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Monitoring the situation in Iran

I gotta say, it's so convenient that any enemy of Israel turns out to be a terrorist, and of course that justifies ethnic cleansing, genocide or, if fact, terrorist acts
I know it's hard because some the terrorists squirted into your eyes, but try to read what Hezbollah did to Lebanon regardless of Israel.
 
I know it's hard because some the terrorists squirted into your eyes, but try to read what Hezbollah did to Lebanon regardless of Israel.


They must have done something terrible, like demolishing entire villages, carpet bombing entire neighborhoods in Lebanon, or ethnically cleansing Southern Lebanon, right?
 
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Spend over a year tearing down our relations with our allies, threatening their countries, insulting and trying to bully them, then flail around when they don't answer your request for help over a poorly planned out operation against Iran.

Trump has pretty much become Augustus Gloop when he fell into the chocolate river.
Couldn't have said it any better.
 
Well it's not saying back to normal, just more than lately.
It was a post lying blatantly about how many ships were traversing it at the time. Three ships were traversing at the time. I just figured we should go on facts here, too many people get caught up in the memes and gotchas rather than looking at the facts. There's propaganda everywhere folks, best to be cognizant of that, helps to keep things more level headed.
 
Spend over a year tearing down our relations with our allies, threatening their countries, insulting and trying to bully them, then flail around when they don't answer your request for help over a poorly planned out operation against Iran.

Trump has pretty much become Augustus Gloop when he fell into the chocolate river.
It has the stink of Stephen Miller all over it.
 
It was a post lying blatantly about how many ships were traversing it at the time. Three ships were traversing at the time. I just figured we should go on facts here, too many people get caught up in the memes and gotchas rather than looking at the facts. There's propaganda everywhere folks, best to be cognizant of that, helps to keep things more level headed.
There has indeed been a meaningful uptick in recent days. Bloomberg even thought it noteworthy enough for an article this morning.

If you rewatch the video, you can see more than three ships making the crossing, they just turned their transponders off until they got to the other side.
 
The US has not helped Europe in 80 years, and in fact has fucked it over multiple times since, from Suez to creating disarray in the Middle East on a regular basis. Now they are fucking over Asia too. If they could stop 'helping' and just leave this part of the world, go full Donroe and stay in the Americas it would be so great. But they just cannot be helped it seems.

Well, why should the US "help" Europe exactly ?

The European superstate that the technocrats in Brussels have been trying to build for the last decades is an economic competitor to US interests.

The US didn't start two world wars. So them benefitting from the collapse of the European empires in its aftermath seems not an unreasonable reward for them helping to liberate the continent from ACTUAL FASCISM to me.

At that point in time we had a strictly bilateral world, the two superpowers of the Soviet Union and the United States were squaring off.

Since the collapse of the USSR we're back to a multi-polar geopolitics, where logically its every bloc for itself, and the idea that Europe "deserves" anything is illogical.
 

Hegseth Says Pentagon's Job Now Is to Pressure Iran Into Talks

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said diplomatic talks to end the conflict with Iran are "gaining strength" and the US military's job is to maintain military pressure and compel Tehran to make a deal.

Hegseth stressed the primary focus now is to negotiate an end to the war with Tehran. He said talks led by White House envoy Steve Witkoff and President Donald Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner were making progress.

"They are very real, they are ongoing, they're active and I think gaining strength, and we appreciate that," he said.

Citing US intelligence but without giving any details, Hegseth also said continuous airstrikes were eroding morale in Iran's security forces.

"Our strikes are damaging the morale of the Iranian military, leading to widespread desertions, key personnel shortages and causing frustrations amongst senior leaders," Hegseth said. From the outside, Iran's military — both its regular forces and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps — has remained unified and resilient in the face of the US and Israeli attacks. There's little sign of desertions, particularly among senior commanders.
 
Well, why should the US "help" Europe exactly ?

The European superstate that the technocrats in Brussels have been trying to build for the last decades is an economic competitor to US interests.

The US didn't start two world wars. So them benefitting from the collapse of the European empires in its aftermath seems not an unreasonable reward for them helping to liberate the continent from ACTUAL FASCISM to me.

At that point in time we had a strictly bilateral world, the two superpowers of the Soviet Union and the United States were squaring off.

Since the collapse of the USSR we're back to a multi-polar geopolitics, where logically its every bloc for itself, and the idea that Europe "deserves" anything is illogical.
You are talking about continentalism which is a different idea to multi-polar geopolitics. It is perfectly possible for NA and Europe to be aligned on a lot of issues and have relatively free trade even though they are not on the same continent. Like we see Canada seeming to decide, in the multi polar schema, that it would rather be more integrated with the EU than the USA, even though they share the same continent. Canada can't tow themselves across the Atlantic, as much as they might want to, but in a multi polar world it doesn't matter. And they don't even have to choose one pole to trade with, they can trade with EU, US, China, India, even Russia if they are feeling like scumbags.
 
I gotta say, it's so convenient that any enemy of Israel turns out to be a terrorist, and of course that justifies ethnic cleansing, genocide or, if fact, terrorist acts
Im pretty sympathetic to Israel's plight following rhe October 7th attack and find a lot of the progressive angle of things to be flippant regarding discussing of it at best, outright antisemitic at worst.

But I can't help but feel the leadership there(not the citizens) are doing everything imaginable to sap all good will from the discourse that they have when they act in this manner. Im all for a nation defending itself but theres always a line.
 
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Trump is obviously stuck. He can't open the Strait of Hormuz, he can't land a favorable deal, and he's unwilling to martingale with ground troops. His own party may even revolt if he goes with ground troops (enough of them anyway), further tying his hands.

Every day his options get worse. The landing sites get more fortified, oil goes higher, the American people's patience grows thinner, and global pressure to end this increases. I personally wouldn't even know what advice to give him, he's trapped with no good options.

He has an option, like many a desperate man does in a situation of little time, a narrow path, two bodies thrusting against each other's, and pressure mounting with potentially explosive snd costly results:

Pull out.

cmon that was a good one
 
I gotta say, it's so convenient that any enemy of Israel turns out to be a terrorist, and of course that justifies ethnic cleansing, genocide or, if fact, terrorist acts
It's an interesting discussion. Hezbollah, muslim brotherhood, hamas, etc. are groups we consider terrorists. And with their disregard of human of life, I think they are terrorists. But I found interesting these groups are inherently against absolute monarchies, hereditary structure which I think many people today would agree with. It makes sense why UAE, Saudi, Jordan, etc. would consider these groups terrorists and want to prevent anything like an arab spring from happening - because they want to protect their monarchies. With all that said, it seems arab spring seems to have back fired in countries it did happen in and Iran did end up going hereditary in ayathollah. Shia islam does advoctate for a little bit of royalism too.

It is interesting, stepping back, western democracies have found themselves aligning with gulf monarchies.
 
We found what did it.



Dead Meat Deep Trouble GIF
 
Gas went from $2.30 to $3.80 in my area since this war started and it keeps going up.
For comparison, unleaded in Australia ATM has risen to (avg) US$7.28 per gallon (AU$2.60 per litre). Feb 2026 prices were US$4.20 per gallon (AU$1.50 per litre). Diesel is worse $US 9.10 per gallon (AU$3.25 per litre). (rough conversion of 4 litres per gallon and currency conversion of AU$0.70 to US$1)

Feel that these prices will be the new normal for a long long time.
 
For comparison, unleaded in Australia ATM has risen to (avg) US$7.28 per gallon (AU$2.60 per litre). Feb 2026 prices were US$4.20 per gallon (AU$1.50 per litre). Diesel is worse $US 9.10 per gallon (AU$3.25 per litre). (rough conversion of 4 litres per gallon and currency conversion of AU$0.70 to US$1)

Feel that these prices will be the new normal for a long long time.

These companies will be loathe to bring them down and will absolutely drag their feet for years once consumers are used to the high prices.
 
Spend over a year tearing down our relations with our allies, threatening their countries, insulting and trying to bully them, then flail around when they don't answer your request for help over a poorly planned out operation against Iran.

Trump has pretty much become Augustus Gloop when he fell into the chocolate river.
Or an especially pathetic danny mcbride character.
 
Trump just now in the oval, giving out the whole gameplan:

-The U.S. will be gone in two weeks, maybe three
-The U.S. "won't have anything to do with the strait", so anyone who wants oil will just have to fend for themselves

 
The daily twz report brought some very important topic that i'm not seeing being discussed.



If this is correct it could be a HUGE power shift in the region. Just remember that Israel was on verge of normalize relations with SA when 10/07 happened.

plus. just 40 years too late

 
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I've guessed that the movement of ground troops was just bargaining power, posturing, hopefully I'm right. Honestly, it may piss everyone off at the US, but letting the rest of the world deal with the straight is not a bad idea. They can get a taste of having to deal with annoying ass Iranians. Iran can either chill out or have the entire world rotting for their demise.
 
Trump just now in the oval, giving out the whole gameplan:

-The U.S. will be gone in two weeks, maybe three
-The U.S. "won't have anything to do with the strait", so anyone who wants oil will just have to fend for themselves



"Gas prices will go down as soon as we leave"

He's almost figured it out.
 
They actually dropped a little bit here over the weekend. Got gas yesterday for $3.54/gal. Wake up this morning and it's up to $3.89/gal. The highest I've seen by my house yet.

Was a temporary drop of around 10c here in NZ as well.

Damn near started crying seeing it go back up by over 20c overnight.

I don't know if I should start looking at local horse stables for a new daily.
 
Was a temporary drop of around 10c here in NZ as well.

Damn near started crying seeing it go back up by over 20c overnight.

I don't know if I should start looking at local horse stables for a new daily.

I'm actively looking for work by where I live, because my hour+ commute 5 days a week is about to kill me. Shame the job market has been abysmal for years…
 
The daily twz report brought some very important topic that i'm not seeing being discussed.



If this is correct it could be a HUGE power shift in the region. Just remember that Israel was on verge of normalize relations with SA when 10/07 happened.

plus. just 40 years too late


Could give Trump an exit then, leave Israel to do the rest of the fighting now that most of it done
 
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I'm actively looking for work by where I live, because my hour+ commute 5 days a week is about to kill me. Shame the job market has been abysmal for years…

That's crazy. How the hell did you manage to last that long? We're only required to be in the office on Mondays and the commute back home in the afternoon is 1 hour 30 minutes. Morning traffic is not that bad as I leave my house very early in the morning but it can still be a lengthy affair if any crashes along the way which normally happens if the weather is shit. Couldn't imagine doing this trip every day of the week.

Hope you find something or if your current job can be done remotely they should allow WFH. It's the same question my team is now posing to upper management.
 
Rumor mill has it, Rubio is likely going to depart the administration at the end of the year. Honestly, I don't blame him. He's probably as sick of the dysfunction as the rest of us.
 
That's crazy. How the hell did you manage to last that long? We're only required to be in the office on Mondays and the commute back home in the afternoon is 1 hour 30 minutes. Morning traffic is not that bad as I leave my house very early in the morning but it can still be a lengthy affair if any crashes along the way which normally happens if the weather is shit. Couldn't imagine doing this trip every day of the week.

Hope you find something or if your current job can be done remotely they should allow WFH. It's the same question my team is now posing to upper management.

I generally enjoy what I do and like the people I work with, which helps lol.
 
Rumor mill has it, Rubio is likely going to depart the administration at the end of the year. Honestly, I don't blame him. He's probably as sick of the dysfunction as the rest of us.
If he does, it is probably because he wants as much distance as he can get from Trump in case he decides to run for president.
 
You can't launch a surprise invasion if you've given the enemy a heads-up by scheduling a prime time address to announce you're going in.

So it'll probably just be a self-congratulatory speech claiming all the credit for a mission accomplished.
 
You can't launch a surprise invasion if you've given the enemy a heads-up by scheduling a prime time address to announce you're going in.

So it'll probably just be a self-congratulatory speech claiming all the credit for a mission accomplished.
Every plan gets leaked to traders anyway so Iran could just tap that line.
 
You can't launch a surprise invasion if you've given the enemy a heads-up by scheduling a prime time address to announce you're going in.

So it'll probably just be a self-congratulatory speech claiming all the credit for a mission accomplished.
Or the attack would be hours before the address.
 
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