That was due to the Palin bump.
was double palin/convention but i highly doubt Romney ever gets 10 points ahead at any point, which makes the teeth gnashing and worry all the more humorous to watch
That was due to the Palin bump.
Last week, Paul Ryan gave an interview in which, defending his position that there should be no excuses for abortion, he referred to rape as a "method of conception."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/paul-...something-_b_1832377.html?utm_hp_ref=politics
Sounds about right. Most polls will probably have Romney up slightly or tied.I predict an average of a +4 point bump for Rombot after the convention.
It would make me all giddy inside if fuck all happens because no one cares about what the GOP has to saySounds about right. Most polls will probably have Romney up slightly or tied.
I wonder how much thinly-veiled racism we'll see out of Tampa this week.
likely voters, obama up by four?TIME/CNN
Florida
Obama 50
Romney 46
North Carolina
Romney 48
Obama 47
Both are of likely voters. With registered voters, Obama's up by 9 in Florida (51-42) and 2 in NC (48-46).
Definitely promising.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cat5SyMBSpk&t=50s
The Obama camp should take this, splice it slightly to get out the filler before "method of conception", and really fuck Ryan up.
I think this would be an effective ad. And yes, it would be dirty, but no dirty than Romney taking Obama out of context. go for the balls, i say (or should I say uterus?)
likely voters, obama up by four?
yikes, Romney better turn that around
Sometimes I wonder: do Republican men go home to their wives and and daughters and say the same things? Because I would think more than one wife would put them in the dog house for some of the stuff that they say.
It probably won't be as pronounced as usual, but there will be a bump. The GOP will have all the media attention to themselves for their platform.Chuck Todd said there'd be no bump as the money spent already means it's October not late August. People have made up their minds.
Quinnipac had Obama up 3.it's only one poll
dat trend etc
I really hope that Fauxbama still appears. That shit doesn't appeal to anyone that isn't already a racist right wing prick.
It probably won't be as pronounced as usual, but there will be a bump. The GOP will have all the media attention to themselves for their platform.
Though of course, that would probably lead to a negative bump when Mike Huckabee calls all pregnant women whores or something.
The best thing about this is that it sounds like the movie makes some predictions. Well, Obama is probably going to win and when 2016 really rolls around, we will all be able to look at this move and laugh about how fucking stupid the predictions were.So yesterday, my parents went and saw this movie
Anyone heard of it? Willing to bother and go see it?2016 Obama's America takes audiences on a gripping visual journey into the heart of the world's most powerful office to reveal the struggle of whether one man's past will redefine America over the next four years. The film examines the question, "If Obama wins a second term, where will we be in 2016?" Across the globe and in America, people in 2008 hungered for a leader who would unite and lift us from economic turmoil and war. True to America's ideals, they invested their hope in a new kind of president, Barack Obama. What they didn't know is that Obama is a man with a past, and in powerful ways that past defines him--who he is, how he thinks, and where he intends to take America and the world. Love him or hate him, you don't know him. -- (C) Official Site
As we all know, Iraq sank into a civil war largely drawn along Sunni/Shia lines. It still persists today. Despite that fucking HUGE mistake, people listen to this idiot for foreign policy. Why? Why not just ask the crazy homeless man down the street?On this issue of the Shia in Iraq, I think theres been a certain amount of, frankly, a kind of pop sociology in America that, you know, somehow the Shia cant get along with the Sunni and the Shia in Iraq just want to establish some kind of Islamic fundamentalist regime. Theres almost no evidence of that at all. Iraqs always been very secular.
https://twitter.com/chucktodd/status/240112393789767681Chuck Todd said:Americans for Prosperity (the Koch group) has cancelled the rest of their PA TV ad buy. Still up in other swing states including MN and NM
The fact that Dick Morris appears to have any ounce of credibility in the media speaks volumes about its effectiveness in separating fact from fiction.The best thing about this is that it sounds like the movie makes some predictions. Well, Obama is probably going to win and when 2016 really rolls around, we will all be able to look at this move and laugh about how fucking stupid the predictions were.
But the sad part is there is no accountability anymore. People that say the dumbest most dangerous stupid wrong things just get to keep on going and people listen to them. Among the classics is that loser William Kristol with this dangerous lie from 2003:
As we all know, Iraq sank into a civil war largely drawn along Sunni/Shia lines. It still persists today. Despite that fucking HUGE mistake, people listen to this idiot for foreign policy. Why? Why not just ask the crazy homeless man down the street?
Dinesh has already been caught saying all sorts of outrageous bullshit . . . but the lemmings will continue to listen.
Pennsylvania is fool's gold for Republicans, even with voter ID. Some polls will show the Republican candidate within striking distance, and then election day happens and the Democrat wins by a comfortable margin. Romney's campaign seems to be wise enough to understand that when McCain wasn't.ezekial45 said:Why?
That can't be a good sign for Romney.
Not really. They're smart enough to realize to push more in Ohio and Wisconsin.
Why?
I really hope that Fauxbama still appears. That shit doesn't appeal to anyone that isn't already a racist right wing prick.
Minnesota too.But I have it on good authority from several news agencies that Pennsylvania is a toss-up.
PPP sez: Iowa and Nevada are closer than in 2008, but Obama still leads there.
Obama won Iowa in 2008 by 9 and Nevada by 12, so "close" could still be up 5-6 points, which would be pretty good. But you never know, PPP is obnoxiously cryptic like that.
Also worth noting that in 2008, pollsters were off by 6 points in Nevada - and of course, in 2010 they had Harry Reid losing by 3 when he won by 6.
Wisconsin's shift has been really odd to me. The closeness of the race can't be explained away by Ryan. The VP home state bump is rarely significant especially one that never had a state wide office like Ryan. Not to mention they are replacing 2 dem senators with two republican ones within 2 years and then elected a hard right-winger Scott Walker, twice.
What happened to the state in such a short amount of time?
REASON 20: Think of the alternative.
This is specifically meant for the voters who voted for Obama and are disappointed in him and subsequently on the fence about voting for him or resigned to not voting for anyone at all.
There are dozens, if not hundreds of legitimate reasons why you should not vote for Obama. You were lied to, seduced by yet another smooth talking politician who promised you hope and change. Although lets be honest, short of electing a born-again monkey with downs syndrome, anyone who replaced Bush would be considered a change."
And yes, after three years of Obama, we still live in a country with an ever-peeling veneer of democracy that is run by and for the moneyed power brokers and their vested interests. A country where cancer patients smoking medicinal marijuana in the privacy of their home participate in a criminal offense, but knowingly manipulating the markets and stealing from pension funds goes, not only unpunished, but lucratively rewarded.
And true, we still live in the most violent first world country on earth, with increasingly lax restrictions on the freedom to buy assault weapons online. And we still spend more of our precious decreasing tax dollars on defense than the next ten countries combined.
And right, it is accurate to say that gay couples are still treated like second, actually make that, third class citizens who, in some cases, cant provide a loving home to beaten and abused foster kids stuck in a rotating door of loveless families headed by abusive and psychotic welfare queens simply because theyre fags.
And unquestionably, the banks, insurance companies, brokerage houses and really, all financial institutions have gotten away virtually untouched with the biggest theft of the peoples money since Rome was sacked by the Visigoths.
Oh my god I could keep going like this into the next morning.
So let me tell you why you should hold your nose, take a deep breath, and swallow the bitter pill of voting for a rather ineffective disappointer-in-chiefbecause of the alternative. And the alternative in this case is an exceptionally heartbreaking example of, potential leader of the free world.
Mitt Romney is a craven, out-of-touch, capitalist robot (and not the fun kind either) with an understanding and compassion for the working class sourced from brief, sweeping platitudes told to him by his staff just before having to meet one. He doesnt give a shit about you or your mom, or your friends, or your children. I mean, he cares in the sense of, you shouldnt have to be so poor if you really, truly work hard. Thats why I want to be your president. But his ideas are, ironically, about weaning the very people his policies displace, off the welfare teat.
In no small part, a lot of the voters that Romney appeals to are part of a backwards, ignorant electorate who truly believe that our current president is a Kenyan Marxist with an evil plan to let Muslim fundamentalists take over the world while he gleefully gives the good Christian Rights money hes stolen to lazy niggers and spics. They so desperately want FILL-IN-THE-BLANK in and Obama OUT! Many of these folk, left to their own devices, would make teaching certain parts of science that contradict the Bible illegal and punishable by jail time. They would defund and then outlaw certain aspects of womans health care. Officially strip gay people of what little rights they have fought very hard for and now enjoy. Defund what pitiably small public funds there are for the arts (created by fags and left-wing radical hippies). Thats what they want to do and would certainly be more emboldened to do with a potential eight years, in not longer, of right-wing, conservative rule.
History provides a very succinct, undeniable look at what these two parties would (try) to do if in power. Take a look, and, even though Obama has not been very successful (and Congress is in great part to blame but still), when faced with the alternative, well please vote Obama in 2012.
David Cross
  New York, New York
I think the recall basically killed a lot of goodwill towards the Democrats. I still think Obama has a pretty decent lead, but the Walker fight hurt.
Yeah, was gonna post this as well.
Yeah, was gonna post this as well.
I think it's just become a very polarized state with the moderates either tuning out or falling in line. Turnout between conservatives and liberals will always favor Republicans, especially now that conservatives have more to be "mad" about (a black man's in the White House!). You could point out liberal angst against Scott Walker, but I'd say for about 90% of Americans, politics is all about whoever's on top and right now that's Obama. Governors, senators, congresscritters, they're not important.Wisconsin's shift has been really odd to me. The closeness of the race can't be explained away by Ryan. The VP home state bump is rarely significant. Not to mention they are replacing 2 dem senators with two republican ones within 2 years and then elected a hard right-winger Scott Walker, twice.
What happened to the state in such a short amount of time?
There are dozens, if not hundreds of legitimate reasons why you should not vote for Obama. You were lied to, seduced by yet another smooth talking politician who promised you hope and change.
I stopped reading right here. Hundreds of reasons? Really? REALLY?
The fuck is up with some Libs and their hardcore cynicism and lack of perspective?
The right wing is hardcore cynical and lacks perspective too.
If watching TV has taught me anything, it's that all viewpoints and factions are equally meritous.
I predict an average of a +4 point bump for Rombot after the convention.