StopMakingSense
Member
The highest point in all the Keys is 18 feet. The storm surge will most likely fully inundate the Keys.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
Florida Gov. Declares State Of Emergency Over Hurricane Irma (Up: clean-up begins)
- Thread starter fluffydelusions
- Start date
The highest point in all the Keys is 18 feet. The storm surge will most likely fully inundate the Keys.
Jest Chillin
Member
Bingo.
The fact is, the Keys not only flood but the land itself isn't all that solid. Some build raised houses but in a Cat 5...
Plus tornadoes coming in every few hours
Unknown Soldier
Member
This is a page which has a bunch of webcams. You can watch this hurricane beating on Florida in real time, or at least until the power or Internet goes out there.
http://basik.co/
Those Florida Keys webcams are going to be wild tomorrow night. It's uhm already kind of windy....
http://basik.co/
Those Florida Keys webcams are going to be wild tomorrow night. It's uhm already kind of windy....
Dead Prince
Banned
what happens when two hurricanes collide.
dickroach
Member
Sounds like Naples is gonna get fucking hammered. I'm out of my mind with worry right now. My mom and stepdad were supposed to drive north on Wednesday but decided against because of traffic. And now they're stuck. At a shelter but I don't know if anything there is built to withstand a Cat 4.
AlphaSnake
...and that, kids, was the first time I sucked a dick for crack
It was barely a Cat4. It was on the cusp of a 5 the entire time.
ChanDangle
Member
In the Tampa area, zone B and feeling super anxious. Have a brick house but really unsure with this hurricane. Please everyone be safe.
My grandma's down there. Fuck, man. It gets worse and worse.
dirtyjfosho
Member
Super creepy seeing miami empty on a Friday night like that. looks like everyone got out
AlphaSnake
...and that, kids, was the first time I sucked a dick for crack
Go east, man. Hit the I4 at night and just drive east.
Fuck. I'm sorry. This is gonna be a stressful weekend for all of us.
I H8 Memes
Member
Have you ever seen the ending of Akira?
aspiegamer
Member
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fujiwhara_effect, which is one of my favorite weird science terms.
I was going to say any DBZ fight.
Thank you. Best wishes to your mom and stepdad.
Lil'DigiOp
Member
Fuck, Im seeing reports saying they expect the whole peninsula to lose power. IDK if thats hype or not but I have my grandparents in Pt St Lucie trying to ride this out..
Idk if they can deal with no power...
Idk if they can deal with no power...
PandaShake
Member
The fifth impact begins
The entire state of Florida? There was a big map a while back that suggests only parts of the state will be impacted, with some areas only having a 10% chance of power loss.
If you have a reputable source that's one thing, but I'd hesitate to trust vague reports.
SimpleDesign
Member
North Miami. About as ready as I'm going to be at this point. Here's hoping we don't die.
skullmuffins
Banned
Dunno. I saw FPL predicting that 90% of customers would lose power, OUC 80%, but those came out hours before the more westward shift. Who knows how it'll end up. Not all outages are created equal, either. There's a world of difference between going without for an hour, 6 hours, or 2+ weeks.
Source?
Miami Danger
Member
In Sarasota going to my parents concrete home that is more off the coast of Sarasota that is not in an evacuation zone. Extremely nervous though.
I second the "source" request.
NihonTiger90
Member
GOES 30-second imagery is saying no, it isn't making a direct landfall and weakening.
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-100
It looks like it's made the WNW turn to follow the Cuban cays and northern coast. Eye appears to be near Cayo Romano, Cuba, right now.
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-100
It looks like it's made the WNW turn to follow the Cuban cays and northern coast. Eye appears to be near Cayo Romano, Cuba, right now.
It's currently skirting along the coast of Cuba and avoiding landfall before it makes its move to Florida, just as NHC indicated.
Raised houses don't matter when a storm is that strong and the surge is that high.
A good preview of what might happen is the Bolivar Peninsula in Texas after Ike. There's only so much hurricane resistant building you can do, but a direct hit from a strong hurricane and a big surge will just wash most of it away, literally.
OnionPowder
Member
Wow. Directly over Cuba right now. My thoughts are with them. My friend had family down there
Yep, posted this in the other thread, but I'll post a basic mapping of the Cuba here too:
For this storm to weaken in any significant way that counts, it needs to start heading south pretty much immediately. There's a minor mountain immediately to its south from where it is now, and then you have the Guamaya mountain range to its SW. If it's making that turn northwards now, I wouldn't expect Cuba to thrash it that much. Whatever energy it's losing from skirting the northern Cuba coast will probably just be regained as soon as it enters the Florida straits. Unless the wind shears it down a bit in the next day or some random eyewall replacement happens, expect a Category 5 to soon hit the Keys.
AliasGreed
Member
Stay safe Florida Gaf, I'll see you at night when I get internet back.
krackerjack
Member
Some guy on CNN that is staying in Key West said he's on the 4th floor of a category 5 rated building and that he's not worried. He also said he'd rather be on his side of washed out bridges than on the other side with looters. Hmm. Kinda makes a *little* sense?
Time to put it to the test I guess. I don't understand the obsession with staying though. Even if you're perfectly safe, experiencing something like that is horrible. If you have the means leave, the stress that the storm will put you through is not worth it.
When first responders are bailing out you might want to follow their lead.
cpp_is_king
Member
It's an adrenaline rush for some
aspiegamer
Member
Fine, I'll play along.
It won't be a well-tuned cat5 again for awhile, though that's hardly "significant" weakening. It did seem to use up a lot of effort to collect itself for a Cuban landfall and it's ingested a good deal of dryer air in the NW and it'll take 6-12 hours to completely sort that through, admittedly. That quadrant is sloppy but the inner core presentation is still closed and the wind field has been expanding over water. Hell, the plane just found a high cat4 surface wind. Unless the actual eyewall proper is opened up it's largely on autopilot.
But yeah the pressure did jump some after this landfall, so, hey, that's something. "Significant" is subjective I suppose, after all. Realistically? It would be surprising if this slips below category 4 at any point until a Florida peninsula landfall. Even that doesn't matter all that much! Hell, if could travel in a straight line from where it is, slowly weakening the whole way, and on momentum alone it'll put Key West completely under water in 24 hours and still put TS storm force winds across the entire state of Florida.
There is zero reason to think that the entire Florida peninsula won't still face hurricane conditions in the next 48 hours, with a larger storm surge risk on the west coast now because of the shallow waters.
dickroach
Member
the people that are staying there are not stressed. they live in Key West.
Unknown Soldier
Member
He's in the one and only category 5 rated building in the entirety of the Keys: the National Weather Service office in Key West.
He'll get a nice view of the rest of Key West washing away into the ocean I guess. I'd be scared as fuck but it's going to be one hell of a ride.
This building is not open as a public shelter.
PositiveGamer
Member
aspiegamer
Member
The 2am mid-update holds the category 5 of 160 but that's probably generous after the last hour of satellite imagery. Any category 4-5 landfall impacts were in an almost completely uninhabited area of Cuba and the strongest now is staying offshore. Still going to be messy for cities farther up the coast yet, of course.
SyenceLabb
Member
2am update. What is it looking like WeatherGAF?