• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

MLB Offseason '13-'14 |OT| Where the best fans live

Sanjuro

Member
Sanjuro is fond of the "money doesn't matter" argument, which is of course convenient for someone who is a fan of Boston, but which isn't actually very compatible with the empirical evidence. It's possible it may be valid within a decade, though.

It's also very convenient for someone who is a St. Louis Cardinals fan, lets not forget that. I'm just mocking the fans who showed up in time for the World Series to cry poor.

Same fans who were crying for a "real" shortstop. Technically, you guys got the best available one.
 
It's also very convenient for someone who is a St. Louis Cardinals fan, lets not forget that. I'm just mocking the fans who showed up in time for the World Series to cry poor.
There's a ton of gray area between poor and rich, between small market teams and large market teams. The Cards reside in this gray area.
 

Sanjuro

Member
There's a ton of gray area between poor and rich, between small market teams and large market teams. The Cards reside in this gray area.

Looking at the price tag they were willing to go on Pujols, they are not in a gray area. They certainly have the bank, the ability to be one of the top teams in spending. If they want to spend that amount or scale back due to the context in their division, it's their own priority. The notion that they are handcuffed is the foolish one.
 
Looking at the price tag they were willing to go on Pujols, they are not in a gray area. They certainly have the bank, the ability to be one of the top teams in spending. If they want to spend that amount or scale back due to the context in their division, it's their own priority. The notion that they are handcuffed is the foolish one.
I don't think it was ever confirmed what their final offer to Pujols was. I've heard anywhere from an incentive-laden deal with less guaranteed money/years to a 10 year deal with AAV around 25M with a bunch of backloading/deferred payments. We only know that Pujols was offended by the Cards' final offer and found the respect he was looking for in Arte Moreno.

Rest assured, the Cards would be handcuffed if Albert had signed with them for 10/200+. Their shitty TV deal with FSMW (until 2017?) will always keep them one step behind the NY/LA/BOS teams. Hopefully, the TV deal bubble doesn't burst until after that contract is renegotiated.
 

Sanjuro

Member
I don't think it was ever confirmed what their final offer to Pujols was. I've heard anywhere from an incentive-laden deal with less guaranteed money/years to a 10 year deal with AAV around 25M with a bunch of backloading/deferred payments. We only know that Pujols was offended by the Cards' final offer and found the respect he was looking for in Arte Moreno.

Rest assured, the Cards would be handcuffed if Albert had signed with them for 10/200+. Their shitty TV deal with FSMW (until 2017?) will always keep them one step behind the NY/LA/BOS teams.

Nice touch adding Boston into the "were one step behind" teams.
 
I probably should've added DET to the list as well. And the Phillies. Probably the CHI teams as well. The Cards were 11th in payroll last year after all. Not poor but definitely not a spending powerhouse.
 

Sanjuro

Member
I probably should've added DET to the list as well. And the Phillies. Probably the CHI teams as well. The Cards were 11th in payroll last year after all. Not poor but definitely not a spending powerhouse.

...because you don't regularly need to be a spending powerhouse. I think the only team with a higher payroll than you was the Cubs, largely due to the reason that they are the Cubs.
 
...because you don't regularly need to be a spending powerhouse. I think the only team with a higher payroll than you was the Cubs, largely due to the reason that they are the Cubs.
To win the division? Agreed. But the Cards' goal is set a little higher than winning the division at this point so they'll have to compete with the big spenders eventually in the playoffs to win the title.

I get that the AL East is a ridiculously competitive division while the NL Central has traditionally only 2 good teams in any given year.
 

Sanjuro

Member
To win the division? Agreed. But the Cards' goal is set a little higher than winning the division at this point so they'll have to compete with the big spenders eventually in the playoffs to win the title.

I get that the AL East is a ridiculously competitive division while the NL Central has traditionally only 2 good teams in any given year.

Apparently you don't, otherwise we wouldn't be doing this still!

You are a top five team in the NL spending. It's simple as that. The Dodgers are the crazy exception, but they are largely competing against themselves here.

The Cardinals are competitive most years, have success in the postseason. There is very little incentive to break that mold if it continues to work or alters viewership.
 
4th in the NL in 2013 spending, with WAS and CIN pretty close behind them. The Cubs will be up there once their prospects start reaching the majors in the next 2-3 years. Maybe the Mets will get there as well but I have no idea how they're recovering financially from Madoff. Those teams are roughly in the same payroll tier, with MIL/ARI/ATL being a clear step below. The LAD/PHI/SFG teams are well above this spending tier.

Agreeing that the Cards don't have to stop doing what they've been doing as long as they're competitive.
 

cashman

Banned
4th in the NL in 2013 spending, with WAS and CIN pretty close behind them. The Cubs will be up there once their prospects start reaching the majors in the next 2-3 years. Maybe the Mets will get there as well but I have no idea how they're recovering financially from Madoff. Those teams are roughly in the same payroll tier, with MIL/ARI/ATL being a clear step below. The LAD/PHI/SFG teams are well above this spending tier.

Agreeing that the Cards don't have to stop doing what they've been doing as long as they're competitive.

what? They'll be paid under a mill for the first few years in the big leagues.
 

Opiate

Member
sanjuro said:
...because you don't regularly need to be a spending powerhouse. I think the only team with a higher payroll than you was the Cubs, largely due to the reason that they are the Cubs.

Where are you getting this? The Cardinals operating margins are estimated at 10-20M, on average, per year. They could not spend considerably more without running persistent deficits.

What is your evidence that they could spend dramatically more without issue?
 
what? They'll be paid under a mill for the first few years in the big leagues.
I meant that once their prospects arrive, they'll have more incentive to spend in free agency. No reason to throw money around to upgrade a 70 win team to a 75 win team. Different calculus if their prospects push them to the part of the win curve where a playoff spot is imminent.
 

turnbuckle

Member
Peralta said he had two 5-year, $75 million offers on the table, but chose the Cardinals because he wanted to play for St. Louis more than the other two teams, which he did not name. It's believed the other two teams who made the 5yr/$75m offers were the Mariners and the Mets.

There is 0% chance of this being true.
 

Sanjuro

Member
Where are you getting this? The Cardinals operating margins are estimated at 10-20M, on average, per year. They could not spend considerably more without running persistent deficits.

What is your evidence that they could spend dramatically more without issue?

What evidence do I need?

I know where they are in terms of payroll and I know they fluctuate more than most teams season to season. That tells me they have the bank to spend, but are smarter than most teams in terms of efficiency based upon their results.
 

Blackace

if you see me in a fight with a bear, don't help me fool, help the bear!
Peralta said he had two 5-year, $75 million offers on the table, but chose the Cardinals because he wanted to play for St. Louis more than the other two teams, which he did not name. It's believed the other two teams who made the 5yr/$75m offers were the Mariners and the Mets.

lol
 

Opiate

Member
What evidence do I need? .

You need to show that they run significant operating margins such that increasing payroll would not incur losses.

Here is evidence that they typically 10-20M operating margins, as I stated. You are correct that there have been years where they run significantly more surplus (it looks like next year will be such a case), but they also have had years where they have explicitly lost money (such as 2004-2005). In aggregate, they cannot spend considerably more without losing money based on the financial reports I've seen.
 

Sanjuro

Member

I missed this thanks to the darn Cardinal fans!

iqvrMuDx9Wg4h.gif
ibjSNi0ewkgZNY.gif
 

Sanjuro

Member
You need to show that they run significant operating margins such that increasing payroll would not incur losses.

Here is evidence that they typically 10-20M operating margins, as I stated. You are correct that there have been years where they run significantly more surplus (it looks like next year will be such a case), but they also have had years where they have explicitly lost money (such as 2004-2005).

I don't need to show that, because my point was never suggesting they should go over budget and incur losses.

I take objection to "poor" Cardinals fans saying they don't have enough money to compete. This entire argument has been about me saying "Hey, Cardinals can spend some money." and the fans saying "Hey, we are a low payroll team.". They are top five in payroll. That is a fact.

I wish the Cardinals could spend $400 million on their payroll, win a World Series, make every St. Louis fan happy. I'm sleeping with one! I'm sure as shit not making her happy, especially after this post-season.
 

aFIGurANT

Member
Can we all just agree with the real thrust of the STL debate? The Cardinals are the best-run organization to ever exist in sports. There, I said it.

People freaking out about Peralta just don't want to admit that there's decisions that might not be perfect for the franchise but will still help the team win games.
 

Sanjuro

Member
Can we all just agree with the real thrust of the STL debate? The Cardinals are the best-run organization to ever exist in sports. There, I said it.

People freaking out about Peralta just don't want to admit that there's decisions that might not be perfect for the franchise but will still help the team win games.

In baseball? Probably. San Francisco has been as well, although I believe less deliberate.

Cards fans were salivating for a SS, and they signed the best available. Don't see why they should be salty. If it has anything to do with the PED topic...OH, BOY! They were certainly silly on that topic this post season as well.

I was personally hoping they would snag Drew, partially because I like him and I don't think he is going to be back.
 

aFIGurANT

Member
In baseball? Probably. San Francisco has been as well, although I believe less deliberate.

Cards fans were salivating for a SS, and they signed the best available. Don't see why they should be salty. If it has anything to do with the PED topic...OH, BOY! They were certainly silly on that topic this post season as well.

I was personally hoping they would snag Drew, partially because I like him and I don't think he is going to be back.

I would have liked Drew too if not for the injury history. Otherwise, just from watching the BoSox in playoff baseball, hell yes sign him.

And I hope you are including Oakland in that San Francisco umbrella, that's a good way to make enemies if you're not careful Sanjuro.
 
I take objection to "poor" Cardinals fans saying they don't have enough money to compete. This entire argument has been about me saying "Hey, Cardinals can spend some money." and the fans saying "Hey, we are a low payroll team.". They are top five in payroll. That is a fact.
:jnc

They are also a top 1 payroll
for professional baseball teams in the city of STL
 

Opiate

Member
I don't need to show that, because my point was never suggesting they should go over budget and incur losses.

Ah, I see. Well that obviously is not reasonable or financially feasible in the long term, so if you want to have a discussion within the confines of reasonable economic analysis let me know.

I take objection to "poor" Cardinals fans saying they don't have enough money to compete. This entire argument has been about me saying "Hey, Cardinals can spend some money." and the fans saying "Hey, we are a low payroll team.".

I definitely agree that this is not reasonable. I have definitely seen this occur and agree that it's inappropriate. This is true up and down the ladder all the way up to the Yankees; I've seen Red Sox fans complain about the Yankees payroll frequently, for example, while ignoring how large a gap there was between the Red Sox and Cardinals. Similarly, I've seen Cardinals fans complain about the Red Sox while ignoring the differences between the Cardinals and, say, the Brewers.

They are top five in payroll. That is a fact.

No, this is factually wrong. Here is the evidence.

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/salaries
http://deadspin.com/2013-payrolls-and-salaries-for-every-mlb-team-462765594
http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/story/16560459/final-baseball-payrolls
 

Sanjuro

Member
Ah, I see. Well that obviously is not reasonable or financially feasible in the long term, so if you want to have a discussion within the confines of reasonable economic analysis let me know.

No need. I don't know enough about the Cardinals day to day. Yankees, maybe. They got a great deal from the taxpayers and their new ballpark. Also, they are crazy spenders. Unlike any other team, they have the ability to do what they want, they are the only exception to this. Dodgers? They are doing whatever they can to make their team seem desirable to a market that doesn't give a shit about them. I can only see it backfiring at some point down the road, but who knows.

I definitely agree that this is not reasonable. I have definitely seen this occur and agree that it's inappropriate. This is true up and down the ladder all the way up to the Yankees; I've seen Red Sox fans complain about the Yankees payroll frequently, for example, while ignoring how large a gap there was between the Red Sox and Cardinals. Similarly, I've seen Cardinals fans complain about the Red Sox while ignoring the differences between the Cardinals and, say, the Brewers.

Again, I've already directly told you my point. I love the fact there is no salary cap. I want the Yankees, Red Sox, Cardinals, etc to spend as much as they possibly can. It's the beautiful thing about baseball! You'll never see me take shots at the Yankees for doing so. Making fun of shit contacts down the road? Sure. We all do it. Calling people out being hypocrites? Sure.

No, this is factually wrong. Here is the evidence.

Your link is factually wrong? In fact, that was the same link I used. Here are the results,

Los Angeles Dodgers $216,302,909
Philadelphia $159,578,214
San Francisco $142,180,333
St. Louis $116,702,085

Number four.
 

Opiate

Member
That is only the national league. You said "top five payroll," not "top five payroll in the national league." If you're going to start applying arbitrary caveats like that, then the Tampa Bay Devil Rays are the top payroll in Florida.
 
If the Peralta (and upcoming Drew) deals are indicative of the SS market I wonder what kind of money the Dodgers are going to have to throw at Hanley to resign.
 

Opiate

Member
Sure. I was talking about top five in a prior post. Either way, top ten then.

In one of those years linked, yes. In the other, they were 11. They fluctuate between 8-12 every year in my experience.

So they're either the bottom of the top third / top of the middle third, depending on the year. Yes, they are better off than most clubs, and I completely agree that people tend to be jealous of those higher on the ladder while dismissing the importance of those rungs lower on the ladder. That isn't even a baseball specific observation; people tend to take what they have for granted and look constantly up the ladder, jealous of those with more.
 

Sanjuro

Member
In one of those years linked, yes. In the other, they were 11. They fluctuate between 8-12 every year in my experience.

So they're either the bottom of the top third / top of the middle third, depending on the year. Yes, they are better off than most clubs, and I completely agree that people tend to be jealous of those higher on the ladder while dismissing the importance of those rungs lower on the ladder. That isn't even a baseball specific observation; people tend to take what they have for granted and look constantly up the ladder, jealous of those with more.

Yeah. They seem to be a bit more variable in their payroll choices, obviously for the better. The Pujols being the possible exception, but I wouldn't have blamed them for making that.

I mean, yeah, I'm a Red Sox fan. So everyone is usually bitching at me. The only argument I have is when they compare us directly to the Yankees.
 
Top Bottom