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Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


  • Total voters
    886
  • Poll closed .
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Topher

Identifies as young
True but they also seem very confident in the outcome - at least from an outside perspective right now. Maybe just bluffin though, who knows? I don't think they would be publicly happy to accelerate the process like this unless they had some sort of internal plan/roadmap that was playing out as they want it to.

They should be confident as far as the FTC is concerned. Accelerating the process just means getting FTC's bullshit out of the way sooner. Most here have been saying for months that this whole deal hinges on CMA. In my mind, that's still the case.
 

DeepEnigma

Gold Member
I doubt they are as worried about that as you want them to be, but I guess we will find out :)
So then why haven't they just closed then, if they are not worried? Why go through all the trouble of hiring lawyers, wanting appeal dates before the 18th, etc., etc.,?

Just close if you got this in the bag then.
 

Darsxx82

Member
The FTC is nothing more than a speedbump in all this. They have no chance of preventing this acquisition (based on their track record). The point I was making is that if Microsoft can simply "ignore the CMA" then they never needed to submit this acquisition for CMA approval at all much less put so much effort into hiring high profile lawyers to submit an appeal to the CAT. Microsoft is doing the exact opposite of "ignoring" the CMA.
MS is simply playing with the times an strategies. Until July 18 the deadlines of the agreement do not end, and the "ignore UK" could do so close to that date as well.

I see clearly the sense. Appealing to the CAT is a contractual obligation. If MS did not, ABK could claim the rupture of the agreement and collect its 3 billion. That is, appealing was an obligation while times passed even if the intention was to close without the approval of the CMA.

FTC was in a comfortable situation, it was not necessary for it to go to court while the agreement was blocked by the CMA. That is, the FTC had a reason to accelerate the deadlines and that was to believe that MS could close the agreement without the approval of the UK. That is, FTC has believed what here, the vast majority of us, thought impossible.

That MS came to have the intention of closing the agreement without counting on the CMA is not incompatible with MS squeezing the times and achieving what has happened .The FTC move.has given MS a better option and also within the deadline
 
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splattered

Member
So then why haven't they just closed then, if they are not worried? Why go through all the trouble of hiring lawyers, wanting appeal dates before the 18th, etc., etc.,?

Just close if you got this in the bag then.

I didn't say they "got this in the bag" i said they seem to like their odds... the direction things are headed, and now the pace at which things are moving. I don't think they are internally worried or afraid at the moment. I doubt they are worried about losing 3 billion dollars or being sued by shareholders. I don't think their current confidence is just posturing. I never said they can just do whatever they want, obviously they have to navigate the legal systems which is what we are all currently seeing from the outside looking in. But we only have a small glimpse as to what is actually happening behind the scenes across the board.
 

DeepEnigma

Gold Member
I didn't say they "got this in the bag" i said they seem to like their odds... the direction things are headed, and now the pace at which things are moving. I don't think they are internally worried or afraid at the moment. I doubt they are worried about losing 3 billion dollars or being sued by shareholders. I don't think their current confidence is just posturing. I never said they can just do whatever they want, obviously they have to navigate the legal systems which is what we are all currently seeing from the outside looking in. But we only have a small glimpse as to what is actually happening behind the scenes across the board.
You said they were "very confident." I am only reminding you that they have been this way through every phase, even when outcomes did not go their way. That is not a sign of anything we can extrapolate an outcome from.
 

Bernoulli

M2 slut
does this mean the bill is approved or not yet?

New legislation will today (25 April) be introduced to ensure businesses and consumers are protected from rip-offs and can reap the full benefits of the digital economy with confidence.


The CMA will be able to directly enforce consumer law rather than go through lengthy court processes. The reforms will also heighten the consequences for wrongdoers as the CMA and the courts will have the power to impose penalties of up to 10% of global turnover for breaching consumer law

 

Banjo64

cumsessed
does this mean the bill is approved or not yet?

New legislation will today (25 April) be introduced to ensure businesses and consumers are protected from rip-offs and can reap the full benefits of the digital economy with confidence.


The CMA will be able to directly enforce consumer law rather than go through lengthy court processes. The reforms will also heighten the consequences for wrongdoers as the CMA and the courts will have the power to impose penalties of up to 10% of global turnover for breaching consumer law


  • New measures will come into effect as soon as possible following parliamentary approval, subject to secondary legislation and the publication of guidance.
 

Bojanglez

The Amiga Brotherhood
It's just posturing... did they actually do any of that? Sony said they would crumble and die if COD became an Xbox exclusive which is a huge slap in the face to their own development teams and fans, do you believe them? Companies out here just being dramatic. It's up to the regulators to call bluffs and they have.
Maybe posturing, I just don't see who it benefits coming out with crap like that.

Anyway, I still standby that it is probably more crazy for a company to want that to be publicly associated with them, than it is for a random person in a forum to want a faceless corporation to lose a little bit of money 🤷‍♂️
 

X-Wing

Member
the show must go on queen GIF


the show must go on
 

splattered

Member
You said they were "very confident." I am only reminding you that they have been this way through every phase, even when outcomes did not go their way. That is not a sign of anything we can extrapolate an outcome from.

I am not extrapolating an outcome... this could still totally fall through. I'm just saying they do appear confident and positive that things are accelerating. They might see a way forward that we cannot from the outside looking in. That's all.
 

reksveks

Member
does this mean the bill is approved or not yet?

New legislation will today (25 April) be introduced to ensure businesses and consumers are protected from rip-offs and can reap the full benefits of the digital economy with confidence.


The CMA will be able to directly enforce consumer law rather than go through lengthy court processes. The reforms will also heighten the consequences for wrongdoers as the CMA and the courts will have the power to impose penalties of up to 10% of global turnover for breaching consumer law

feynoob feynoob and PaintTinJr PaintTinJr cause I saw some comments based on my confusion of what the current status re the fines. I did have a look yesterday so basically the cap is already at 10% of global revenue but there is a whole process that they in theory need to go through to figure out the amount.

https://assets.publishing.service.g.../attachment_data/file/1060671/CMA73final_.pdf

The starting point depends on the revenue of the undertaking revenue , reading the document linked, i believe Microsoft starting point would be 20-30% of ABK revenue. Which is alot, it's all of ABK's profits.

They can then adjust it.

The record fine I think from the CMA has been 50m,.
 
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PaintTinJr

Member
What the hell are you on about????? Another post from someone without a clue, your like John he's been shitting on streaming for years and now he tries the one people have been saying is good he magically has a change in stance. Don't even need a god damn pc.....



If that comment is because you think he needs that in the local device you are confused, That's the hardware in the cloud the game is running on.
Are you familiar with older computing product concepts for centralised computing like Mainframes(Master/Slave)?

The PCs we are talking about are by any stretch "thick clients". Even the Vita, which is about x50 less than those PCs could be considered a "thick client".

When people are going to talk about experience and latency - knowing only too well in today's cloud gaming the experience is proportional to the "thin client's" thickness, like it is even with the PS remoteplay app for 720p to 1080p experience - the all important part of the testing is to inform people of just how "thick" that "thin" cloud gaming client really is, otherwise it just comes off as a Windows VM Nvidia advert IMHO.
 

drganon

Member
I am not extrapolating an outcome... this could still totally fall through. I'm just saying they do appear confident and positive that things are accelerating. They might see a way forward that we cannot from the outside looking in. That's all.
Of course they're " confident ". You expect them to say the truth?
Ms: " yeah, the deal is most likely fucked, we're going to be on the hook for billions and we've been made to look like clowns ( thanks Brad)."
 

feynoob

Banned
Do what? Sony said that if MS acquired COD then Sony may never recover...
COD marketing is the biggest pull for consoles.
Whoever has the marketing rights will be able to sell alot of consoles. You can also get more benefits and put the games on your subscription service.
 

PaintTinJr

Member
feynoob feynoob and PaintTinJr PaintTinJr cause I saw some comments based on my confusion of what the current status re the fines. I did have a look yesterday so basically the cap is already at 10% of global revenue but there is a whole process that they in theory need to go through to figure out the amount.

https://assets.publishing.service.g.../attachment_data/file/1060671/CMA73final_.pdf

The starting point depends on the revenue of the undertaking revenue , reading the document linked, i believe Microsoft starting point would be 20-30% of ABK revenue. Which is alot, it's all of ABK's profits.

The record fine I think from the CMA has been 50m,.
What about divestment? Could the CMA potentially order Microsoft to divest Windows or Azure, instead of ATVI in that premature closing scenario? :)
 

splattered

Member
COD marketing is the biggest pull for consoles.
Whoever has the marketing rights will be able to sell alot of consoles. You can also get more benefits and put the games on your subscription service.

There is zero chance that would put the nail in the Playstation coffin though. And nothing would be stopping Microsoft from buying up the next 10 years of exclusive marketing rights for COD if they really wanted it. Obviously it didn't make THAT much of a difference for MS to fight for the rights last go around so i think that the severe importance of it are blown out of proportion. Are marketing rights important? Of course. Does it mean a brand would "never recover" if they didn't currently hold those rights? Nah.
 

Zathalus

Member
Are you familiar with older computing product concepts for centralised computing like Mainframes(Master/Slave)?

The PCs we are talking about are by any stretch "thick clients". Even the Vita, which is about x50 less than those PCs could be considered a "thick client".

When people are going to talk about experience and latency - knowing only too well in today's cloud gaming the experience is proportional to the "thin client's" thickness, like it is even with the PS remoteplay app for 720p to 1080p experience - the all important part of the testing is to inform people of just how "thick" that "thin" cloud gaming client really is, otherwise it just comes off as a Windows VM Nvidia advert IMHO.
You can stream just fine on a Nvidia Shield, which is less powerful then some thin clients on the market today. Cheaper as well. The specifications to stream at 4k is not exactly high.
 

PaintTinJr

Member
It works on phones, I’ve never tried it on my phone but it does work well on the lowly Shield.
But at what measured resolution and latency?

Even using PS4 Remoteplay with my anamorphic 4K OLED Xperia 1 smartphone, on what I would accept as a thin client, too weak to run a degraded version of the game Death Stranding, the local streamed resolution was 720p at most and the rendering of the game graphics was not the same as the PS4 in fidelity and frustum configuration.

So it was completely unplayable due to the tiny screen and claustrophobic far plane setup, and my current aging phone is probably significantly more powerful than the Nvidia Tegra/shield powered Xperia S tablet I abandoned a decade or more ago for being garbage silicon.
 
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PaintTinJr

Member
You can stream just fine on a Nvidia Shield, which is less powerful then some thin clients on the market today. Cheaper as well. The specifications to stream at 4k is not exactly high.
But is that identical to the thick client experience and is that a generic solution for any client, or an optimised solution where Nvidia are cheating by exploiting "thick" features on that so-called "thin client"?

I have my doubts it is the true "thin client" it is implied to be.
 

Bernoulli

M2 slut
feynoob feynoob and PaintTinJr PaintTinJr cause I saw some comments based on my confusion of what the current status re the fines. I did have a look yesterday so basically the cap is already at 10% of global revenue but there is a whole process that they in theory need to go through to figure out the amount.

https://assets.publishing.service.g.../attachment_data/file/1060671/CMA73final_.pdf

The starting point depends on the revenue of the undertaking revenue , reading the document linked, i believe Microsoft starting point would be 20-30% of ABK revenue. Which is alot, it's all of ABK's profits.

They can then adjust it.

The record fine I think from the CMA has been 50m,.
we will for sure have a new record when a company closes the deal after you blocked them
World Record Thumbs Up GIF by Walkers Crisps
 

Zathalus

Member
But is that identical to the thick client experience and is that a generic solution for any client, or an optimised solution where Nvidia are cheating by exploiting "thick" features on that so-called "thin client"?

I have my doubts it is the true "thin client" it is implied to be.
A modern thin client is nothing more then a PC that uses an embedded SoC. To stream GeForce Now all you need is some hardware and a browser. You can stream it fine on a HP t740, at 4k even.
 

Topher

Identifies as young
MS is simply playing with the times an strategies. Until July 18 the deadlines of the agreement do not end, and the "ignore UK" could do so close to that date as well.

I see clearly the sense. Appealing to the CAT is a contractual obligation. If MS did not, ABK could claim the rupture of the agreement and collect its 3 billion. That is, appealing was an obligation while times passed even if the intention was to close without the approval of the CMA.

FTC was in a comfortable situation, it was not necessary for it to go to court while the agreement was blocked by the CMA. That is, the FTC had a reason to accelerate the deadlines and that was to believe that MS could close the agreement without the approval of the UK. That is, FTC has believed what here, the vast majority of us, thought impossible.

That MS came to have the intention of closing the agreement without counting on the CMA is not incompatible with MS squeezing the times and achieving what has happened .The FTC move.has given MS a better option and also within the deadline

There is also the obligation that this deal must obtain regulatory approval in order to proceed. The agreement clearly states this is Microsoft's responsibility. That is not compatible with ignoring the CMA.
 

Kilau

Member
But at what measured resolution and latency?

Even using PS4 Remoteplay with my anamorphic 4K OLED Xperia 1 smartphone, on what I would accept as a thin client, too weak to run a degraded version of the game Death Stranding, the local streamed resolution was 720p at most and the rendering of the game graphics was not the same as the PS4 in fidelity and frustum configuration.

So it was completely unplayable due to the tiny screen and claustrophobic far plane setup, and my current aging phone is probably significantly more powerful than the Nvidia Tegra/shield powered Xperia S tablet I abandoned a decade or more ago for being garbage silicon.
PS and Xbox remote play are pretty terrible compared to GeForce now, Xbox more since it insists running it as cloud and ignores local streaming.

Shield will do 4K 60fps GeForce now, maybe 120fps I don’t have mine connected to a 2.1 port. While it’s low end specs it’s been designed for streaming so it has hardware to help.
 

PaintTinJr

Member
A modern thin client is nothing more then a PC that uses an embedded SoC. To stream GeForce Now all you need is some hardware and a browser. You can stream it fine on a HP t740, at 4k even.
What part of that devices is "thin"? The Windows 10 x64 OS? The 4 brawny Ryzen mobile CPU cores running at 3.5Ghz? The 16GBs of DDR4 Ram? The Radeon Vega 8 integrated graphics? Or the SeriesX or PS5 price tag?

It is a "thin client" by HP marketing, but has all the brawny components of a Desktop in SFF case. That's hardly comparative to RPi 400 or a smartphone or the WiiU tablet or incoming Project Q.

There's nothing cloud gaming impressive about GeforceNow if that's the client hardware requirement
 

feynoob

Banned
I don’t see where the resistance would be to tell you the truth? It’ll nearly be unanimously approved by Labour/SNP/Lib Dems and I predict only a tiny percentage of Tories will vote against (if any).
Doesn't matter what party it is. A bill like this would have a huge consequence on big companies.
They would do all they can to block it. 10% global fine isnt a joke. That is a massive loss of money.
 
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