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College Football 2013 |Week 11| Thursday Night Lights
- Thread starter timetokill
- Start date
Affeinvasion
Member
Remember how oregon and Kansas state were a lock for the national title game last year?
Small victories.
Kellogg trying to secretly ask people about his hail mary
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDJuobtswM0
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDJuobtswM0
Ludicrous Speed
Banned
FSU still has to (likely) play two in-state rivals. Florida has been awful this year, but the game is in Gainesville and they usually show up for rivalry games. They at least made the UGA game competitive last week. And then FSU probably has to play Miami again in the ACC championship game. It's so hard to beat the same team twice in a year.
UGA isn't very good this year after all the injuries. No way Florida keeps that game close.
Miami lost its best player on offense for the season. Florida is a bigger threat than Miami at this point.
Went back, added in the new stats from the 2 games last night (sorry Troy and ULL, didn't fully put you guys in, since your both 30th or worse), also fixed the PBU/INT stat on the offense, because I realize an error (I can't find a page that gives PBU's against a teams offense, only the ones that a teams defense creates). So, made sure I didn't screw up the amount of an offense's incompletion, I redid all that.
Still comes out pretty close to what I had. I just assume that Oklahoma was previously lower than I should have had them, but now after the loss, are in the same spot as before. Oregon and Stanford flipped, and Baylor moved ahead of Michigan State
Top 25 Offenses going by "Not screwing themselves over on a % scale"
Appears like heavy running teams that don't get tackled behind the lines, and don't throw the ball, are favored here, almost too much. This section needs work, which is hard when what I'm going off of is a very Binary type system (it's either a sack, or it isn't, etc). Maybe if I do something like "(all those numbers * yards per play on offense.). Any team on here that can throw the football, should be considered dangerous.
Top 25 Defenses going by "consistently stops the opposing offense on a % scale"
I feel this isn't too far off, considering this is the top 25 total defenses (Yards Per Play)
Basically, I've just shat all over the topic with meaningless bullshit, but I've wasted an hour at work. Now, to find more ways to whittle down these formulas into something closer to Dat Real Life. My Dream of dethroning PACPACPAC Sagarin is ever inching closer.
Too many numbers floating on the brain to keep up with, than considering if I'm writing in past, present, or future tense.
Still comes out pretty close to what I had. I just assume that Oklahoma was previously lower than I should have had them, but now after the loss, are in the same spot as before. Oregon and Stanford flipped, and Baylor moved ahead of Michigan State
- Louisville
- Baylor
- Michigan State
- Ohio State
- Cincinnati
- Alabama
- Stanford
- Northern Illinois
- Wisconsin
- Clemson
- Auburn
- Arizona State
- Florida State
- Oregon
- Georgia Tech
- Fresno State
- North Texas
- Missouri
- USC
- Texas A&M
- UCF
- Utah State
- Oklahoma
- Miami (Florida)
- Florida
Top 25 Offenses going by "Not screwing themselves over on a % scale"
- Navy
- Ohio State
- Army
- Air Force
- Baylor
- Northern Illinois
- Stanford
- Texas A&M
- Cincinnati
- Oregon
- Alabama
- Auburn
- Louisville
- Boise State
- Georgia Tech
- Louisiana-Lafayette
- LSU
- Florida State
- Toledo
- Minnesota
- Wisconsin
- UCF
- North Texas
- Miami (Florida)
- Western Kentucky
Appears like heavy running teams that don't get tackled behind the lines, and don't throw the ball, are favored here, almost too much. This section needs work, which is hard when what I'm going off of is a very Binary type system (it's either a sack, or it isn't, etc). Maybe if I do something like "(all those numbers * yards per play on offense.). Any team on here that can throw the football, should be considered dangerous.
Top 25 Defenses going by "consistently stops the opposing offense on a % scale"
- Michigan State
- Louisville
- Clemson
- Baylor
- USC
- Virginia Tech
- Arizona State
- Cincinnati
- Wisconsin
- TCU
- Alabama
- Florida
- Oklahoma State
- North Carolina State
- Virginia
- Utah State
- Ohio State
- Florida State
- Syracuse
- Stanford
- Missouri
- Tulane
- Auburn
- Northern Illinois
- Fresno State
I feel this isn't too far off, considering this is the top 25 total defenses (Yards Per Play)
- Michigan State
- Virginia Tech
- Baylor
- Florida State
- Louisville
- Wisconsin
- Oregon
- East Carolina
- Marshall
- Cincinnati
- Oklahoma State
- Ohio State
- Stanford
- Utah State
- Alabama
- BYU
- Memphis
- Iowa
- Florida
- USC
- Arizona
- TCU
- Texas Tech
- UCLA
- Washington
Basically, I've just shat all over the topic with meaningless bullshit, but I've wasted an hour at work. Now, to find more ways to whittle down these formulas into something closer to Dat Real Life. My Dream of dethroning PACPACPAC Sagarin is ever inching closer.
Too many numbers floating on the brain to keep up with, than considering if I'm writing in past, present, or future tense.
BertramCooper
Banned
My original point was that OSU has a reputation for being chokers, even though our record in big games is actually pretty damn great.
While there may be some truth in your claims, they aren't that relevant to the point I was making. Regardless of how we get to major bowl games, once we're in them, our record is quite good.
Ludicrous Speed
Banned
Even if UF lost the rest of their games this season I think beating FSU and derailing their championship aspirations would totally redeem UF's year. If they have no chance of winning the SEC this is the next best thing.
If that happened I would still be very pleased with FSU's year. I expected them to lose at least two games this year. I definitely thought they would lose to Clemson and then probably UF. But that game at Clemson made me a believer.
We gonna have Dorsett back. Morris will just sling it all over the yard. Believe.
StrikerObi
Member
Agreed that UF is a threat to FSU. It's a rivalry, they are always a threat. That said I still think FSU cruises past them, even on the road.
The season is far from over, fellow Seminoles. One game at a time. One game at a time. Process. Etc.
Fuck Wake Forest.
The season is far from over, fellow Seminoles. One game at a time. One game at a time. Process. Etc.
Fuck Wake Forest.
Assuming Tech beats KSU tomorrow, looking down the schedule for next week our game against Baylor probably has a pretty good chance of getting College Gameday. Could be the only game between ranked teams next weekend, though if Texas is able to beat WVU they could conceivably hop up to 25 or 24 and they play Oklahoma State in Austin. You know ESPN loves them some UT, but Baylor is really hot right now and the TTU/BU game will be in Dallas which should be able to accommodate the ESPN crew pretty easily.
RKIII? How about, no?
Affeinvasion
Member
Lonestar how does your system take into account the Bend but Don't Break Defense that gives up a lot of yards but few points?
True. Just don't make Nebraska look so awful the next time we play. Maybe it'll trick the public into thinking we're a quality win.
Clearly trying to ride the coat tails of RGIII. Hell, one of the girls calls him RGIII. So he can't be RKIII. It just doesn't work. Nebraska fans, please understand.
XiaNaphryz
LATIN, MATRIPEDICABUS, DO YOU SPEAK IT
Gameday crew on Sportscenter just posted their top 5 projection for next week assuming no further losses this week:
1. Alabama
2. Florida State
3. Ohio State
4. Stanford
5. Baylor
1. Alabama
2. Florida State
3. Ohio State
4. Stanford
5. Baylor
Pristine_Condition
Member
What was better--the float from the Jorts Appreciation Society, or the float from the Society for the Appreciation of Jorts? Ever since those two groups splintered off from The Jorts Society of Florida, you could cut the tension with a knife. (Which, BTW is a central membership ritual for the Secret Brotherhood of the Order of Jorts.)
tough week. looks like all the interesting games are night, with penn state and michigan being the exceptions because who know if either of those teams will show up.
I could see it in auburn or in Austin against the gondos. Cliche, but this is a different texas team.
Has it been confirmed that ash is done for the season?
perfectchaos007
Member
He may be on the verge of being healthy enough to play, and he apparently threw some passes in practice this week, but some are speculating he may as well sit out to get a med-red. And since he's out of football shape, Case may be a better option at this point anyway.
devildog820
Member
We have too many key contributors out for the season to give FSU any trouble.
Last week, I made this long diatribe on FB about how if Oregon lost, Stanford would certainly pass us (Ohio St.). I completely forgot about their loss to Utah.
I hope it is as significant as everyone says it is...because I was certain that they would be the new No. 3.
zyxwvu4321
Member
Incoming losses by Alabama, FSU, Baylor, tOSU, and Oregon again for good measure.
It's significant, but they'll likely finish as the top one-loss team assuming they win out (a one-loss Alabama or Auburn might finish above them, but I doubt it). Their schedule is that tough.
And it's entirely possible they end up passing Ohio State. If Wisconsin and Michigan State both drop a game, Ohio State could end up without a single ranked team on their resume, and Stanford would pass them by enough in the computers to put them over the top in the BCS averages.
It's unlikely, though. I'm betting Stanford and Ohio State meet in the Rose Bowl. Which would be an awesome game.
BertramCooper
Banned
No it isn't. We're not getting jumped by a one-loss team if we win out.
We all know the universe isn't done punishing Cal fans yet.
perfectchaos007
Member
Cal basketball just tipped off. Is this a good thing?
Cornballer
Member
Ah, yes, it's almost time for Cal's annual beating at the hands of USC:
Good times.
Quiet, you.
Basketball team should be solid this year.
Purple Cheeto
Member
I don't think Cal will improve those rushing numbers this year.
NEOPARADIGM
Banned
perfectchaos007
Member
How new is WMU's coach? He has a record just as bad this year, but he is younger and more hip so maybe WMU's AD is more patient.
I wouldn't be so sure.
bucknuticus
Member
Bcs experts have already weighed in and said a 1 loss team would not jump is. Also went to far as to say if Baylor were going to jump us at all it's only chance will be this week.
They might be able to predict this based upon the computer polls, but there's now way to say "for sure" that OSU won't get jumped by the human voters. I don't think that will happen, but you never know.
Hell, according to that one guy here, Stanford should be your new #1 team!
bucknuticus
Member
Frustrated_Grunt
Member
"We Want Ball State" sign
:jnc
:jnc