Educational post:
Some of you may be of the impression that Chelsea have virtually sealed a top 4 place. The purpose of this post is to inform you that you are wrong.
Let's have a look at their rivals' next fixtures:
Arsenal
Wigan (H)- Wigan are virtually relegated after that loss to Swansea and suck anyway. Easy win.
Newcastle (A) - Newcastle are a shambles at the moment. Their last two home games saw them concede 9 without reply. Another easy win.
Spurs
Sunderland (H) - Sunderland's form outside Tyneside, even under Di Canio, is shit, crushing loss to Villa a prime example. Easy win.
Stoke (A) - Britannia used to be a fortress. Not anymore, Stoke are awful this year. Plus Spurs have Bale. Can only go one way.
So it seems pretty clear that both these teams will win out pretty easily. Chelsea do only need one win to qualify. Pretty straightforward, right?
WRONG
Let's take a closer look at the facts
Remaining fixtures:
Villa (A) - Chelsea have a terrible record at Villa Park, only recording two wins there in the last 15 years or something. Plus Villa are on great form, having won their last two fixtures, including a 6-1 win over a resurgent Sunderland. A point seems the most optimistic outcome.
Everton (H) - Chelsea have a poor record against Everton, especially on the last day of the season. Chelsea may have beaten Everton at the Bridge last season, but that was an anomaly, with the previous 5 such fixtures ending in draws. Again, a draw seems most likely.
Also, Chelsea have this match sandwiching the Europa League final. The defeat there would both distract their attentions from the Villa match, as well as tire and demoralise them for the final match.
Thus, this comprehensive analysis has indicated that Chelsea will in all likelihood, miss out on a Top 4 spot. Sure, they could maybe sneak a win or hope for a slip up but don't put money on it.