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[Great Rumbler]

Looks like I'm late by a week or two, but Nintendo has passed their hardware units sold for all of 2005... which themselves were better than 2004 and 2003.

I said "wow".

 

[donny2112]

Maybe I should ask for drop below 50K, since there is no way that DS will drop to <50K due to shortages.

If Nintendo keeps their shipments consistently going at a good clip, I agree. Before the DS Lite, the DS had a sub-20K week in January due to shortages, but then Nintendo wasn't/couldn't do weekly shipments. They were totally caught flat-footed after that December rush.

 

[Earthstrike]

Whats Japan's initial PS3 shipment again? I wonder if the DS could outsell it?

 

[slaughterking]

100.000 PS3 units for Japan. It's most likely that the DS will outsell this.

 

[chadums90]

100k for the first day or first week?

 

[AdmiralViscen]

Is there a difference?

 

[chadums90]

Is there a difference?

I dunno, could they ship more later in a week or does that never happen?

 

[fly high ~ayunite~]

Are Nintendo still manufacturing GCs?

 

[jamesinclair]

Whats Japan's initial PS3 shipment again? I wonder if the DS could outsell it?

Thats almost assured.

DS will probably outsell the Wii at launch also.

 

[Deku]

Nintendo should do a DS/Wii Super pack for the price of a PS3 retard pack.

 

[MrSardonic]

Nintendo should do a DS/Wii Super pack for the price of a PS3 retard pack.

easily less than the price of PS3

 

[Tadaima]

DS will probably outsell the Wii at launch also.

I doubt the DS will outsell Wii. Nintendo will likely temorarily slow the DS shipments so Japan is forced to look at another alternative when the Wii launches.

Nintendo don't want the charts to show their console from 2 years back outselling their hottest new product, even if it costs them millions (which'll be claimed when they raise the DS shipments again anyway).

Remember that right now, Nintendo controls Japan.

Spoiler

Who'd have thought it, three years back.

 

[Branduil]

Nintendo should do a DS/Wii Super pack for the price of a PS3 retard pack.

Wii package+DS Lite+Brain Training=

$370 dollar package.

 

[YourMaster]

Wii package+DS Lite+Brain Training=

$370 dollar package.

How about a pokemon pack, Wii, DS and 2 pokemon games.

 

[Axord]

I doubt the DS will outsell Wii. Nintendo will likely temorarily slow the DS shipments so Japan is forced to look at another alternative when the Wii launches.

I'm pretty sure Iwata would think you were crazy if you suggested such a plan to him. There's no benefit.

1. Retailers wouldn't be impressed, because they'll know they got shorted on DS shipment numbers.

2. Nintendo cares about making money, not silly PR stunts that the 0.001% of their customer base that was even paying attention would dismiss because it was a supply fluke, not a trend.

3. PS3 sales being obliterated by the sales of two Nintendo systems each by themselves makes a much better headline, even if it's based on Sony's suppy problems.

4. Slowing DS sales is highly unlikely to transfer demand to the Wii.

 

[Branduil]

How about a pokemon pack, Wii, DS and 2 pokemon games.

Wii(with Wii Sports swapped out for Pokemon Battle), DS Lite, 2 Pokemon games=

$400 Pokemon bundle.

 

[human5892]

I doubt the DS will outsell Wii. Nintendo will likely temorarily slow the DS shipments so Japan is forced to look at another alternative when the Wii launches.

Nintendo don't want the charts to show their console from 2 years back outselling their hottest new product, even if it costs them millions (which'll be claimed when they raise the DS shipments again anyway).

Remember that right now, Nintendo controls Japan.

Spoiler

Who'd have thought it, three years back.

That plan doesn't make a lick of sense. I see Axord has already broken down why.

 

[GaimeGuy]

I doubt the DS will outsell Wii. Nintendo will likely temorarily slow the DS shipments so Japan is forced to look at another alternative when the Wii launches.

Nintendo don't want the charts to show their console from 2 years back outselling their hottest new product, even if it costs them millions (which'll be claimed when they raise the DS shipments again anyway).

It's a good thing you aren't running a multi-billion dollar corporation.

 

[apujanata]

Question for those that stay at Japan :
- Is it still difficult to buy DSL ? Is the DSL still sold out within half day of re-stock ? I remember Jonnyram mention (about one month ago) that shops usually re-stock DSL on Saturday morning, and it is usually sold out by Saturday noon.
- if there is still shortage of DS, how much is the asking price for DSL by the smaller shops (who have it available, but at a higher than standar price) ?

 

[Earthstrike]

100.000 PS3 units for Japan. It's most likely that the DS will outsell this.

I was just unsure of how much PS3 was shipping. I said to myself "Yeah I think its 100,000" but then I said to myself "Wait a minute, Sony isn't a retarded company. What kind of a launch is only 100,000 units."

Yeah, the fanboy are gonna put it all over the internet

"PS3 launch outsold by Nintendo DS"

 

[Yoshi]

With a slight chance of being outsold by PSP too .

 

[Hurricane_Chris]

Question for those that stay at Japan :
- Is it still difficult to buy DSL ? Is the DSL still sold out within half day of re-stock ? I remember Jonnyram mention (about one month ago) that shops usually re-stock DSL on Saturday morning, and it is usually sold out by Saturday noon.
- if there is still shortage of DS, how much is the asking price for DSL by the smaller shops (who have it available, but at a higher than standar price) ?

I am Tokyo, I don't know about elsewhere in Japan.
1. Yes DSL is still sold out generally. Most stores exhaust their supply of DSLs by the end of the day they received the shipment on. Most bigger stores announce they have DSLs and how many then people line up and buy them, usually this exhausts the stock but sometimes it doesn't

2. Small shops charge the normal price for DSL. Some shops are importing DSls from different regions and selling them.

 

[Yamauchi]

Is Nintendo going to be able to provide more hardware for the launch of Pokemon. Say, 500,000?

 

[koam]

DS has the potential of completely destroying the PS2 in sales because of the price advantage and the fact that families tend to buy more than one DS (one per child) vs one PS2 per household (or in Japan, I guess one of each color per household :lol)

I don't think we'll see DS sales drop any time soon, I can see this trend continuing for another year or so. Mighty impressive that they're STILL selling over 100,000 a month. Never expected that.

 

[slaughterking]

Always unbelievable to read some first-hand impressions about the DS situation in Japan.

/edit:

Mighty impressive that they're STILL selling over 100,000 a month.

Over 100.000 a week, dude.

 

[gconsole]

DS has the potential of completely destroying the PS2 in sales because of the price advantage and the fact that families tend to buy more than one DS (one per child) vs one PS2 per household (or in Japan, I guess one of each color per household :lol)

I don't think we'll see DS sales drop any time soon, I can see this trend continuing for another year or so. Mighty impressive that they're STILL selling over 100,000 a week. Never expected that.

fixed.

 

[Square2005]

I WORK FOR FAMITSU. Which is why ioi offends me so much.

You're joking, right!?
'Cos if you do I've got a million questions to ask you...

 

[Moor-Angol]

how much is Pokemon D/P first shipment ?

 

[cvxfreak]

You're joking, right!?
'Cos if you do I've got a million questions to ask you...

I've said too much.

*runs*

Spoiler

Of course not.

 

[radcliff]

DSL, plus Pokemon Diamond/Pearl, Wii, and Pokemon Battle Revolution would cause time to stand still in Japan.

 

[Deku]

I'm still voting for the DS/Wii non-gamer package. It comes with Wii Training packed in.

DS has the potential of completely destroying the PS2 in sales because of the price advantage and the fact that families tend to buy more than one DS (one per child) vs one PS2 per household (or in Japan, I guess one of each color per household :lol)

I don't think we'll see DS sales drop any time soon, I can see this trend continuing for another year or so. Mighty impressive that they're STILL selling over 100,000 a month. Never expected that.

I'd expect something slightly higher than PS2. But best case for Nintendo is 30 million units. ~20-25 million if DS sales stars to slow down next year.

 

[Clever Pun]

how much is Pokemon D/P first shipment ?

have retails shared this info with us yet? It must be pretty astronomical...

 

[Joe Molotov]

You're joking, right!?

Of course not.

OMGWTFMEGATON!!!

 

[Square2005]

My early unofficial predictions based on comgnet:

	                               [U]Raw	Formula	Estimated	Esti. LTD[/U]
1  Everybody's Tennis	                263	*240	~63,000	290,000
2  銀魂でぃ〜えす 万事屋大騒動	123	*500	~62,000	NEW
3  New Super Mario Bros.	110	*550	~61,000	3,107,000
[B]4  [/B][B]Final Fantasy III	                109	*540	~59,000	719,000[/B]
5  More Brain Training	                38	*850	~32,000	3,231,000
6  Animal Forest	                40	*690	~28,000	3,231,000
7  God Hand	                54	*400	~22,000	70,000
8  遙かなる時空の中で 舞一夜	47	*400	~19,000	NEW
9  Rhythm 天国	                44	*430	~19,000	161,000
10 るろうに剣心-明治剣客浪漫譚-... 46	*400	~18,000	NEW

17 Metal Gear Solid Bande...       26	*400	~10,000	NEW

FFIII HAS GROWN LEGS!!! - IT'S STILL GOING!!

DS SW has increased somewhat (week over week) so expect a HW boost also!

 

[Shamrock7r]

My super early unofficial estimates from comgnet:

	                               [U]Raw	Formula	Estimated	Esti. LTD[/U]
1  Everybody's Tennis	                263	*240	~63,000	290,000
2  銀魂でぃ〜えす 万事屋大騒動	123	*500	~62,000	NEW
3  New Super Mario Bros.	110	*550	~61,000	3,107,000
[B]4  [/B][B]Final Fantasy III	                109	*540	~59,000	719,000[/B]
5  More Brain Training	                38	*850	~32,000	3,231,000
6  Animal Forest	                40	*690	~28,000	3,231,000
7  God Hand	                54	*400	~22,000	70,000
8  遙かなる時空の中で 舞一夜	47	*400	~19,000	NEW
9  Rhythm 天国	                44	*430	~19,000	161,000
10 るろうに剣心-明治剣客浪漫譚-... 46	*400	~18,000	NEW

17 Metal Gear Solid Bande...       26	*400	~10,000	NEW

FFIII HAS GROWN LEGS!!! - IT'S STILL GOING!!

DS SW has increased somewhat (week over week) so expect a HW boost also!

Why do you continue to post these? They are never right.

 

[Square2005]

Why do you continue to post these? They are never right.

They are too!!!
...well, some are...

 

[Grampa Simpson]

They are too!!!
...well, some are...

You could.. Maybe work on your formulas for a couple of more months, and start posting them again when they get a bit more accurate. Maybe within 10% of the [strikeout]real[/strikeout] media create and famitsu numbers.

 

[Fuzzy]

Why do you continue to post these? They are never right.

Just treat them like they're predictions like in the NPD prediction thread.

 

[Jiggy]

how much is Pokemon D/P first shipment ?

Not enough to meet demand.

 

[ethelred]

FFIII HAS GROWN LEGS!!! - IT'S STILL GOING!!

Well, duh. It's selling 99% of its shipment every week. That alone should be enough of a clue that there's an enormous demand out there that's sustaining from week to week and isn't being met by those weekly shipments which equals further continual sellthroughs.

 

[enishi]

I think you may miss the Yu Yu game for NDS there. According to Sinobi, its first day sales is pretty close to PS2 Kenshin game last week.

Spoiler

But I hope it completely failed after first day since all Japanese will realise that it is the WGOTY...

My super early unofficial estimates from comgnet:

	                               [U]Raw	Formula	Estimated	Esti. LTD[/U]
1  Everybody's Tennis	                263	*240	~63,000	290,000
2  銀魂でぃ〜えす 万事屋大騒動	123	*500	~62,000	NEW
3  New Super Mario Bros.	110	*550	~61,000	3,107,000
[B]4  [/B][B]Final Fantasy III	                109	*540	~59,000	719,000[/B]
5  More Brain Training	                38	*850	~32,000	3,231,000
6  Animal Forest	                40	*690	~28,000	3,231,000
7  God Hand	                54	*400	~22,000	70,000
8  遙かなる時空の中で 舞一夜	47	*400	~19,000	NEW
9  Rhythm 天国	                44	*430	~19,000	161,000
10 るろうに剣心-明治剣客浪漫譚-... 46	*400	~18,000	NEW

17 Metal Gear Solid Bande...       26	*400	~10,000	NEW

FFIII HAS GROWN LEGS!!! - IT'S STILL GOING!!

DS SW has increased somewhat (week over week) so expect a HW boost also!

 

[ethelred]

I think you may miss the Yu Yu game for NDS there. According to Sinobi, its first day sales is pretty close to PS2 Kenshin game last week.

Spoiler

But I hope it completely failed after first day since all Japanese will realise that it is the WGOTY...

Would someone mind posting Sinobi's first day sales?

 

[apujanata]

My early unofficial predictions based on comgnet:

	                               [U]Raw	Formula	Estimated	Esti. LTD[/U]
1  Everybody's Tennis	                263	*240	~63,000	290,000
2  銀魂でぃ〜えす 万事屋大騒動	123	*500	~62,000	NEW
3  New Super Mario Bros.	110	*550	~61,000	3,107,000
[B]4  [/B][B]Final Fantasy III	                109	*540	~59,000	719,000[/B]
5  More Brain Training	                38	*850	~32,000	3,231,000
6  Animal Forest	                40	*690	~28,000	3,231,000
7  God Hand	                54	*400	~22,000	70,000
8  遙かなる時空の中で 舞一夜	47	*400	~19,000	NEW
9  Rhythm 天国	                44	*430	~19,000	161,000
10 るろうに剣心-明治剣客浪漫譚-... 46	*400	~18,000	NEW

17 Metal Gear Solid Bande...       26	*400	~10,000	NEW

FFIII HAS GROWN LEGS!!! - IT'S STILL GOING!!

DS SW has increased somewhat (week over week) so expect a HW boost also!

What is #2, #8 and #10 in your post ? I know that #9 is Rythm Tengoku.

 

[Square2005]

What is #2, #8 and #10 in your post ? I know that #9 is Rythm Tengoku.

I don't know...it's too much kanji to translate.
If there were some katakana maybe I'd hav a clue of what those games are.

 

[cvxfreak]

Not enough to meet demand.

Actually, Pokemon games have traditionally met their demand due to previous expectations. I expect no different from D/P, although we may see an exception for them.

 

[enishi]

What is #2, #8 and #10 in your post ? I know that #9 is Rythm Tengoku.

#2 is a NDS game from a comedy comics Gintama in Jump (I don't know if it is published outside Japan/Taiwan/Hong Kong). It is an RPG iirc.

#8 is a boy-chasing game by Koei. It should be new game for the series on PS2.

#10 is the Kenshin (Jump's comics ended 5 years ago) fighting game on PS2.

 

[ethelred]

#2 is a NDS amine game from a comedy comics in Jump (I don't know if it is published outside Japan/Taiwan/Hong Kong). It is an RPG iirc.

Marheaven?

 

[enishi]

Marheaven?

Search a bit in wiki. It is Gintama.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gintama

 

[apujanata]

#2 is a NDS amine game from a comedy comics in Jump (I don't know if it is published outside Japan/Taiwan/Hong Kong). It is an RPG iirc.

#8 is a boy-chasing game by Koei. It should be new game for the series on PS2.

#10 is the Kenshin (Jump's comics ended 5 years ago) fighting game on PS2.

Thanks.

 

[PantherLotus]

Wait. Sony says that the PSP is selling more than the Wii. They wouldn't lie, would they?