Your login bonus is alredy decided* way before you even click anything, the chests are just a representation of randomization. The items itself have fixed rates to appear as your login bonus, and as such, the ticket is rare. If you'd clicked on the same chest as before, the ticket would have just been somewhere else. With that said, to avoid mindgames, always click on the same chest
*) As you may have noticed, there is no "Connecting..." when you click a chest. This is similar to how many mobile games work with RNG.