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Euro 2012 |OT2| of Spain celebrating victory with younger, mixed gender squad

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ShogunX

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How exactly are Italy going through over Croatia? They drew their game and If everything stays the same then Croatia have a better goal difference.
 

Meier

Member
Interesting, it looks like Italy are through even if they only win 1-0.. I would have thought they'd need to win 2-0 to have equal GD to Croatia but it looks like it goes to coefficient instead after H2H.

• Spain have the simplest task – a draw ensures qualification, a win ensures first place. If Spain draw 1-1 and Italy win 4-0, Spain would finish first ahead of Italy on coefficient.

• Croatia will definitely qualify, as group winners, with victory. They will also be through with any draw other than 0-0 or 1-1. If their game is 0-0 and Italy win, Croatia are out. In the case of a 1-1 draw, they will only be through if Italy do not beat Ireland by 3-1 or better. If it is 1-1 and Italy win exactly 3-1, the Azzurri will be second on coefficient. Croatia can afford to lose if Italy do not win.

• Italy have to win and hope the other game does not finish in a high-scoring draw of 2-2 or more. If the other game finishes 1-1 they must win by 3-1 or better to finish above Croatia or better than 4-0 to top the group. If the other game finishes 0-0, an Italy win would take them through as group winners.

• Republic of Ireland are out but will finish third with a win.

Coefficients for exact ties on head-to-head, goal difference & goals scored (see ** below)...
Spain 43.116
Italy 34.357
Croatia 33.003
http://www.uefa.com/uefaeuro/news/newsid=1818000.html

So Italy will actually win the group if the results hold.
 
ESPN keeps saying that Ccroatia doesn't go through if results hold, but I can't figure out why. All of the top 3 teams in the group drew against each other, so their head to head is the same, and Croatia leads on GD. What's going on?
 
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Charles

Member
ESPN keeps saying that Ccroatia doesn't go through if results hold, but I can't figure out why. All of the top 3 teams in the group drew against each other, so their head to head is the same, and Croatia leads on GD. What's going on?

Take Italy, Spain and Croatia together and remove their score against Ireland
 
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