D
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Does this consider though the economic impact of the last week and a bit's events?
(I.e. the imposition of capital controls as a result of the lapsing of the second bailout and the plausible spectre of Grexit.)
Or to put it another way, could a similar outcome have been achieved without all this brinksmanship.
Depends entirely on where you think Greece will be in 4 years. My prognosis says the shitter.