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Greece to hold referendum on austerity measures 5 July

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kiguel182

Member
RIP democracy.

This kind of stuff isn't the kind you let the mass public decide.

There's a lot at stake here, more that most people can even understand. It's best to keep negotiating than simply asking the public.

Hopefully this means the EU is ready to do something better than just asking for ridiculous cost cutting measures and that Greece is able to come to some sort of agreement.

Still not holding my breath.
 

Osiris

I permanently banned my 6 year old daughter from using the PS4 for mistakenly sending grief reports as it's too hard to watch or talk to her
RIP democracy.

Greece's left hand needs to start talking to it's right hand again, maybe then some sanity can return :p

Not only has the Tsipras government now set up a web page dedicated to the plebiscite, the parliament’s fiery president Zoe Konstantopoulou has announced that constitutionally there is no way to revoke the popular vote.

“From the moment that it was decided, there is no constitutional procedure to cancel the referendum....”
 

kiguel182

Member
Maybe we get a referendum in Greece about a deal that expired or maybe it will get canceled, because a deal that expired will be agreed upon. And somehow it's Germany's fault.

It's not Germany's fault by itself but the fact that we got to this state can be attributed to some countries being stubborn about ridiculous cost cutting measures and refusing to do EU-wide bonds that would allow some countries to be able to ask for more loans.

And Germany is the "face" of this type of attitudes and the country with the most influence in the EU so they get blamed the most.
 

petran79

Banned
And Greek people are ok with this?

War in Yugoslavia and Kosovo crisis was portrayed differently in Greece.
Greece sided mostly with the Serbs and a lot even volunteered to fight alongside the Serbs. During Kossovo, while Western media ignored NATO bombing in a market in Belgrade killing innocent civilians, in Greece such news were reported
One major factor in the instigation of the war in Yugoslavia was Germany's haste to recognize Croatia and Slovenia. Anyway, they did profit from arms trade.
I mean Wolfgang Schauble was involved in an arm dealer scandal as well and was a staunch supporter of the Iraq War and Guantanamo.

If he can get by, so can our defence minister!
 

Nivash

Member
Greece's left hand needs to start talking to it's right hand again, maybe then some sanity can return :p

This is utter insanity. It's like they're issuing a press release the second one of them gets a notion with no regard to, well, anything. They're manic.
 

Syriel

Member
Syriza are doing the right thing by putting this to a referendum, either way they will have the will of the greek people behind them and that will likely keep them in power. Amazes me how many are against democracy.

Raw popular vote is not the way to run a country.

Leaders (who are presumably more experienced people) are elected to do a job. Not to pander to popular whims.

Otherwise you get things like what happened in CA in 2008. Where the government allowed marriage equality, the people demanded a popular vote, and "democracy" decided that gay marriage should be deemed illegal.

Just another smoke screen.
Of course they can´t be kicked out of the Eurozone, there is no law making this even possible.
They would be forced to leave on their own account, simply when the money runs out in a literal sense. If the ECB is not providing them with Euros anymore, they have to hand out something to pay pensions and the like. Even if they are debt certificates denominated in Euro, they´d for all practically be a second currency, as they would be traded against cash.

Greece could always print IOUs like CA did. That is a potential short term solution.

Though it would have to somehow keep the money coming in, in order to have an expectation of paying those back later.

Even with perfect knowledge, there is an old vs young dynamic at play. Under austerity, the youth are arguably suffering more. You hear a lot about the suffering of pensioners, but unemployed young people are in a worse position in the long term if there is an extended recession. On the other hand, a Eurozone exit - and subsequent hyperinflation - would hurt the old more than the young, because they are more likely to have retirement savings that could be severely devalued if not held in foreign assets.

I would argue the inverse. The youth have the ability (and the flexibility in their lives) to move elsewhere in Europe and work, just as someone from a poor state in the US can move to a richer state where there are more job opportunities.

Older people don't have that flexibility. Their support structures are in place. Family ties are local. It's not anywhere near as easy for them to up and move.

JoExBT8.jpg


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XPgiI46FCDU

EU is a joke. EU taxpayers are as much victims as Greeks.

Why? Is it false?

Maybe if you'd bothered to do even a tiny bit of research before posting falsehoods (and slurs) you would know the answer.

1) Junker's "alcoholism" reports all source from a "leaked" intelligence report that came out in June of 2014 during a political campaign.

2) Dijsselbloem never lied about his degree. He earned a MA. The Finance Ministry confused the college that conferred it because he did part of his studies at a sister school. Some data entry person goofed.

3) Calling Lagarde a "bitch" because she's a successful woman.

God forbid you ever marry a woman who makes more than you with a misogynistic attitude like that. Guess what? Not all women spend their lives at home, taking care of the kitchen and kids.

well the EU fucked Greek agriculture. Greece is forced to import bad quality milk and meat from abroad, while exporting her best quality biological food abroad. Farmers are paid not to produce.

1 cart of milk here consists of mixed 70-30. 70 % is the biological Greek milk, 30 % is the milk from abroad where animal conditions are not the best. This 30 % barely allows the minimum quality to make milk drinkable.

CAP benefits Greece and Ireland more than any other EU nations (with France also coming in at the top of the list).

CAP dates back to 1957 and is designed to ensure stability in both food availability and prices, as both were in great flux in the years after WWII.

CAP is designed to ensure that food production rules are similar across territories and that no one foodstuff is overproduced at the expense of others. It also ensures minimum pricing for EU agriculture, while implementing protectionist taxes which make foreign produced food more expensive.

If Greece were to leave the EU, Greece's agriculture industry would lose all the protections of CAP and would likely be devastated as exports to the EU would be taxed, making them more expensive than EU produced goods, while at the same time, Greece would have to compete with the developing world, which is still heavily agricultural and can produce goods extremely cheaply.

http://www.koutipandoras.gr/article...manoi-epimenoyn-stin-ayxisi-toy-fpa-sta-nisia

Quick and dirty translation (courtesy of Google Translate):

Read why the Germans insist on the VAT increase on the islands

In German companies owned hotels on the Turkish coast of Asia Minor. The vast majority of hotels on the Turkish coast opposite the Greek islands controlled by German TUI interests and others. This largely explains their persistence in not covered islands to special arrangements for VAT. An increase in VAT would raise prices and would motivate the groups of tourists in the opposite Turkish coast and hotels located there.

The defense minister Panos Blazing who made the disclosure on Monday commented on koutipandoras.gr: «Germany is pushing for the interests of entrepreneurs. That urge to destroy the Greek islands because the vast majority of hotel chains in Asia Minor coast opposite the Greek islands, is of German interests. They want to break tourism in the Greek Islands to serve their interests. Unfortunately there are Greeks from the club of those who believe in Germany serving from Greece German interests. Among those Mr. Theodorakis ".

But the interests of Germany has not only captured the theme of tourism, but continue for OTE.

After further sale of shares and voting rights of the Greek government, the July 11, 2011, the share of Deutsche Telekom in OTE is 40%. With the German obsession privatizations including the remaining 10% owned by the Greek government, everything suggests that want complete control and OTE

Meanwhile on Tuesday morning Defence Minister stressed the two conditions without which no solution is discussed. These are that "There will be no disarmament of the country, impoverishment of the armed forces, and will be fully respected on the special VAT scheme for the islands."
He added that "I do not accept any ultimatum. Without these two conditions are not discussing any solution. "

(Photo archive eurokinissi)

The main reason for the demand to equalize VAT is to bring it in line with the standards. As it is, the low VAT on the islands is a way to avoid taxes.

Why should the hotel industry get special tax treatment?

Not to mention, the argument doesn't make sense. After all, TUI has plenty of hotels in Greece. And Turkey isn't in the EU. Are people who want to holiday in Greece really going to travel to a different country just because Greek hotels pass along a standard tax?

No way. People who want to holiday in Greece are coming to Greece.

Why? It's not Greek companies that defaulted, it's the Greek state. The only reason that foreign companies would want payments in USD or EUR is if they're worried about the potential currency stability of the drachma.

Given hyperinflation, the stability is a big issue. Multi-nationals are likely to demand payment in EUR or USD and simply ignore the new drachma.

This is one of the most stupid statements in this thread. Of course he'd have to leave in that situation. He was voted in to be lead an anti-austerity government. If people vote yes, then there is no way forward other than austerity given the terms the government has set. The entire reason d'etre of his administration no longer exists; people have rejected the central tenet of his platform. That's like, democracy 101.

He was elected to lead the government. Sometimes being a leader means making the hard decisions and doing what is best for the country, even if that is not what you personally want to do.

A leader who throws up his hands and says "I quit" when the people don't agree with him isn't a leader. That's the definition of a coward.

1) Big enterprises (like TUI) can afford a VAT increase. It's the smaller ones that won't be sustainable anymore.

2) Turkey has less VAT and a cheaper currency.

VAT is paid by the consumer. Not the company. It is a pass along.

Turkey is a different county with its own tax rates and a different currency. That's like saying the US has no VAT, so VAT should be abolished across all of Europe.

Different countries have different monetary policies.

So a "No" in the referendum and a Grexit would probably be the only option. The immediate economic damage would be catastrophic and the EU would probably have to provide emergency aid in the first phase but a reset is needed, both economically, politicaly and diplomatically. That is providing they manage to stay in the EU at the very least. A Greek exit from both the EMU and EU would leave them completely alone and almost rogue, it could be cataclysmic. Just imagine the impact of losing free trade with EU countries, having to renegotiate treaties and attempting to pay for vital imports with a massively weakened Drachma while the loss of freedom of movement risks devastating the tourism industry... it boggles the mind.

If Greece drops the Euro it's difficult to see how it will stay in the EU as it likely wouldn't be able to meet its EU funding obligations.

Well they can afford to be more flexible when they are adjusting their prices and also are in the neat position where they make money regardless of whether people decide to go for cheaper vacations in Turkey.

But of course everything is conspiracy theory nonsense.

Multinational companies don't work that way. They still have to pay for property, upkeep, staff, etc. in all locations. Just because location A is booked doesn't mean location B is making a profit.

It's not as simple as "they make money regardless."

I understand why Greece wants a completely new 3rd program, but why now? Especially with the referendum looming. Feels like it's months too late for this.

Grasping at straws. Randomly throwing darts at the wall and seeing what sticks.

Realizing that months of wasting time and refusing to put forth solid proposals didn't get them an advantage and now they're panicking.

The were more people at the last festival I worked than live in Greenland, fact. :p

(About 60k tickets sold)

I'm not sure Greece and Greenland are that comparable. :p

Eh, relatively speaking Greece is still pretty small. Not as small as Greenland in terms of population, but two of the larger cities in the US have more people than the entirety of Greece.

Hahaha @ Merkel now saying no new proposal until after the referendum.

Until now it was "the door is still open!", Tsipras comes back and it's "No! It's closed!".

How more obvious can they be.

A few pages ago you were demanding that Germany respect democracy and give the people a chance to speak.

Now you want Germany to ignore the Greek people and make a new agreement before the referendum happens.

Which is it?

Subsidies make farmers counterproductive. For example, they prefer to farm cotton (which requires tons of water and the profits are not that high) just to get the subsidies.

Mind, the market situation has also made it so farmers can only ensure their viability by going in that direction.

Most CAP subsidies are based on land size of the farms. Still, without the subsidies, a good number of farmers would go out of business. Greek farmers benefit a great deal from CAP.
 

kiguel182

Member
This is utter insanity. It's like they're issuing a press release the second one of them gets a notion with no regard to, well, anything. They're manic.

It's really crazy. They have no idea of what they are doing.

I don't think anyone does at this point.
 

sflufan

Banned
Perhaps the time has come for the Greek military to re-establish a bit of "sanity" in the Greek political system, at least temporarily.
 
Which is why you all should await for proper confirmation before going crazy.
Perhaps the time has come for the Greek military to re-establish a bit of "sanity" in the Greek political system, at least temporarily.
Oh hey, new "stupidest post in the thread".
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Given hyperinflation, the stability is a big issue. Multi-nationals are likely to demand payment in EUR or USD and simply ignore the new drachma.

You say "given hyperinflation" when hyperinflation is by no means given.

He was elected to lead the government. Sometimes being a leader means making the hard decisions and doing what is best for the country, even if that is not what you personally want to do.

A leader who throws up his hands and says "I quit" when the people don't agree with him isn't a leader. That's the definition of a coward.

More stupidity. There is very rarely a "best" for a country. Different people want different things. If you're young, you don't care about savings; if you're old, you don't care about job opportunities. You may be someone who favours risk with the prospect of high rewards, you may be someone who favours the safe but small margin. You may be someone who thinks that people should live free of government support, you may be someone who thinks that equality amongst peoples is paramount. These are not solutions or equations you can solve. They are differences of principle. The entire point of the European project is that these differences of principle were not be settled by war any more, but by democracy. Tsipras offers that. He was chosen by people to be the face of anti-austerity. If he can't do that, he should not remain in office.

This "hard decisions" nonsense supposes there is an answer, that one option is definitely right. That's patently, obviously not the case, as born out of by the number of people who have spent their lives in this discipline and have argued vehemently that the Greeks should reject it, against what you see as the "simple" solution. To say that "gosh, you're such sillies for wanting something different, just knuckle down" is an insult to all of the Greeks who voted as they did and suffer as they do.
 

mnz

Unconfirmed Member
Perhaps the time has come for the Greek military to re-establish a bit of "sanity" in the Greek political system, at least temporarily.
That's the worst thing that could happen, especially since everything appears to be peaceful so far. (Which is quite astounding and deserves some repsect, too)
 

ElTorro

I wanted to dominate the living room. Then I took an ESRAM in the knee.
I honestly have no idea what Greece is thinking right now. I'm sympathic to their cause but the leadership is a bit crazy.

Same here. I do not identify with far-left politics, but I would have sympathized with electing an alternative to the corrupt traditional parties that have run the country before. I'd also be supportive of a debt relief - the only reason the Eurozone is not offering one publicly is our leader's fear of their electorate, but factually there is no other way - and alternative suggestions to austerity politics.

But these guys are either incompetent armatures or reckless, disrespectful gamblers, bullshitting everyone, including their own people, with pipe dreams and class warfare rhetoric.
 

Aureon

Please do not let me serve on a jury. I am actually a crazy person.
Europe needs a reboot.
Greece desperately needs a reboot.

If this won't change things I don't known what will. Italy defaulting and taking everyone with them maybe.

Greece debt is.. 242b, mostly held by governments, IMF, and other safe facilities.
Italy's debt is 2.2t. 2200b.
It's to be noted that right now, Italy pays 2.2% on it's debt - roughly the same as UK\US, albeit roughly 1% more than france\germany.

2.2% means safe. Not "Very Safe", but still, safe.

is 2.2t of 2% debt defaults.. 2007 will look mild in comparison.

People like Merkel, Juncker and their austerity-peddling ilk should've been forced into dishonorable resignations a LOT of time ago, yet here we are: Peddling insanity once again.
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
#eurogroup teleconf over. '#Greece promised new info by morning. Then another teleconf' says EST FinMin

#Greece authorities want to send revised policy proposals. Hence need for tomorrow's #eurogroup according to @SpiegelPeter #Greferendum

It never ends
 
Everything is beyond parody now. He'y we won't pay this back but can we borrow more...

If you squint a bit that's pretty much how most government debt works. Very little of it is ever "paid back," just paid for with new bond purchases and left to sit while the economy grows so that relative to income it's not such a big deal.
 

Aureon

Please do not let me serve on a jury. I am actually a crazy person.
Everything is beyond parody now. He'y we won't pay this back but can we borrow more...

That's sovereign debt all right, yes.
Ever-growing, self-financing debt that gets 'paid' in the sense of which GDP grows faster than debt, so everyone gets small, tidy profits all the time....
Until inflation or default hit!
 

Syriel

Member
I included the Vice President in the federal government that was arrested which would have rendered the Speaker president pro-tempore, whom I assumed would call for early elections. Rather unnecessary in retrospect, didn't really have much to do with my argument.

The US has a line of succession, to guarantee stability in leadership should something happen. There isn't a mechanism for "early elections." If the President and Vice President are assassinated, impeached, or otherwise removed, there is always someone who can immediately step in and fulfill the remainder of the term.

Now there may be a special election to fill the specific spot that was vacated when the person moved up. but it wouldn't be a national thing. It would just be for the local Congressman/woman's position.

RIP democracy.

Just another indicator that the whole thing is a big delay tactic. They don't hve a plan or care what happens (specifically). It's all about CYA.

You say "given hyperinflation" when hyperinflation is by no means given.

More stupidity. There is very rarely a "best" for a country. Different people want different things. If you're young, you don't care about savings; if you're old, you don't care about job opportunities. You may be someone who favours risk with the prospect of high rewards, you may be someone who favours the safe but small margin. You may be someone who thinks that people should live free of government support, you may be someone who thinks that equality amongst peoples is paramount. These are not solutions or equations you can solve. They are differences of principle. The entire point of the European project is that these differences of principle were not be settled by war any more, but by democracy. Tsipras offers that. He was chosen by people to be the face of anti-austerity. If he can't do that, he should not remain in office.

This "hard decisions" nonsense supposes there is an answer, that one option is definitely right. That's patently, obviously not the case, as born out of by the number of people who have spent their lives in this discipline and have argued vehemently that the Greeks should reject it, against what you see as the "simple" solution. To say that "gosh, you're such sillies for wanting something different, just knuckle down" is an insult to all of the Greeks who voted as they did and suffer as they do.

History shows us that it is extremely likely that Greece will suffer hyperinflation if it defaults and leaves the Euro. To pretend otherwise is foolish.

And no, I didn't imply that there was a "right" answer in this case, but I did say that Tsipras should LEAD. His personal opinions should not absolve him of the responsibility of running the country.

If he thinks that the people want anti-austerity above all else and he thinks that there is a chance that will be good for Greece, then he should buck up and do that.

If he thinks that the people want to stay in the Euro above all else or if he thinks that getting a workable anti-austerity deal is impossible, then he should buck up, face the facts, and go with what he thinks is the best of a bunch of bad options.

Instead, Tsipras is trying to punt responsibility to the public, so he can avoid any criticism. This is the textbook example of a weak leader.
 

Xando

Member
but when exactly is the default deadline? this is all so confusing

IMF is today but real deadline will be mid/end july if greece defaults on ecb debts.
Varoufakis hat in Eurogruppe angeboten, Referendum gegen Schuldenschnitt zu tauschen. Da platzen ein paar Krägen, Telefonschalte isch over.
"Varoufakis tried to trade referendum against debt cut in eurogroup. Some (finance ministers) were furious, conference call over."
https://twitter.com/StefanLeifert/status/615951781177225216
 

Ted Striker

Neo Member
The thing i really hate now is that the corrupted scumbags of previous governments will try to make a come back taking advantage of Tsipra's shenanigans.
 

Theonik

Member
Multinational companies don't work that way. They still have to pay for property, upkeep, staff, etc. in all locations. Just because location A is booked doesn't mean location B is making a profit.

It's not as simple as "they make money regardless."
I said, they make money either way, since in this case they are competing with themselves. It's not like it doesn't cost them. But they aren't in the situation of a small family hotel where they need more bookings or risk starving in the off season.
 
Everything is beyond parody now. He'y we won't pay this back but can we borrow more...

Could be worse, they could be forced to take a bailout to the tune of 100% of your GDP on the proviso that you use all but a tiny fraction of it to immediately pay off the private banks who would otherwise have been first to feel the brunt of any haircut or default.

We haven't bailed out greece, we've bailed out the banks that bought their bonds. We've done this full in the knowledge that even in the best case where everything goes the troika's way there is no way the Greek economy can recover to pay off their debt.

So, one way or another, this debt is going to be worthless. Who's going to take the hit? The banks that took the commercial risk? No, the EU taxpayer who has nationalised their debt and the people of greece who have seen their country pillaged and privatised to try and make up the shortfall the EU couldn't.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
If you squint a bit that's pretty much how most government debt works. Very little of it is ever "paid back," just paid for with new bond purchases and left to sit while the economy grows so that relative to income it's not such a big deal.

Actually, most of it is paid back, new debt is just taken on at a faster rate than old debt is paid off; but revenues also raise to accomodate them. That's why the debt to state revenue ratio is probably the most useful why of examining debt, although debt to GDP does okay as well.
 

Osiris

I permanently banned my 6 year old daughter from using the PS4 for mistakenly sending grief reports as it's too hard to watch or talk to her
"Cut our debt and we'll cancel the referendum" - Varoufakis

So much for democracy. :p

Yanis proving again that everything has a price, even the Greek vote. :p
 

ElTorro

I wanted to dominate the living room. Then I took an ESRAM in the knee.
The only good thing about finance minister Voldemort is that is driving a Yamaha XJR 1300 and wearing a Crumpler backpack.
 
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