I also excluded your second best rusher of the day, Brock Osweiler.
Fair enough, they're still rush yards given up by the D.
I know it's counter to what you think is the strength of your defense, and that's fine. I feel that a run heavy gameplan (this means limiting Peyton to around ~30 throws) will be most effective for the Broncos for a few reasons.
Strength of the OL is now run blocking. It's improved every week since the bye. We also now run a guard rotation that has been working very well in keeping guys fresh.
CJ Anderson is now healthy.
Will the Steelers challenge Manning to throw down the field or will they back off? If they back off, Manning will exploit that with the run. Otherwise Manning will have to beat them down the field, and if he can then the run game comes back into play. If he can't, we'll that throws a wrench into things as we've seen before.
The other thing that also plays into this is the altitude. Everybody laughs like it's some non-factor. Rewatch the Bengals in Denver. Came out with a fury, blew their load, and they were completed gassed in the 4th quarter. The same thing applies here. If Denver goes run heavy, that tires out a defense more than the offense. Then you'll start to see bigger holes, missed tackles, and the like. We're not playing in Pittsburgh.
Also keeps the D fresh(er), if they can execute nice methodical grind drives.
Now obviously this all goes out of the window if behind, as they'll have to throw to catch up, but I think it's sound in the sense that if executed it could grind out the Steelers and limit Manning's potential mistakes.
Who knows though, I feel if they attempt it, it can work. I know the secondary isn't great, but if they can establish any run that secondary will be even easier to pick apart. They at least have to try.
Right. Biggest question mark of the game is him for sure. Last game against the Chargers was far too little of a sample size to really know where he is at but I think he'll be in game managing form without any doubt. I think the days of Peyton taking over a game and dominating are over, he's carried teams for a long time, time for him hitch along for a ride. The Chargers game was him checking to runs whenever he saw an opportunity, and making mostly safe easy throws.
One thing I found amazing was that he was still a better deep passer than Brady this year. If I remember correctly based off that line of stats Squick posted over a week or so ago on 20+ yd throws. I think that's what is most important, I think he'll have to make some big throws this week to win. Mostly the downfield and anything across the field. Do you think he has over or under 25 attempts?
If we have some run game and methodical drives, we always the the hurry up / shotgun / pistol in the back pocket if we need to go to it.
The amount of attempts is really going to depend on the game situation, can't say. I'd like to see 30 or less.