So we're approaching the end of the day here, so I'll give some final thoughts.
Mafia is a game that's going to have people who deliberately aren't being straight-forward, especially on Day 1. Having slept on it now, I realize that - and I think plays like Blarg's, while frustrating and difficult to understand, are really not that out of the norm for this game.
In order to not be straight-forward, you may have to stop making sense. You may also have to lie. A lie can misdirect Town, and it can misdirect scum. A lie is a neutral tool.
The nature of the game is that scum are more knowledged on Day 1 than most (if not all) other players, depending on the setup. It's my estimation that the more you know, the more you can lie about.
Now, maybe it's the case that scum has laid completely low this round, and it's the Town players who have blathered on. That's entirely possible, considering how many players haven't been that active. After all, mafia can't play ringleader to the circus if there's no circus.
But there has been a little bit of a circus.
We've seen players who have not made sense, or seem to be lying. Out of these people, batsnacks stinks the most. His reasoning and defense has contradicted itself more than once, and propping himself up with canned reasoning from a mafia strategy guide just isn't working - especially when he roleclaims something that seems like he has no idea what he's doing.
It's pretty obvious to me that batsnacks is lying. But is it a good lie, or a evil lie?
For one, he's pushed his narrative not really to shake people off his trail, but instead to lead a vote on others. That sounds like evil lying.
Next, his roleclaim involves leaving him around so that he can have a power role check him, or Jail a power role so that their blocked power 'proves' he worked. Basically, he wants to waste Town PR's time for information that could prove inconclusive. This sounds like evil lying.
Finally, in case it even needed to be stated, claiming any sort of Doctor role (and one that can't even self-target) is pretty much suicide. Not worried about getting night-killed, I suppose?
My vote is on batsnacks because even in the increasingly unlikely event that he's telling the truth, he's by far the deadest weight in the group.