And MS made $2.1b a year at 10$ or $3.2b a year at 15$ from 18m users, not counting xbox live users revenue.
This would be if nobody was using free months or $1 deals, nobody would be buying at cd key stores and everybody would be buying in USA intead of in other countries which have lower prices. These numbers are only fanttasy, the real revenue must be much smaller.
Then you are throwing away your xbox account, which you use it to purchase those games.
With Gamepass you don't purchase games, you rent them.
That is why it wont have 48m users instantly. You will have to make ps+ users move to the new gamepass competitor. And you cant force ps+ to move to that service, because of consumer protection laws.
Yes, they will have 48M subs from the start because they already have them.
If MS change xbox live gold to gamepass gold, it wont affect the actual gamepass subs.
True, prettty likely there wouldn't be a big change because being able to upgrade your Gold months to GPU monhts for $1 is an awesome deal that I asume that almost everyone who had an active Gold sub must have got.
That is the perk of having bigger base.
Yes, the main reason of Sony having around 2X game subs is Sony having around 2X their console userbase, which I assume are there because they console appealing their offerings (catalog and pricing).
But that wont be the same after this year. 25m users can now match the 48$ subscription fees.
And the more subscriber gamepass gains, the more revenue it would have.
The downside of Sony, is that they dont have PC users, like gamepass does. as long as that section exist, MS would make more money from the subs.
During a year GP barely did grow until they released Halo & Forza Horizon. Let's see what happens this year. I think whenever they include ABK games it will increase, but I think this won't happen until they close the acquisititon, and the upcoming remaining games with Sony marketing deal, if they have the same 'anti Gamepass' clause included in RE Village, won't be in GP until at least 15-16 months after release and this is if Sony doesn't decide to put them on their game subs. But I assume that if it's the case it will only affect a couple of yearly CoDs since pretty much in Summer 2023 once the deal gets closed, all the previous one will have expired.
Plus who knows, maybe MS and Sony signed some sort of no aggresion deal to keep CoD and Bungie stuff multiplatform and to don't block each other. We can only speculate.
In fact, botth Sony and MS are working on more acquisitions and at least in Sony's side, so bettween acquisitions and Spartacus things can change a lot this year. If Bloomberg isn't lying again (something they frequently do when talking about Sony) and Sony completes this year the plans they had for the next gen PS Now, other than catalog Gamepass and Spartacus will be pretty similar, with the main difference of -apparently- no downloadable PC games and no 1st party day one games on Sony's side.
Also, PSnow makes like $180m a year. That service needs complete overhaul.
We don't know how much revenue does it make, we only know Plus+Now make almost $4B a year.
Then we would have to add xbox live gold to gamepass numbers then.
Prettty likely MS doesn't reveal them because most of them are already inside GPU. But yes, adding Gold as a GP tier outside having Gold embedded on GPU would help to make a more similar, almost 1:1 comparision.
That service would start from the scratch. And if people go to that service, PS+ would lose alot of users, since they moved to the new tier.
The service will be the resultt of merging Plus and Now and adding more things on top. If some PS+ subs change to anoher tier they will continue being subscribers, but now will be generating more revenue.
That subscription cap for that service is 50m at most.
No, ~50M+ is tthe subscriptions they will have at the start and will grow from there.
Many players will be interested on getting a subscription to rent hundreds/thousands of games, as we seen in base gamepass.
I think that as happens in gamepass, only the tier with cloud gaming will be locked to a handful of dozen countries, which means that way more players will be able to get this no cloud gaming tier, and also being cheaper than the cloud gaming one would be more appealing for people in countries with streaming.
Plus they are supposed to highly improve their catalog and stuff included (like 'extended demos') and bring it to mobile and smart tvs, which will help grow a bit more.
Plus there will be some Plus subs who will upgrade to other tiers, so their revenue will increase not only with growing their userbase.
You have to keep in mind, that doing tier plan increase revenue depends on the pricing. If 20m ps+ users went to the 10$ service, that would mean $2.4b revenue a year. While ps+ would have 28m users, and would generate $1.680b revenue. A total of $4b revenue. at 15$, that would be $3.6b+$1.680b=$5.28b.
PS Plus + Now already generate almost $4B/year. If a portion of PS Plus subs move to a more expensive tier, that revenue will increase. Plus with all the new subs who as of now don't have Plus or Now, the revenue will be even higher. Only from subs, not counting here related DLC/MTX/season passes etc.
MS money comes from standalone service. They dont depend Xbox live gold for their profits.
MS has no profits from gaming or Gamepass. They just spent $80B on acquisitions and are puting AAA games day one on a subscripion wih 25M subs and pretty likely many millions of them are there for free or paying $1.
We can talk about Psnow, which managed to get RD2 on a 3m subscription. If that service can afford a game like that, then most games at gamepass is very cheap for MS.
Most games that Sony include on PS Now are old games that already sold all the units they had to sell, so to include games there doesn't cost them sold units and it's super cheaper to sign each 3rd party game.
Instead MS puts there many new AAA games, so they lose many related game sales and its way more expensive to put 3rd party games if they are new because of losing sales.
This is the reason of why Sony's approach is profitable and MS not: because it has way cheaper costs to fill the catalog.
They will have to. They have no choice.
Gamepass set the stage with Day1 1st party in the service. If Sony wants to compete with that service, they would need to put their day1 games in to their spartacus, and spend alot of money getting AAA 3rd party games day1 on that service.
Even after the ABK acquisittion Sony continues making more gaming revenue than MS, has ~2X the console userbase, has ~2X the game subs, unlike MS their game subs and game division are profitable, has he biggest platform for AAA games, SIE continues breaking gaming history records for any console platform holder and SIE continues having a great growth in most areas where they are.
Absolutely nothing forces them to include their games day one on a game subscription or in PC. Sony is the clear market leader in many areas and MS is sill way behind. It's MS who must do stuff to improve and being compete and reach Sony, not the opposite.
Gamepass has room to grow.
Yes, both GP and Spartacus have room to grow and will grow.
You will needs tons of money to rival that money printing machine. And it wont stop at 50m userbase.
Sony already has that userbase, prints more money than MS and they do it having a great tprofit.
It has the potential to hit 100m users in 8 years.
Being very optimisic their active userbase in consoles is -or this gen could reach- 60M. Add a few more they could get from PS.Add a some PC+mobile only players who still aren't there. I don't see GP reaching 100M subs in 8 years.
Sony instead has a 111M MAU userbase on PS. Even adding some extra subs from PC only or mobile, I don't see them reaching 100M subs in 8 years either but I can see them getting closer since they already are at 50M.
Unlike consoles, Subscription services dont have a ceilings.
Yes, they have a ceiling: the amount of players intereseted on this type of games, and that are on the platforms and countries supported by the subscription.
If MS charges gamepass 15$, and nothing else, they will get $9b a year guarantee money from 50m subscribers. That is 40% of Sony 2020 revenue. MS doesnt have to sell games at all. The more subs the service gains the more money they will gain. Even 100m (hard to achieve) would generate $1.5b a month or $18b. That is more than Xbox revenue in 2020 selling games, 3rd party games, and dlcs.
That is how much money these subscription service make. Phil will be so happy for Nintendo, Sony, and steam to have that service. It gives him tons of users.
That is how much money these subscription service makes in your fantasies using totally unrealistic assumptions and numbers, not in the real world.