f@luS said:
Yeah ,its current gen.
Wii gfx will be soon 10 years old graphic (2/3 years) .
Im not saying they will stop buying wii , im just saying that in 2/3 years next gen games will be so mind blowing they wont be able to stop themselves from buying , especially at "my guess" a 200/300$ ps3 (in 2/3 years) max.
Mind-blowing games with tons of sparks are still only targeting the hardcore market. That market is huge, don't get me wrong, but it seems like the general theme behind the whole outdated Wii argument is that Nintendo will just sit back while Sony and MS pump out the goodies. You can bet if Nintendo has their way, that Wii will be seen as a fun, healthy, and useful product for everyone and their pet, and not just in Japan.
Even if the PS3 is $200-$300 as you say in 2-3 years, you have to wonder where the Wii will be in terms of price and features at that time also. Nintendo is in a position where they can probably match any pricing strategy the other companies implement.
I'm of the opinion that if Nintendo ropes in the casuals as they would like to, that Wii will have plenty of lifetime with excellent sales. This will only happen if Nintendo is able to come up with the software to hook their target market (Wii Health says hi), which I think they are totally capable of doing after their successful experiment in the DS.
So what happens if your predictions come true and Wii does lose momentum over the years? It's hard to tell, but Nintendo would always have the hardware revision option, which who knows would work or not. Or an early (by console standards) release of a successor system could be their contingency plan. I'm all out of foresight in that area.