the time, I wonder if that's because I don't care that much for him, or if that's something that was more objectively felt.

There is no $15 minimum wage plan from the NDP.

Hrm, can you elaborate? Mulcair was talking about it a lot near the beginning of the debate, no? Was I mishearing/understanding?
 

Tiktaalik

Member
Honestly no party has a good stance on housing.

No party is going to advocate anything different than the status quo. To do otherwise would be advocating lowering the value of Canadians' assets, which is political suicide.

The bubble is going to pop eventually and whoever happens to be in power when it happens is going to get fucked hard.
 
Hrm, can you elaborate? Mulcair was talking about it a lot near the beginning of the debate, no? Was I mishearing/understanding?

They're promising a $15 minimum wage on federally regulated jobs -- so not people working minimum wage in the service industry. As Trudeau said, that doesn't apply to 99%+ of Canadians, and most credible analysts estimate that fewer than 30,000 people would actually get more money out of it.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
Hrm, can you elaborate? Mulcair was talking about it a lot near the beginning of the debate, no? Was I mishearing/understanding?
You didn't mishear. Mulcair is raising the federal minimum wage to $15. I think this only affects people employed by the federal government who are making below $15, which I don't believe is a lot. Mulcair says that it will affect hundreds of thousands, some posters here said it will only affect thousands. Either way, it doesn't sound very useful to me. Mulcair did say tonight that he will try to get provinces to do the same but it's the first I've heard of that.
 

Tiktaalik

Member
The big impact of the $15 min wage on fed employees is that it gives provincial opposition parties, and unions leverage in arguing for a $15 wage in their jurisdictions. This is the same reason for why municipal governments have implemented livable wages even though they only affect a tiny amount of workers.
 
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