Bayonetta 2 isn't going to do well, but I think Hyrule Warriors will surprise a lot of people. It is still a Zelda game after all.
NPD Sales Results for June 2014 [Up3: All Hardware (June/LTD), Top 10 Software SKUs]
- Thread starter Nirolak
- Start date
Bayonetta 2 isn't going to do well, but I think Hyrule Warriors will surprise a lot of people. It is still a Zelda game after all.
It would be a lot of fun if MS did a $100 price drop worldwide in the next few months.
Nintendo needs to do Bayonetta 2 ads with the Link/Samus/Peach costumes
Coulomb_Barrier
Member
Halo: Master Chief Collection. This is not Halo 5. You can't draw parallels with it and the mainline series.
ethomaz
Banned
Amazing.
SwiftDeath
Member
I think I might rank worse for predictions this month than Chartz 
Ah well
Ah well
MisterGrey3000
Member
That wouldn't be a bad idea (the same goes for the upcoming Wii Sports Club retail release), but they'd have to put some power behind a NES Remix 1/2 collection for it to have any sort of real impact on the WiiU's sales.
I just can't see that happening seeing as big clever marketing pushes have to be planned long in advance before these games release.
The best they can do now is keep MK8 fresh in consumers minds with new commercials and deals (if they're even planning on doing that). Hopefully that can help the WiiU limp along until the fall (which isn't very far away at this point)
I would say that the somewhat odd situation of third party games on previous gen consoles outselling the Xbox One versions might reflect that current Xbox One owners are skewed more so hardcore first party Xbox guys than is normal though. Given the terrible Xbox PR leading up to One coming out, that is not unlikely.
I must be a crazy bastard, because the Wii U's sales are still lower than my prediction. Not by a whole lot though. I feel like this should be about what we expected of MK8. I definitely don't expect any sustained momentum from the console, I could have only seen that happening if the bump was like 100k bigger than it currently is at least.
Xbox One is really what probably subverted them. <200k (assuming that's what it did, and I don't expect it to do much better than twice as good as last month if that's what Microsoft's PR team went with) in big pricedrop month with no Kinect is bad. This really solidifies the PS4's dominance this gen, considering the lack of exclusive releases for the thing (March had InFamous).
Surprised Tomadachi did that well, and also surprised that the 3DS got that much of a hardware bump this month.
Xbox One is really what probably subverted them. <200k (assuming that's what it did, and I don't expect it to do much better than twice as good as last month if that's what Microsoft's PR team went with) in big pricedrop month with no Kinect is bad. This really solidifies the PS4's dominance this gen, considering the lack of exclusive releases for the thing (March had InFamous).
Surprised Tomadachi did that well, and also surprised that the 3DS got that much of a hardware bump this month.
Duxxy3
Member
I think this falls under the gross incompetence curse.
-Combined sales of Xbox One and PS4 are over 80 percent higher than the combined totals for Xbox 360 and PS3 an indication of the strength of the start of this new console generation, said Callahan.
still not good enough for Borderlands to see a current gen release tho...
still not good enough for Borderlands to see a current gen release tho...
Hahaha wow. I hope you don't honestly believe this.
1st --> 2nd = HUGE FALL LOOKOUT BELOW OH NO SAVE THE CHILDREN SAVE THEM NOW!!!@#!$#%#
Problem is, Microsoft already had their "price cut." Doing it again so soon will just have customers thinking that Microsoft is very desperate & just sets a precedent assuming, "I'll just wait until Microsoft lowers the price to ??? before buying it."
Tom Nook Sawyer
Member
It's not really delayed; Mario Kart 8 came out on May 30th. It had a mere 2-days; the rest of the sales followed in June.
theprodigy
Member
I think I might rank worse for predictions this month than Chartz
Ah well
well don't forget, they had PS4 sub-200k, that's going to kill them
Isleofsancroy
Banned
NES was cheaper than the competiton? Also didnt the gamecube drop.below ps2.
veritassin
Banned
It's not a zelda game, it's a Musou game with Zelda characters. Even if you consider it a "zelda game" that's not nearly as big as a Mario Kart game.
It's not exactly an easy sell.
Yes, it's Zelda, which will help it, but DW games sell like crap in NA.
KratosEnergyDrink
Member
Next big game is Hyrule Warriors in September. Followed by Bayonetta 1 & 2 in October.
Followed by games like Captain Toad, Smash Bros, Sonic Boom. And some multi games like Skylander and Watch Dogs. And many eShop games.
And the beauty of owning all three systems is you are always on the winning team.
Whatever Bayonetta 2 does will be like 99% front loaded I'd imagine. Everyone who wants that game will get it day one or thereabouts so however little it sells will be all it'll get. Hope I'm wrong and everyone was said they were waiting to get a Wii U when Bayo 2 comes out actually does so, and I hope the numbers aren't pitiful.
With Hyrule Warriors, it could go either way really. Could bomb or sell better than an previous mainline Zelda to date. I'd have to imagine that there's a lot of people who'd rather play this kinda of 'Zelda' with its sick guitar solos and over the top action rather than what I'd assume a vast majority of the people out there think of the main line Zelda, which is boring and dull etc. An acquired taste if you will. Who knows really.
With Hyrule Warriors, it could go either way really. Could bomb or sell better than an previous mainline Zelda to date. I'd have to imagine that there's a lot of people who'd rather play this kinda of 'Zelda' with its sick guitar solos and over the top action rather than what I'd assume a vast majority of the people out there think of the main line Zelda, which is boring and dull etc. An acquired taste if you will. Who knows really.
AstroNut325
Member
I'm just glad that the PS4 is still at the top. With TLoU, GTAV, Destiny, Driveclub... I see continued domination!
And_Gignac
Member
Hyrule warriors will help. I can feel the anecdotical hype withing my circle of friends. If a remake of wind waker gave a decent boost to Wiii U's sales I don't see why original Zelda software can't do the same.
TimeEffect
Member
I mean this seriously: What about Halo?
I figured Halo is going to make some great sales... but then again, it's a collection of older games. How good is the Halo 2 MP sauce to sell consoles...with new games like Destiny making a partnership with Sony?
Is there any hope past Halo?
Coulomb_Barrier
Member
Let's hope so, because then PS4 would probably see a similar cut.
Tom Nook Sawyer
Member
Yes, but it'll almost certainly be marketed and perceived as a Zelda game, not a DW game.
Regardless, it may still do poorly--I was just pointing out he forgot a game
I can't imagine many people give a shit about Halo 5 after how badly 343 butchered 4. On the other hand the thirst is real for millions of people that want to play halo 1,2,3 online in 1080p and 60fps. Shit's gonna sell 10 million easily.
SwiftDeath
Member
And the losing teams
North America has become PlayStationland. It's amazing how quickly the market changed.
This is the cruel reality for Microsoft. At $399, consumers in their strongest territory are seeing more value in their main competitors' offering that is equally priced. This is really bad news for Microsoft, because it means that Microsoft will have to undercut the PS4 by a significant amount to make a serious dent. Will Microsoft tolerate another $100 price drop so soon?
It should be clear by now that Microsoft has lost their home advantage. It's going to take everything they've got (and a big scoop of luck) to reverse their fortunes in NA. With the PS4's hardware advantage, it's going to be really really tough for Microsoft to convince people to purchase COD/Madden/GTAV/AC/Destiny on XB1 instead of PS4.
Fall 2014 is going to be a bloodbath.
This is the cruel reality for Microsoft. At $399, consumers in their strongest territory are seeing more value in their main competitors' offering that is equally priced. This is really bad news for Microsoft, because it means that Microsoft will have to undercut the PS4 by a significant amount to make a serious dent. Will Microsoft tolerate another $100 price drop so soon?
It should be clear by now that Microsoft has lost their home advantage. It's going to take everything they've got (and a big scoop of luck) to reverse their fortunes in NA. With the PS4's hardware advantage, it's going to be really really tough for Microsoft to convince people to purchase COD/Madden/GTAV/AC/Destiny on XB1 instead of PS4.
Fall 2014 is going to be a bloodbath.
Infinite Xero
Member
That falls under the third console curse.
Nintentoast
Banned
It will do extremely well in Japan. And by that I mean relative to Japan's other top-selling console games.
Also, I read that last sentence as Aonuma in my head. Are you sure you don't want to tell me about powerful enemies appearing in a peaceful setting?
DXB-KNIGHT
Member
Having a streak of exclusives will really help the WiiU which is what it's schedule shows right now.
bitesnintendog
Member
While I don't think they have a chance of first place barring a miracle, I still think sales have been pretty solid. Especially when you figure in all of the bad press and extra hundred dollars for the beginning of its life.
Neuromancer
Member
In terms of market share in regions they used to dominate, yeah, it's a pretty big deal.
Maybe it's not a "real" Zelda game. But it's also not really a Musou game. Just having the Zelda IP involved in some way I think gives it a fighting chance to do well if not great on the charts.
While Bayo and Hyrule Warriors might not be best sellers individually (although I also think HW will sell better than most people expect) they will make up for a good crescendo up to the SSB release and there will be constant flow of games from September onward. I'm also curious where they will squeeze Captain Toad in this schedule.
I expect still some MK8 inertia for July, so maybe 80-100k, 60-75k for August and then continously increasing until SSB 4.
Markitron
Is currently staging a hunger strike outside Gearbox HQ while trying to hate them to death
Yea that's weird. I know they are likely making a current gen Borderlands 3 at Gearbox, but they could have just released the PC version of the pre-sequel on PS4/XB1 (or something similar). Like Batman last year, I cab't go back to last gen now.
September: Hyrule Warriors
October: Bayonetta 2 (and 1)
November: Smash?/Captain Toad?
December: Smash?/Captain Toad?
But it's not really a price cut if they take out a pheripal? So they still can do a price cut
holy shit my predictions might actually be spot on this time. WiiU at ~ 140k was the only one I was really doubting
I'm not sure Smash will even make this calendar year. Definitely not November or early Dec, anyway.