I'm generally of the opinion that most of the things actually typed by people in general conversation is bupkis in terms of evidence. You can think your posts through too much that you probably aren't going to give yourself up that way. So we need to at least look at the actual actions taken in terms of voting, since that adds some reasons to vote things that don't make sense because you know it is good for your team and makes it so you have to (or don't have to) explain yourself.
The most interesting thing that's happened is the railroading of Egruntz. Let's look at why everyone did it. Or claims they did it.
Kalor: Says they are just voting to get voting started and see what people vote.
Timeaisis: Had been debating back and forth with Egruntz for a bit. Disagreed with reasons for Egruntz's accusations.
Palmer_v1: "just throwing votes out"
Rembrandt: Agrees with Timeaisis, theorizes a Mafia member trying to hide as a valuable townmember.
johnnyquicknives: "I'm going to throw a vote in the mix" Doesn't have gut feeling, but says that there have been too many posts that suspicious and weird.
------------ This is where egruntz makes the post saying it is "fine" that he'll get lynched and that we aren't cool or good at Mafia ----
Karkador: Votes because Egruntz was being elitist and talked down to the thread.
Irfaanator: Says since Egruntz basically gave up might as well vote him.
Pants: Going with the crowd.
Zippedinhead: Has reasoning in
previous post where says torn on the vote. Then changed mind a minute later. Talks about how the majority of active players seems against egruntz, which could be bad.
Staydead: Joining bandwagon.
El Topo: Not convinced, but says lynching someone will give info.
Lord of Castemere: Doesn't think they're Mafia, but also doesn't think they have a role.
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In looking at all of them, a lot were just wishy washy especially at the end after Karkador finished the job egruntz started and painted him as a bad sport elitist who isn't fun. The more I look like it Kark's post makes less and less sense to make. Obviously this is easier in hindsight, but dropping a huge pipebomb on a player who is doing a bit of self immolating sounds like an awfully opportunistic move that a Mafia member is very likely to make.
VOTE: Karkador