Men_in_Boxes
Snake Oil Salesman
We did this with Helldivers 2 and the results were interesting. 65% of NeoGAF (including me) got Helldivers 2 wrong. (https://www.neogaf.com/threads/helldivers-ii-whats-the-market-potential-for-this-game.1658957/) Let's try it with Concord...
Concord is a 5v5 Hero Shooter developed by Firewalk Studios, releasing on August 23rd, 2024. Here's some similar games in the genre that may help you gage your predictions a little better.
GAME...............................HEALTHIEST MONTH..........................HONEYMOON PERIOD.........................LAST 6 MONTHS AVG
Team Fortress 2............215k (Dec 2023)....................................6 months....................................................130k
DotA 2..............................640k (June 2016)..................................N/A................................................................450k
Counter Strike 2............1+ m (May 2023).................................2 months.....................................................900k
Overwatch 2....................24k (May 2024)....................................2 months....................................................20k
Rocket League................70k (Oct 2020)......................................2 months...................................................36k
The Finals.........................120k (Dec 2023)....................................6 months...................................................40k (game seems to be settling around 10k)
*Healthiest month: Month with the highest average players.
*Honeymoon period: How long after launch did the player trend reach equilibrium.
*Last 6 months avg: Estimation of average player count over last 6 months.
Concord is a 5v5 Hero Shooter developed by Firewalk Studios, releasing on August 23rd, 2024. Here's some similar games in the genre that may help you gage your predictions a little better.
GAME...............................HEALTHIEST MONTH..........................HONEYMOON PERIOD.........................LAST 6 MONTHS AVG
Team Fortress 2............215k (Dec 2023)....................................6 months....................................................130k
DotA 2..............................640k (June 2016)..................................N/A................................................................450k
Counter Strike 2............1+ m (May 2023).................................2 months.....................................................900k
Overwatch 2....................24k (May 2024)....................................2 months....................................................20k
Rocket League................70k (Oct 2020)......................................2 months...................................................36k
The Finals.........................120k (Dec 2023)....................................6 months...................................................40k (game seems to be settling around 10k)
*Healthiest month: Month with the highest average players.
*Honeymoon period: How long after launch did the player trend reach equilibrium.
*Last 6 months avg: Estimation of average player count over last 6 months.
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