Yogi is 0-2 in potential game winning shots from the top of the key this past week......yet he wants to go pro? (sample size yes, but whatever)
Not even a surefire 1st rd pick.
I love him.....best pg IU has had since Isiah.......but he'd be foolish to turn pro after this year.
Pro potential has nothing to do with college performance, especially something as flukey as game winners. Hell, LeBron had a shitty record in game winners for years after he was dominating the NBA. Game winning shots or 'clutch' situations are so rare that they are basically useless statistically, the expected variance and the small sample size make it impossible to derive any meaning from them.
Not that this means he is ready for the NBA, but in almost any situation(ie. unless you were stuck on the bench behind a no. 1 draft pick and weren't able to show what you could do), if a team says they are going to give you a guaranteed deal, you go. He is not going to improve his stock as a 21 year old 6 ft zero point guard prospect in college, at this point his best chance of making it in the league is to find a team that like what he does and is willing to commit to a rookie contract(even if they draft him in the second round a la Jodie Meeks). This will give him a couple years to work his way into a spot in the rotation with full time practicing and professional training.
If he comes back at best he is going to tread water and get drafted in the same spot the next year, I can't remember the last time a guy came back for his senior year and moved up substantially in the draft. At that point you are a known commodity, and the only thing that happens if scouts get more film to pick apart your weaknesses.
ETA: This is also related to why it was so ridiculous that people all of the sudden had Aaron as a POY candidate based on his performance in the NCAA's last year. Giant overreaction to like 4-5 shots.
Though I do believe the twins are much better NBA prospects than most people think they will be, simply because of their size. They have their obvious weaknesses(Andrew trying to draw fouls on layup attempts instead of going strong and finishing the shot, and Aaron's shot selection/chucking), but they aren't able to fully utilize their size by posting up smaller guards on this Kentucky team because there is simply no room to post up a guard. I don't know if either of them will be NBA stars, but I'd take Aaron as my irrational confidence guy 6th man any day, and I think Andrew will be a serviceable PG on a team that doesn't need him to drive and create for himself (there are a lot of teams like this in the NBA actually). I think the rules and reffing in the NBA also really really fit big guards/wings more than the college rules do.
