Alright, so, if you guys lynch me today (or any other towny for that matter), we are going to be in misslynch--> lose tomorrow, right?
WRONG, if you lynch me or any towny today, we are going to LOSE.
In my calculation, I said a misslynch would lead to a 2 VS 3 situation. NO IT WOULD NOT!
Sorian is not town, he is neutral! I completely forgot that. And his win condition is to make it to the end, it doesn't matter if scum or town wins! So what happens if we misslynch today:
We have 2 town, 2 scum and 1 neutral that wins if he survives to the end. What do you think the neutral is going to do? Going to try and lynch a scum and risk getting night killed? No, of course not. Sorian wants to win! If he is smart, and he is!, he would just step out, ask who the Scum is, scum will step into the light, the three of them vote for one of the two remaining townies and BAM, Sorian and scum wins! AND THERE IS NOTHING TOWN CAN DO ABOUT IT, NOTHING.
A misslynch today is actively in Sorian his best interest! He will not get night killed because the scum would recognize this action as Sorian switching his alignment! And then they all, scum+sorian, will just step out in the open tomorrow and win. It is the safest way for Sorian to win! Sorian was pro town....up till now! Now it is better for him to switch sides! It minimizes the risk of getting NK and assures he wins tomorrow! HE IS NOW WORKING FOR THE SCUM!