hodayathink
Member
Go back and read the last warnings before Katrina. They were pretty dire.
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Florida Gov. Declares State Of Emergency Over Hurricane Irma (Up: clean-up begins)
- Thread starter fluffydelusions
- Start date
Go back and read the last warnings before Katrina. They were pretty dire.
mordecaii83
Member
It really does look like Irma is just riding the coast of Cuba without really going inland... It may have much of a drop in intensity...
cpp_is_king
Member
Did you see the one from Harvey last week? It literally said "GET OUT OR DIE, Loss of life is certain"
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
I wonder if major storms like this have some type of propensity to do that if it's tracking parallel with a coast via prevailing factors?
I think it is good to be as clear and direct as that. People thinking they can ride this out in the Keys need to think again and get out. There is a chance it's already too late.
cpp_is_king
Member
Anybody in Tampa Zone B?
My dad is there about 1-2 miles from the beach. What's the elevation like? He said they're expecting storm surge of 5 feet, anyone know how this might affect his area? If it helps, I think he said there's 2 sides, one with a seawall and one without, and he's on the side without? Does that ring a bell to anyone?
My dad is there about 1-2 miles from the beach. What's the elevation like? He said they're expecting storm surge of 5 feet, anyone know how this might affect his area? If it helps, I think he said there's 2 sides, one with a seawall and one without, and he's on the side without? Does that ring a bell to anyone?
xKilltheMx
Member
So this thing is basically hitting Tallahassee because at this point any further west has it in the ocean and hitting Tallahassee full force right?
I'm upset I'm still here because my girlfriends job won't let her leave until Sunday. We'll basically be hitting the road Sunday 1am for Alabama even though that's still getting hit but not as bad.
I'm upset I'm still here because my girlfriends job won't let her leave until Sunday. We'll basically be hitting the road Sunday 1am for Alabama even though that's still getting hit but not as bad.
I remember the "certain death" warning during Ike in 2008 here in Texas when it was too late to evacuate and we didn't evacuate, and I was in the direct hit zone on the coast.
That was not a fun night to ride out.
cpp_is_king
Member
Goddamit I just looked up my dad's house on a map. South tampa, like 4 blocks from the eastern coast of than peninsula thing.
The fuck was he thinking staying there :-/
The fuck was he thinking staying there :-/
maquiladora
Member
The latest Euro looks like almost a direct hit on Tampa. Strengthening right up to landfall on that model.
Hope people are ready.
Hope people are ready.
Is there definitely no convincing him to at least move to his closest shelter?
Theres still time but he needs to leave like immediately. Tampa is not looking very good at all right now.
cpp_is_king
Member
He's sleeping right now so I can't even get in touch for another 3-4 hours until he wakes up. But I'm west coast, so I'll be sleeping. Guess I'll try to wake up at like 4am. Where are the shelters?
Edit: according to https://www.google.com/amp/wfla.com...s-tampa-bay-area-ahead-of-hurricane-irma/amp/, hillsborough county is opening these shelters to zone a, and he's in Zone B. I guess i can tell him to try anyway
hodayathink
Member
I also think I remember one of the mandatory evac notices before they released a dam during Harvey telling people to make sure they wrote their SSN on their arms so their bodies could be identified.
perfectchaos007
Member
Are I-95 and I-75 still flowing okay northbound?
aspiegamer
Member
Recon is finding sustained tropical storm force winds only about 50 miles from the middle keys now. Time running out quickly.
Shmeagatory94
Member
on i75 right now. there will be some slowing down but its not bad. in Georgia now an its zooming.
There's a list of shelters in Tampa here. He could try the closest one, can't see anyone being turned away.
http://www.wtsp.com/mobile/article/...ns-and-shelters-across-tampa-bay/67-471931687
HP_Wuvcraft
Banned
My uncle is crazy and holding out in his apartment. My cousin flew in to make sure he doesn't get killed. They liveblogged their grocery shopping earlier today. Supermarket was like a train hit it.
malingenie
Member
I too have a crazy uncle holding out
peppermints
Member
Just made it back home to Indiana. After over 24 hours on the road. Was in Orlando at Disney with my wife and kids. Cut our trip a day short.
We left Orlando at around 330am. Took us an hour to check out of our resort because of all the tree contractors checking in for the storm.
Honestly was smooth sailing out of Orlando and up until Ocala. Things got real dicey there and traffic was bumper to bumper all the way until Chattanooga. Took some off shoots in Georgia to try and avoid the gridlock but I don't think it made a difference.
The trip would have been a little shorter had we not had two kids under four with us. Had to stop for nursing and changing and potty a lot.
Had planned on getting a room along the way but everything up to Chattanooga was booked. So I slept an hour or so at a rest stop and by then the kids were conked out asleep so we just drove it straight through.
I just want to say best of luck to everyone in its path.
Talked to a woman at a gas station on the FL/GA border who was coming from Michigan to pick up her elderly father in Orlando. Stuff like that is just gut wrenching. Not to mention the folks who have no means of evacuating.
Sorry for rambling. On a caffeine high. Just glad to be home with my family.
Again, thinking of everyone here impacted.
We left Orlando at around 330am. Took us an hour to check out of our resort because of all the tree contractors checking in for the storm.
Honestly was smooth sailing out of Orlando and up until Ocala. Things got real dicey there and traffic was bumper to bumper all the way until Chattanooga. Took some off shoots in Georgia to try and avoid the gridlock but I don't think it made a difference.
The trip would have been a little shorter had we not had two kids under four with us. Had to stop for nursing and changing and potty a lot.
Had planned on getting a room along the way but everything up to Chattanooga was booked. So I slept an hour or so at a rest stop and by then the kids were conked out asleep so we just drove it straight through.
I just want to say best of luck to everyone in its path.
Talked to a woman at a gas station on the FL/GA border who was coming from Michigan to pick up her elderly father in Orlando. Stuff like that is just gut wrenching. Not to mention the folks who have no means of evacuating.
Sorry for rambling. On a caffeine high. Just glad to be home with my family.
Again, thinking of everyone here impacted.
How is gas along the way?
peppermints
Member
This is anecdotal but every place we stopped this morning (Friday) off of 75 had if not all pumps then most taped off until we got deeper into GA.
Piku_Ringo
Banned
And after all that bragging over how they've made upgrades over the years for this kinda stuff. 90% without power?!
dickroach
Member
i think they upgraded problem areas, but if the entire state, the entire infrastructure, is going to be fucked up it changes things
Same thing here. Gas was a nightmare, we had to wait until Tipton to get gas
For those who like animations, here is what I posted in the other hurricane thread about Irma's projected part:
Euro run from 0000 UTC:
Note that, despite the landfall in Cuba, Irma restrengthenes again and shows no slower wind speeds than before when making landfall in Florida:
Bonus: Project rainfall until Monday 5 PM EDT in mm (100 mm are roughly 4 inches):
Euro run from 0000 UTC:
Note that, despite the landfall in Cuba, Irma restrengthenes again and shows no slower wind speeds than before when making landfall in Florida:
Bonus: Project rainfall until Monday 5 PM EDT in mm (100 mm are roughly 4 inches):
Wind's Howling
Member
maquiladora
Member
Back to Cat 4.
perfectchaos007
Member
With the land interaction on Cuba I don't see it strengthening back up to a cat. 5 before it hits the US and neither does the NHC
aspiegamer
Member
5am update: Back down to 155, so "category 4.9" as someone coined yesterday. Almost the entire eye is back over water so the weakening trend of the pressure going up might level off. A plane was just going through the center and the update is being posted a few minutes late (which is quite unusual).
Mostly this is wait and see mode for the next 12 hours or so until it's in the Florida Straights and we see when a turn to the north starts. The satellite look is messier than it was all day yesterday so Cuba has had clear impacts on Irma.
Finally, some marginally good news on intensity:
Mostly this is wait and see mode for the next 12 hours or so until it's in the Florida Straights and we see when a turn to the north starts. The satellite look is messier than it was all day yesterday so Cuba has had clear impacts on Irma.
Finally, some marginally good news on intensity:
That's in line with the Euro run I posted above. It shows wind gusts around 260 km/h or 160 mph, which means sustained winds are below that.
Note, though, that you shouldn't think this strictly in categories. It's still on the high end of Cat 4.
On another note, the European model (until now) has fared better than any other model w.r.t. tracking track accuracy. Including the official, human-made NHC forecast: https://arstechnica.com/science/201...e-been-pretty-terrible-during-hurricane-irma/
Judge Magister Zexion
Banned
Yeah I have been having power fluctuations all night, I didn't know if it was the breaker to my room are just the power itself.
Probably due to them shutting down power plants
CubaGAF is not really represented here, or? The focus is on Florida here (expectedly) but I can't imagine the situation in Cuba right now.
Following the hurricanes is a double feeling: it is fascinating but it feels bad to do so too much as it is costing peoples lives.
The models seem to be pushing it more and more west, what are the chances it goes all the way west?
Following the hurricanes is a double feeling: it is fascinating but it feels bad to do so too much as it is costing peoples lives.
The models seem to be pushing it more and more west, what are the chances it goes all the way west?
Oh wow
Been watching this live street cam in the Key-West area and it's been quiet and dry until just now.
It was so sudden.
Been watching this live street cam in the Key-West area and it's been quiet and dry until just now.
It was so sudden.
Judge Magister Zexion
Banned
Even without a killer storm heading their way Cuba has wonky power and spotty internet.
In my hometown the power would go out for almost an entire day just because, most are just now getting into using Facebook.
xKilltheMx
Member
Supposed to be a 2 but that's with it passing over land. I'm in Tallahassee too and the trend is more and more west, I'm operating under the assumption it's gonna hit the water and hitting us at a 4 and evacuating Sunday morning.
No models have said this but you'll understand if I'm not waiting on models/implicitly trusting them on how bad we'll get hit.
Me and my girlfriend checked earlier today and you can get a hotel in Mississippi but the prices are high. Good luck fellow Tallahassian
As someone living in Europe, I can't imagine the shear destruction that comes with these. Watching the news and live streams and it is just crazy that some people want to ride it out, especially in some really questionable locations.
I hope to all of gaf affected by this, that you and yours are safe!
I hope to all of gaf affected by this, that you and yours are safe!
He could be at the La Concha hotel on Duval Street. They opened their doors to locals for the storm.
Starfield
Member
The real Orlando Bloom? :d
That scary weather alert tone just before 6 in the morning with DANGER LEVEL: EXTREME and everything was great fun. And then I went and looked at the update, and it was practically identical to the hurricane warning from midnight which also had the scary tone.
Neither applies to me for another 12+ hours basically, so I have to think that's going to contribute to people not taking weather alerts seriously if a tornado actually pops up. :|
Neither applies to me for another 12+ hours basically, so I have to think that's going to contribute to people not taking weather alerts seriously if a tornado actually pops up. :|