Support NeoGAF

[sonycowboy]

Because it deserves a topic all it's own

How well do you guys think GTA: SA can sell? As in the upper limit, assuming it's not crappy, gets great reviews, great media exposure, etc.

GTA: VC has sold ~6.7 million (with the double pack) already.

The userbase when GTA: VC was launched was ~13 million US.
The userbase when GTA: SA launches should be twice that at ~26 million.

I'm expecting it to sell slightly better that GTA: SA, which would be a tremendous accomplishment all its own, but boy, this thing could seriously BLOW UP.

 

[6.8]

Much less than Halo2. [/delusional]

 

[jarrod]

I'm not sure usebase relates directly to game sales... though GTA's a casual enough series where it might work. It'll be the best selling game this year though, that's for sure (with Pokemon FR/LG, Madden PS2 and Halo 2 all falling in line behind it).

 

[Mrbob]

Two million max.

 

[sonycowboy]

Two million max.

You misunderstood. I wasn't talking day 1 sales, this is for the lifetime of the game

 

[bishoptl]

hooo haaa

 

[SyNapSe]

27 millionz

 

[bishoptl]

a billionz jillionz

Come on, we all know how this going to end up. Halo 2 fans will be in here downplaying it, somebody will bring up their erronous estimates on Vice City, it'll go back and forth for a page and a half, and I'll end up locking the thread and probably banning somebody.

Let's talk about something else, like whether or not CJ will be able to eat pancakes in San Andreas. Because if you can, my CJ will make Fat Albert look like Kate Moss.

 

[explodet]

HEY HEY HEY

 

[Littleberu]

Less than Vice City IMO. There are so many great games coming out this Fall.

 

[Deku Tree]

I think it'll sell more than Vice City, maybe alot more.

I think the new look will help increased sales dramatically.

 

[Lazy8s]

Less PS2s than Halo 2 will sell Xboxes. That covered, GTA: SA will still outsell every other game.

 

[jett]

Call me crazy but I think it will sell less than Vice City.

 

[Baron Aloha]

Less than VC, more than GTAIII.

 

[AirBrian]

GTA:SA > GTA:VC

 

[MrPing1000]

Less than VC, more than GTAIII.

agreed

 

[evil ways]

My whiteness prevents me from making any sort of estimates about GTA San Andreas's sales.

Let's talk about something else, like whether or not CJ will be able to eat pancakes in San Andreas. Because if you can, my CJ will make Fat Albert look like Kate Moss.

Waffles my good man, buttermilk, covered in melted butter with just the right amount of maple syrup. And 2 sausages, please.

 

[puck1337]

More. As much as the kids like the retro, they love the gangsta shit even more.

 

[teepo]

who cares.

 

[djtiesto]

I'd say less than Vice City, maybe about the same as GTA3... Because, it seems like people will either wait for the Xbox version (as there are many more Xboxes in homes now than there were when VC comes out), and a lot of people are probably burnt out on the series (such as myself). It's gonna definitely be the biggest selling game of this holiday season... I'm curious to see what other games will do well, or if there are gonna be any big name failures. I have a feeling MGS3 won't be doing as well as expected. And I'm curious to see Halo vs Halo 2 in sales, or GT4 vs Halo 2.

 

[SolidSnakex]

5 million by the end of the year, 7 million overall (the the PS2) and 8.5 million when you combine it's multiplatform sales.

 

[Solid]

Around 6-7 million is my guess.

 

[Vargas]

More than Vice City but not by much.

 

[UbiSoftologist]

GTA: VC has sold ~6.7 million (with the double pack) already.

According to a press release from Rockstar in March 04:

''Over 30 million units of the Grand Theft Auto franchise have been shipped to date, including over 11.5 million units of Grand Theft Auto: Vice City and over 10.5 million units of Grand Theft Auto 3.''

http://ir.take2games.com/ReleaseDetail.cfm?ReleaseID=130847


Just curious: Are you sure that only 6.7M units of GTA:VC have been sold through?

Thanks for your clarification.

 

[Vargas]

According to a press release from Rockstar in March 04:

''Over 30 million units of the Grand Theft Auto franchise have been shipped to date, including over 11.5 million units of Grand Theft Auto: Vice City and over 10.5 million units of Grand Theft Auto 3.''

http://ir.take2games.com/ReleaseDetail.cfm?ReleaseID=130847


Just curious: Are you sure that only 6.7M units of GTA:VC have been sold through?

Thanks for your clarification.

Shipped means sold to publishers. We do know for a fact that more than 6 million copies of Vice City have been sold on the PS2 in the USA.

 

[cvxfreak]

Less than VC, more than GTAIII.

IAWTP

 

[Insertia]

More then Vice City, but not by a great margin.

 

[bjork]

It's got a black guy and rap music.

 

[disabledHeliocentric]

Since it's the third GTA his gen probably less. With Halo people are starved, they are hungry. With GTA many of us feel bloated as is.

 

[Grubdog]

I don't care, it will sell more than one copy (my copy), that's all I need to know.

 

[bishoptl]

a billionz jillionz

Come on, we all know how this going to end up. Halo 2 fans will be in here downplaying it, somebody will bring up their erronous estimates on Vice City, it'll go back and forth for a page and a half

it's like I'm freakin psychic

 

[UbiSoftologist]

We do know for a fact that more than 6 million copies of Vice City have been sold on the PS2 in the USA.

I just found NPD's sell-through numbers for GTA:

PS2 GTA3: 5,413,245
PS2 GTA:VC: 6,088,771
PS2 GTADP: 594,420

Update:

NPD understates actual sales by 20 to 30% on average because Wal Mart doesn't supply sales information to NPD. Therefore, the actual unit sales of GTA:VC (including GTADP) could range from 8,353,989 (6,683,191 / 0.8) to 9,547,416 (6,683,191 / 0.7). So, I expect GTA:SA to sell through 10-11M units in its lifetime.

 

[Alcibiades]

I just found NPD's sell-through numbers for GTA:

PS2 GTA3: 5,413,245
PS2 GTA:VC: 6,088,771
PS2 GTADP: 594,420

Update:

NPD understates actual sales by 20 to 30% on average because Wal Mart doesn't supply sales information to NPD. Therefore, the actual unit sales of GTA:VC (including GTADP) could range from 8,353,989 (6,683,191 / 0.8) to 9,547,416 (6,683,191 / 0.7). So, I expect GTA:SA to sell through 10-11M units in its lifetime.

NPD reports a 100% ESTIMATE (after collecting about 60% of actual sales), so while the numbers could definitely be off, it's no guarantee that they are underreporting, and in fact, could possibly be overreporting just as likely as they are to underreport...

also, key retailers like Toys 'R Us and Wal-Mart (where kid-friendly stuff sells very well) aren't included in NPD tracking...

 

[snapty00]

I don't think it'll reach Vice City. It might, but I just don't think it will.

I wonder what consumers think of the next Grand Theft Auto, anyway. Obviously, hardcore gamers want it, but I wonder if the hype from other consumers is more or less than previous Grand Theft Auto games.

 

[sonycowboy]

According to a press release from Rockstar in March 04:

''Over 30 million units of the Grand Theft Auto franchise have been shipped to date, including over 11.5 million units of Grand Theft Auto: Vice City and over 10.5 million units of Grand Theft Auto 3.''

http://ir.take2games.com/ReleaseDetail.cfm?ReleaseID=130847


Just curious: Are you sure that only 6.7M units of GTA:VC have been sold through?

Thanks for your clarification.

The 11.5 million is worldwide.

6.7 million Sold in US for the PS2
It's sold almost as well in Europe
I'm not counting the 1 million Xbox sales or the PC sales.

 

[evil ways]

And the 300,000 something copies sold in Japan.

 

[davis]

6.8 copies white america won't buy it.