If GAF crashing for everyone today or just me? It's fucking garbage today.
If GAF crashing for everyone today or just me? It's fucking garbage today.
If GAF crashing for everyone today or just me? It's fucking garbage today.
If GAF crashing for everyone today or just me? It's fucking garbage today.
If GAF crashing for everyone today or just me? It's fucking garbage today.
:jnc nice jokeNot too worried about the loss of Aaron Ross as the team has enough talent at CB.
http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-t...-improved-san-francisco-49ers-offense-in-2012
Follow up to Barnwell's 49ers piece, Chris Brown on why the offense will be better. It's not even week 1 of preseason and I'm sick of the 49ers. How about some Chiefs or Bills articles, internet writers?
Who would spend time writing about last place teams?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdWyt8UKUosTheLegendary said::jnc nice joke
Yet there are millions of words on the Jets out there.
Jets have been to the AFC Championship 2 out of the last 3 seasons pal.
That's better than the Patriots!
I'm one of the few who've had no errors at all today. Odd.
Probably all those weird filters and VPN's you have set up to allow you to visit those other sites.
Who would spend time writing about last place teams?
Who would spend time writing about last place teams?
Oh dear God. I looked up a video of that Playstation SSB rip-off not sure what to expect, and it couldn't look more like the same goddamn game. :jnc
Better at what?I drink constantly. Yet another thing that makes me immeasurably better than you.
Wow you are wrong about everything. First Kolb now this?That was a good read. I said last year that I thought Wallace was their best player and I really think they will miss him if he holds out.
Yeah, I can't imagine it selling a ton. Can't be that many Sony diehards.It just looks boring to me, I dont really like SSB either though since Im a fighting game snob.
Oh dear God. I looked up a video of that Playstation SSB rip-off not sure what to expect, and it couldn't look more like the same goddamn game. :jnc
Yeah, I can't imagine it selling a ton. Can't be that many Sony diehards.
Yeah, I can't imagine it selling a ton. Can't be that many Sony diehards.
Sadly true.It wont reach the top 10 in its release month and everybody in npd thread will go wow bomba i cant believe it
I dispute your allegation and challenge you to a game of basketball. If you refuse you will be demoted to a Bears fan.All things except ignoring rape.
I said this last year before it looked like Wallace was going to go all prima donna on us.Eh, Brown is probably the more complete receiver but Wallace is the better receiver and more integral to our team's success through the air IMO. I've noticed that many Steeler fans have tried to convince themselves otherwise as the possibility arises that Wallace won't be a Steeler in the long term.
Eh, Brown is probably the more complete receiver but Wallace is the better receiver and more integral to our team's success through the air IMO. I've noticed that many Steeler fans have tried to convince themselves otherwise as the possibility arises that Wallace won't be a Steeler in the long term.
I said this last year before it looked like Wallace was going to go all prima donna on us.
It is easier to shut down Wallace than Brown.
But honestly for a great offense we need both. And it sucks because we finally invested in the offensive line and now this happens.
I would drink too if I was a Brewers fan.
Make fun of the Red Sox for being just as bad here
It wont reach the top 10 in its release month and everybody in npd thread will go wow bomba i cant believe it
NN: One big discussion point for the team has been the incredible turnover differential. On the defensive side of the ball, how sustainable is that differential?
Well, there are a couple of ways to look at this: one big picture, one arthouse film. In terms of the big picture, I'll direct you to this excellent Yahoo! piece by Joe Fortenbaugh of National Football Post. Basically, any way you slice the 49ers' overall giveaway/takeaway ratio last season, historical precedent predicts a huge fall this season. The exact numbers depend on how you characterize "49ers-like" teams, but we're talking somewhere between a 15-to-20-turnover swing in the opposite direction this year.
Now, when it comes to turnovers, FO likes to look at the trees in addition to the forest. We approach it from a play-by-play angle, not just a season-total angle. We care about what happened on a play with a potential turnover, not just the actual turnovers that count in turnover differential. In other words, did Alex Smith's pass get flat-out dropped by a defender? Did Michael Crabtree volleyball set the pass to a defender who caught it? Was an interception (either way) just a desperation heave at the end of a half? Did a Jeremy Maclin fumble bounce happily into the awaiting arms of Dashon Goldson to seal an increasingly unlikely victory? Basically, what we're saying is that throwing an accurate pass is a skill, forcing a fumble is a skill. Tip drills, Hail Marys, and random bounces off of the turf are not skills.
From this perspective, 2012 isn't as pessimistic looking. For Smith, we have a stat called Adjusted Interceptions, which removes Hail Marys, late-game, fourth-down desperation heaves, and receiver tip drills from the interception total, but adds in potential interceptions dropped by defenders (which we keep track as part of our game charting project). Last season, Smith's actual interception rate (i.e., interceptions divided by attempts) was 1.1%, which was the third-best in league history among quarterbacks who threw over 400 passes. History just screams that he's due for a regression to the league average (2.9%) this year. However, his adjusted interception rate was 1.3%, second-best in the NFL behind Aaron Rodgers (0.8%), which means his inevitable regression won't be because he was getting really lucky; just skillfully throwing accurate passes away from defenders. Compare that with someone like Sam Bradford, who had an actual interception rate of 1.7%, but an adjusted interception rate of 3.4%. Defenders dropped as many interceptions against him as they caught (6).
What's more, although we need a few more years of data before we write this up definitively, it looks like that difference between actual and adjusted interception rate is a good leading indicator for the following year's stats. Guys like Bradford (i.e., actual <<< adjusted) see their actual interception rate explode the following season, whereas guys like Smith (i.e., actual < adjusted) don't suffer as much. Same goes in the opposite direction, which Smith was an example of last year. In 2010, his actual interception rate (2.7%) was slightly higher than his adjusted interception rate (2.5%), and so his actual interception rate decreased slightly in 2011. Like I said, need more data, but it's just one more thing in favor of the idea that Smith probably won't turn into the second coming of Vinny Testaverde this season.
In terms of fumbles, the main thing we look at is fumble recovery rates, which are almost entirely dumb luck. Teams should recover 50% of fumbles, so a real outlying recovery rate means they were unusually lucky or unusually unlucky, which should reverse itself the following year. In 2011, San Francisco's offense recovered eight of their 13 fumbles. There's about a 30% chance of that happening randomly, which isn't enough to say they were unusually lucky. Any poker player will tell you a 30% chance might as well be 50/50. On defense, they recovered 13 of their opponents' 27 fumbles, which is almost exactly 50/50, so no luck there either.
The only part of the equation we don't really have a handle on is the predictability of defensive interceptions, but we're working on it. Another kind of preliminary quirk we've found, but requires a much deeper look than just noticing patterns anecdotally, is that defensive backs with a lot of passes defensed, but not a lot of interceptions, tend to have more interceptions the following year, and vice versa. Carlos Rogers was a great example of this last year. As I mentioned in the book, he had only four interceptions from 2008 to 2010, but led the league with 24 passes defensed (on 97 targets) in 2008, and averaged 16 per season (on 72 targets) over the three-year period (seventh-most among corners).
Isnt it coming out in the holiday months? Games sell 600k in November and dont break into the NPD top 10. No way in hell is a new ip that is also a console exclusive in a super niche genre going to.
You know who isnt bad?
The Pirates..finally!
I would drink too if I was a Brewers fan.
[spiler]Make fun of the Red Sox for being just as bad here[/spoiler]
I haven't really been keeping up with the Steelers' off-season since I'm knee deep into Pirates' fandom weeks into the post all star break schedule for the first time.... ever. Are these reports about DeCastro struggling overstated? I was really hoping he'd have a Pouncey like impact to our line in his rookie season... we're really going to need it.
I never take impressions from camp seriously. You will know how good he is by his 2nd game (regular not preseason). The mistakes will get better, but if you can't make an impression by game 2 chances are you are not very good to begin with.I haven't really been keeping up with the Steelers' off-season since I'm knee deep into Pirates' fandom weeks into the post all star break schedule for the first time.... ever. Are these reports about DeCastro struggling overstated? I was really hoping he'd have a Pouncey like impact to our line in his rookie season... we're really going to need it.
I have to disagree with this. We have seen Brown create his own space time and time again. He more than Wallace is who Ben looks to on 3rd and forever. Wallace is Ben's first option because he is always looking for the long ball, but for most of the big throws when the game is on the line he seems to go to Brown first.Obviously it's going to be hard to shut down Brown when there's someone over the top drawing double coverage. We've yet to see Brown create his own space without Wallace demanding the defense's attention.
I dispute your allegation and challenge you to a game of basketball. If you refuse you will be demoted to a Bears fan.
If you get a doctor's note saying you can't play basketball then as an alternate test of manhood we can play a game of Tetris Attack on my SNES.
Better at what?