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[Dahbomb]

This thread has gone into overdrive... bets all around. :lol

 

[Jirotrom]

Too bad berieve is already banned, he was off to such a good start. Only the good die young .

why, was he banned... I would like to know as I would hate to get banned for the same reason.

 

[Phife Dawg]

why, was he banned... I would like to know as I would hate to get banned for the same reason.

Just read his posts in the thread I think you get a pretty good idea. He was being a not really stealthy troll.

 

[Mithos Yggdrasill]

according to sinobi, wii fit preorders are in the 150,000 to 300000 range. isnt that kinda low?

Yeah. It is low. Are you sure that these are retailer preorders and not consumer preorders ?

 

[Defuser]

Yeah. It is low. Are you sure that these are retailer preorders and not consumer preorders ?

They must be still burned from the SMG 700k preorder.

 

[Lobster]

Didn't Wii Sports only sell about 180k first week?

I forget, I'd love to see the first week numbers for Wii Play and Wii Sports again. It would give a good idea on how Wii Fit is going to do.

 

[Kenka]

Holy hell at the french Amazon charts this week. 23/25 is Nintendo and it would be 25/25 if Call of Duty were on Wii.

Also, predictions :

1st day : 211'000
1st week : 346'000
1st year 890'000
Lifetime : 1'850'000

 

[Phife Dawg]

Didn't Wii Sports only sell about 180k first week?

I forget, I'd love to see the first week numbers for Wii Play and Wii Sports again. It would give a good idea on how Wii Fit is going to do.

Using Moor-Angol's site (famitsu) 176.880 for sports and 171.888 for play.

Yeah. It is low. Are you sure that these are retailer preorders and not consumer preorders ?

They saw EoJ sales and thought that peripherals don't sell.

I hope they order more though or my prediction is bunk :lol .

 

[Lobster]

Using Moor-Angol's site (famitsu) 176.880 for sports and 171.888 for play.

mmm. This is why my predictions are low. These 2 games sold less then Zelda first week and went on to sell 2 million.

 

[wazoo]

Holy hell at the french Amazon charts this week. 23/25 is Nintendo and it would be 25/25 if Call of Duty were on Wii.

In fact 41/50 of the Top50 are Nintendo related, the rest is mostly PC gaming and Sony PSP hardware ..

 

[Moor-Angol]

All you guys

Don't have to forget

Wii Fit first week sales

Will be

Spoiler

Only 2 days

Instead of

4 days as usual

 

[ksamedi]

100k first day
5 million lifetime in Japan, much more wordwide.

 

[Rock_Man]

The following graphs show the weekly sales of software (top) and hardware (bottom) from the launch of PS3 to the week ending November 11 2007. The sales are shown as shares of total sales of PS3, Wii and X360 just like in a pie chart. But instead of showing 108 different pie charts I give you all data in just one image. The data comes from Famitsu.

 

[test_account]

Has anyone shown concern with the hugh jazz balance board for WiiFit? Ok, maybe its not that huge, but by the looks of it it seems to be just as big as the PS3 (altho thinner). I've seen people saying that one of the reasons why PS3 doesnt do so well in Japan is because of its size. I also heard that one japanese developer (or something) said that 360 didnt sell so well because of the big powersupply, altho i dont put too much belive into this hehe

 

[Segata Sanshiro]

Has anyone shown concern with the hugh jazz balance board for WiiFit? Ok, maybe its not that huge, but by the looks of it it seems to be just as big as the PS3 (altho thinner). I've seen people saying that one of the reasons why PS3 doesnt do so well in Japan is because of its size. I also heard that one japanese developer (or something) said that 360 didnt sell so well because of the big powersupply, altho i dont put too much belive into this hehe

This is why I'm being a bit cagey. Though unlike the 360 power supply and the PS3, I suppose the Wii Balance Board is a bit easier to slide away into storage when not in use. Still, it's definitely something predictors need to consider.

 

[Kafel]

All you guys

Don't have to forget

Wii Fit first week sales

Will be

low. Because it's a "casual" game.

It will be a phenomenon, but it will start slowly.

 

[test_account]

This is why I'm being a bit cagey. Though unlike the 360 power supply and the PS3, I suppose the Wii Balance Board is a bit easier to slide away into storage when not in use. Still, it's definitely something predictors need to consider.

Ye, true, the balance board looks easier to put away when its not in use. I dont think the size matters that much when it comes to sales if the product itself looks really cool and interesting, but i'm just throwing it out there wondering about what others think about it

 

[Pureauthor]

So, I'm posting this from the LiJiang province in China where it's absolutely freezing and all - and this was the first computer with internet access I could use.

Anyway, no time to comment on the thread as a whole, but in relation to the OP:

Software:

Nice RE:UC sales

SMG...

Hardware:

Go DS, go!

 

[tanod]

I think for WiiFit, I've said 250k first week.

After that, I'm a lot less sure so maybe 150k first day and 1.5 - 2.0 million lifetime.

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

Yea you're right, I was thinking the Wii game.
Damn stupid generic titles - how is one supposed to tell them apart. Maybe if they think of a title that doesn't sound like most other games in the genre that would help sales too.

In this case I think we can blame the localizers. There'd be no mixing up of Nintendo Touch Golf (True Swing) and Swing Golf PangYa (Super Swing). Actually, checking Wikipedia just now, it turns out the European versions got names more like the originals, so let's specifically blame the American localizers.

Didn't Wii Sports only sell about 180k first week?

I forget, I'd love to see the first week numbers for Wii Play and Wii Sports again. It would give a good idea on how Wii Fit is going to do.

Yeah, but even if we were talking about completely equivalent games, the situations at launch and one year later are different enough that it'd be hard to use one to form an expectation for the other.

mmm. This is why my predictions are low. These 2 games sold less then Zelda first week and went on to sell 2 million.

Nope. Twilight Princess was the #3 Wii launch game at 145,068 (Famitsu).

 

[Stumpokapow]

So, I'm posting this from the LiJiang province in China where it's absolutely freezing and all - and this was the first computer with internet access I could use.

Anyway, no time to comment on the thread as a whole, but in relation to the OP:

You have time to go on vacation or visit relatives when you could be studying for your A-levels?!? :lol

 

[Kosma]

So, I'm posting this from the LiJiang province in China where it's absolutely freezing and all - and this was the first computer with internet access I could use.

Anyway, no time to comment on the thread as a whole, but in relation to the OP:

Software:

Nice RE:UC sales

SMG...

Hardware:

Go DS, go!

Which city are you in?

 

[Stumpokapow]

Which city are you in?

Lijiang is a prefecture-city in Yunnan province... so there, unless he misromanized Zhejiang as Lijiang, which would be unusual.

 

[Kosma]

Lijiang is a prefecture-city in Yunnan province... so there, unless he misromanized Zhejiang as Lijiang, which would be unusual.

That's what I was thinking too. Lijiang rocks, Mama Naxi youth hostel <3

 

[Stumpokapow]

That's what I was thinking too. Lijiang rocks, Mama Naxi youth hostel <3

Never been ... I just spent my early college years as a Geography-CompSci dual major.

 

[Kosma]

Never been ... I just spent my early college years as a Geography-CompSci dual major.

You should go man, Tiger Leaping Gorge is so impressive. Mama Naxi offers a warm bed for a mere 20 yuan (2 euro) a night (that includes breakfast and dinner), plus you get her to yell that's it's time to go to bed after 12 if you're still playing poker and drinking beer in the courtyard.

 

[Stumpokapow]

You should go man, Tiger Leaping Gorge is so impressive. Mama Naxi offers a warm bed for a mere 20 yuan (2 euro) a night (that includes breakfast and dinner), plus you get her to yell that's it's time to go to bed after 12 if you're still playing poker and drinking beer in the courtyard.

I'll definitely keep it in mind. I'm planning on doing the "spend a few months in Asia bumming around" in 2009 or 2010 and this sort of thing is pretty much exactly what I'm looking for

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

So I got up GCN/GBA/PS2/Xbox data for 2003, based on Famitsu weekly Top 30 and full-year Top 100.

FFTA vs FFT PSP vs FFTA2

Mario Party 4 vs 8 again, now that there's some MP4 data going past the new year.

SSBM vs Wii Sports

Sonic Adventure 2 Battle vs Adventure DX vs the Secret Rings

 

[PhoenixDark]

Wii Fit might sale 150,000 in a week at best. Nintendo should have released it before the PS3 became the dominant system

 

[vanguardian1]

Wii Fit might sale 150,000 in a week at best. Nintendo should have released it before the PS3 became the dominant system

I thought they learned their lesson last generation about releasing unfinished products.

 

[Lightning]

Wii Fit might sale 150,000 in a week at best. Nintendo should have released it before the PS3 became the dominant system

Since when did the PS3 become the dominant system? :lol

 

[davepoobond]

do casuals pay mind to release dates? will they really be excited enough to go and get it as soon as it comes out?

wiifit will have to have good legs to have an actual proven appeal to the casual crowd. the people who buy it in the first week are not going to be "casual" by any sense of the word.

 

[Fuzzy]

do casuals pay mind to release dates? will they really be excited enough to go and get it as soon as it comes out?

wiifit will have to have good legs to have an actual proven appeal to the casual crowd. the people who buy it in the first week are not going to be "casual" by any sense of the word.

Unless they're walking through a store and see one of those demos cvxfreak posted and decide to pick it up right away.

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

Casual games can start low and keep selling consistently, yes, but that doesn't mean they can't start huge. Brain Age started slow, but due to its popularity Brain Age 2 was highly anticipated and sold over 400K its first week.

 

[BishopLamont]

Casual games can start low and keep selling consistently, yes, but that doesn't mean they can't start huge. Brain Age started slow, but due to its popularity Brain Age 2 was highly anticipated and sold over 400K its first week.

Yeah but Wii Fit is a new IP, although it shares similarity with Wii Sports in it's appeal, so I expect a medium sized launch 150-200k. Bigger then average for a new IP, but nothing like a sequel.

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

So when starting to put up software information, one of the first simple pages I made was one to list the information on all titles for reference. Fine at first, but since the first batch of information the number of games listed has increased more than a dozenfold, so the page has gotten too damn large; no need for a half-megabyte page when looking for a specific title. Rather than narrowing it down by splitting up by platform or whatnot, I put such possibilities for all fields, and it seems to work pretty swell. It's lacking a way to order your results, so currently it sticks with the default and orders them by platform alphabetically, then by release date. Some sample requests:

Games with the word Mario in the English title.
Games with a launch price in the 7000-7999 range, which would be more useful if so many games weren't listed without a price.
Sega games with the word "baseball" in the title.
GBA games with the word "Advance" in the title.
Konami games on PlayStation systems. _ is a single character wildcard, so I put in PS_ for the platform.
Sammy games released in March. % is the multicharacter wildcard, so I put in %-03-% for the date. YYYY-MM-DD format.

 

[Vinnk]

So when starting to put up software information, one of the first simple pages I made was one to list the information on all titles for reference. Fine at first, but since the first batch of information the number of games listed has increased more than a dozenfold, so the page has gotten too damn large; no need for a half-megabyte page when looking for a specific title. Rather than narrowing it down by splitting up by platform or whatnot, I put such possibilities for all fields, and it seems to work pretty swell. It's lacking a way to order your results, so currently it sticks with the default and orders them by platform alphabetically, then by release date. Some sample requests:

Games with the word Mario in the English title.
Games with a launch price in the 7000-7999 range, which would be more useful if so many games weren't listed without a price.
Sega games with the word "baseball" in the title.
GBA games with the word "Advance" in the title.
Konami games on PlayStation systems. _ is a single character wildcard, so I put in PS_ for the platform.
Sammy games released in March. % is the multicharacter wildcard, so I put in %-03-% for the date. YYYY-MM-DD format.

Simply amazing. So much imformation. This will be a very useful tool for future MC threads. But be careful, fanboys really hate facts, they get in the way of their opinions.

 

[sprsk]

Historically, I don't think I've ever seen an actual preorder number for a game in Japan, it has always been retail preorders.

Most likely this is a reaction to Mario Galaxy.

Then again, I doubt this is the kind of game people will preorder.

 

[reilo]

SMG:

Famitsu 	2007-10-29 	1 	256,341 	256,341
Famitsu 	2007-11-05 	3 	78,349 	        334,690

MP8:

Famitsu 	2007-07-23 	1 	282,389 	282,389
Famitsu 	2007-07-30 	1 	147,084 	429,473
Famitsu 	2007-08-13 	1 	230,154 	659,627

Tears.

 

[Forgotten Ancient]

Then again, I doubt this is the kind of game people will preorder.

What does that make you?

 

[Tiktaalik]

So when starting to put up software information, one of the first simple pages I made was one to list the information on all titles for reference. Fine at first, but since the first batch of information the number of games listed has increased more than a dozenfold, so the page has gotten too damn large; no need for a half-megabyte page when looking for a specific title. Rather than narrowing it down by splitting up by platform or whatnot, I put such possibilities for all fields, and it seems to work pretty swell. It's lacking a way to order your results, so currently it sticks with the default and orders them by platform alphabetically, then by release date. Some sample requests:

Games with the word Mario in the English title.
Games with a launch price in the 7000-7999 range, which would be more useful if so many games weren't listed without a price.
Sega games with the word "baseball" in the title.
GBA games with the word "Advance" in the title.
Konami games on PlayStation systems. _ is a single character wildcard, so I put in PS_ for the platform.
Sammy games released in March. % is the multicharacter wildcard, so I put in %-03-% for the date. YYYY-MM-DD format.

holy shit

 

[apujanata]

Edit : Just noticed that Joshua already answered the point.

Updated Prediction for Wii Fit


first week sales :

Satter          : 600K.
donny2112       : 400K - 500K.
schuelma        : 400K.
xisiqomelir     : 400K.
kenka           : 346K.
apujanata       : 333K - 375K.
charlequin      : 326K.
Frillen         : 300K - 350K (from 400K - 500K).
riskychris      : 300K.
Phife Dawg      : 300K.
Lucky           : 252K.
tanod           : 250K (from 400K).
iidesuyo        : 240K.
justchris       : 225K.
Moor-Angol      : 225K.
Cooltrick       : 200K.
Lobster         : 200K. (from 180K)
PantherLotus    : 175K.
Segata Sanshiro : 170K (from 325k).
sphinx          : 165K
First children  : 160K
PhoenixDark     : 150K.
Nolan.          : 130K.
taconinja       : 100K
zombie crimes   : 70K - 100K.

LTD

ksamedi         : 5 Million
Lobster         : 2.3 Million
kenka           : 1.85 Million
tanod           : 1.5 - 2.0 Million

I don't track First day (since it is not certain that we will get first day #) and first year

 

[CoolTrick]

Um, Nintendo isn't even shipping more than 300k units the first week. 600k predictions are ridiculous.

 

[Segata Sanshiro]

I'll toss a lifetime prediction in. Wii's got a lot of years left, so I'm going to say 3.2 million in Japan when the dust settles.

 

[sprsk]

What does that make you?

Too human?

 

[reilo]

Too human?

Dennis Dyack?!

I'll throw in my WiiFit prediction. Never done any of them before, but what the hell?

Week? 350K.

LTD? 2mil.

 

[RBH]

Wii Fit prediction:

First week: 375K

LTD: 2.5 million

 

[perfectchaos007]

Wii Fit prediction:

First week 150k

LTD: 1.5 mil

 

[Innotech]

250k

 

[Bishman]

Dengeki has Umbrella Chronicles at 109K.

They also have Biohazard 4 Wii Edition at 134K LTD.

WOOT!