The Wii has a million unit lead on the PS3 and could be 2-3 million ahead of it before the end of the year in Japan ONLY. They are aiming for 6 million worldwide by March, with a capacity of >1 mil worldwide per month. Given that we are wandering into March and past it and demand is still high, they may end up selling a million a month til Dec. That'll put it somewhere close to 15 million. That may be too lofty but PS3 hasn't crossed a million total in any single continent (wait til europe, haha, 1 million day one).
So the quesition is, if the Wii is past 12 million by the end of the year, will it matter what games PS3 gets? The PS3 is selling around 20K per week, 80 K per month (i'll round up to 100K per month) in Japan. They sold 200K last month in NA last month. What, is Europe going to double that, so they can push out 600K per month? If they could do that, that'll put them at selling 8 million for the year. That's being generous.
All these new games, LBP, the new home; they won't have effect until the end of the year. It may be too late. Oh well, hopefully, the PS4 will be 299 US dollars.