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Monitoring the situation in Iran

lachesis said:
It is true but you also have to consider they've been stockpiling the oil reserve for past few years.
I read China have at least 140 days worth of oil in reserve, and they also buy shit ton of oil from other countries including Russia, Brazil and other places. 20% is a really big deal though - especially they've been buying the crude oil for dirt cheap price.

I think this could shorten their plan to invade Taiwan (to avoid running out the oil) in worst case - which I'm somewhat concerned. US is likely to deplete a lot of missiles and bombs - and maybe Xi may think it's time to strike. South Korea's government seem to be siding with China, so only real ally for U.S. in the region maybe Japan and Philippines.
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Speaking about depletion of munition ... how long will Israel be able to shoot Iranian drones and missiles out of the sky? Their Arab allies will be out of ammunition in a few days.

Forsete said:
Halp!

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There was a theory going round that Israel agreed with a ceasefire in June 2025 because their own missile defense systems were getting close to running out and they needed to end that short war before it became evident.



And it could happen again according to the same author.

 
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winjer said:
Poland joined the EU and opened to the rest of the world, including the USA and prospered immensely.
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It began to prosper thanks to money from the European Union. https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/...to-breach-100-of-gdp-by-2036-commission-warns
Does the EU have the funds to support another Poland? Considering how reluctant it is to accept Ukraine, it seems unlikely.

winjer said:
Of which it still holds a part of it's territory.
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Abkhazia separated from Georgia back in the last century.
 
winjer said:
Spain had plenty of left wing governments before. Don't try to make stupid excuses. We all know the reason why Spain refused the USA.
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We are suffering the worst government in our history, real lunatics who in a normal world would never become public officials. Our country has always been anti-military due to a former dictatorship but right now the country is ruled by the worst mix possible of communists, separatists and insane millenials with zero qualification, pretty much like AOC.

The equivalent would be the Green Party in UK. These are anomalies in Politics and getting rid of them should be a priority for the West. Everyone who waves a Palestinian flag should be removed from their position.
 
Angry_Megalodon said:
We are suffering the worst government in our history, real lunatics who in a normal world would never become public officials. Our country has always been anti-military due to a former dictatorship but right now the country is ruled by the worst mix possible of communists, separatists and insane millenials with zero qualification, pretty much like AOC.

The equivalent would be the Green Party in UK. These are anomalies in Politics and getting rid of them should be a priority for the West. Everyone who waves a Palestinian flag should be removed from their position.
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I know about Spain's history. Franco was an evil bastard, that killed and tortured it's people. And was allied with Hitler, he even sent a "volunteer" division to fight along Nazi Germany during WW2. The Blue Division.
But you've had worse. And you can change it in the next elections, just like we did in Portugal.
 
Critical Hit said:
It began to prosper thanks to money from the European Union. https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/...to-breach-100-of-gdp-by-2036-commission-warns
Does the EU have the funds to support another Poland? Considering how reluctant it is to accept Ukraine, it seems unlikely.


Abkhazia separated from Georgia back in the last century.
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EU money are a tiny fraction of GDP:

TmzZmGH03q7wqJoJ.jpg
 
RJMacready73 said:
All funny until your walking down the big hall in Versailles with the massive paintings depicting all the French victories in wars throughout the centuries then you realize there are toilets in there older than the US
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It's funny how France lost one war, though a big one, and people forgot that France was a terror on the European battlefields for centuries.
 
The US would take just as aggressive an approach to protecting itself from the encroachment of a major adversary as Russia did. In fact the US is aggressing upon a minor adversary nation thousands of miles away right now using the justification that it could potentially pose a threat to the US in the future, and it has done this before.

Having that desire is perfectly rational, but being able to act upon that desire is a different matter, and Russia only felt emboldened to act upon that desire due to periods of incredibly weak Western leadership under, ostensibly, Obama and Biden. Ukraine being on a glide path to eventual NATO membership is seen by Russia (correctly) as an existential threat to Russia, and the gift of such weak US leadership was seen as too good an opportunity to pass up in terms of pushing back against that.

As poorly as the subsequent war has gone for Russia, if it ends in anything like a stalemate on the current position and Ukraine NATO membership off the table for the foreseeable future, Russia will consider it better than the alternative.
 
If China is serious about taking Taiwan, now is the time while U.S. assets are in Middle East. Otherwise, I'm getting more inclined to believe that they in fact might not be a militant nation after all (like they always say) and will just continue through political/economic means.

Why wouldn't China be going for Taiwan right now otherwise?
 
Bojji said:
EU money are a tiny fraction of GDP:
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www.polskieradio.pl

Poland received EUR 238bn from EU since accession: study

Poland has received a total of EUR 238.7 billion in European Union funding since joining the European bloc in 2004, according to a new report.
www.polskieradio.pl
"for every euro contributed to the EU's coffers, Poland received three euros to help finance the country's development, the FPK's experts said."
This is completely off-topic, so I'll wrap it up.

calico said:
and Russia only felt emboldened to act upon that desire due to periods of incredibly weak Western leadership under, ostensibly, Obama and Biden.
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Don't forget about the EU.
 
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FullMetalx117 said:
If China is serious about taking Taiwan, now is the time while U.S. assets are in Middle East. Otherwise, I'm getting more inclined to believe that they in fact might not be a militant nation after all (like they always say) and will just continue through political/economic means.

Why wouldn't China be going for Taiwan right now otherwise?
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Its unlikely that China would have a plan to attack Taiwan. They would more likely blockade it over some bullshit excuse and apply political pressure to Taiwan to accept some new relationship.
 
DeepEnigma said:
Nobody forgets. It's just a meme.
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Well it just happened during one of the early conflicts where mass media became available.

FullMetalx117 said:
If China is serious about taking Taiwan, now is the time while U.S. assets are in Middle East. Otherwise, I'm getting more inclined to believe that they in fact might not be a militant nation after all (like they always say) and will just continue through political/economic means.

Why wouldn't China be going for Taiwan right now otherwise?
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Well they might have either Ukrainian or Iranian scenario. It is 50/50.
 
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Watching the same scum that cry about gaza all the time now openly having pro Iran protests and organised meetings at mosques and universities to honour the dead Iranian dictator is peak insanity of Western civilization.

There really is no course correct, the politicians are so obsessed with bending the knee for Muslim left wing scum votes .
 
LimanimaPT said:
This rumours about defenses getting exhausted are worrying.
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They are, and that would make sense as to why there were leaks early on about some generals being very much against this operation and why the administration is hoping for a quick resolution through air superiority alone. Hope is not a war strategy, however.
 
kruis said:


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The only reason to prolong the conflict is to gain territory, which isn't what this is about at all.

The strategic objective here is to destroy the IRGC's ability to project power both internally and externally. Which is a process that can be achieved in a short amount of time by targeting their infrastructure and armaments.

Ultimately I think the logic is that if the IRGC is sufficiently weakened they will not be able to both fight internal dissent, and their external enemies. No military force can do that, no matter how fanatically dedicated to the cause they are.

The Trump admin is looking for a FP win here, the removal of key ally to China and Russia in the middle East, not an extended conflict.
 
These guys are pretty conservative, but I wonder how fast you would be banned on reddit or resetera for simply posting something like this? It's simply reporting the news. I'm not even a Trump guy, but it's the most bizarre thing I've seen in recent years how restricted leftist websites are. Even moderate talking points are deleted and users are banned.


 
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People here treat war like a game, with the occasional "Murica, yeeeeaaah!", but once hostilities start, there is no knowing what they could lead to. The iranian regime is a plague, but should the current campaign fail to get rid of it, then the accepted notion of military supremacy of both the USA and Israel would be seriously questioned. As a Moroccan, and given the enmity displayed by the Ayatollah toward my country since the toppling of the Shah, I have zero sympathy vis-a-vis them...I am just hoping that the conflict does not last long, as it could very well set ablaze the whole region and, eventually, the world.
 
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Donald mac Ronald said:
Watching the same scum that cry about gaza all the time now openly having pro Iran protests and organised meetings at mosques and universities to honour the dead Iranian dictator is peak insanity of Western civilization.

There really is no course correct, the politicians are so obsessed with bending the knee for Muslim left wing scum votes .
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mRJxyZGuMEzklje5.jpeg
 
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