Aaron Strife
Banned
I'm mostly talking presidential here, but state politics (particularly Senate/House races) will come with it.Do you mean in presidential elections or all politics? A HUGE reason for the vote here in GA is a huge chunk of our biggest city is not run by the backwards ass rednecks that live in the rest of the state. The educated people live in the city and they vote for obama, but I don't think you'll see nearly a huge turn out next presidential election. Further, if you mean in local politics, it would take 50 years for that to happen here.
I like how you call the Obama voters "educated people" and then immediately assume they won't turn out in 2016. Why? If Hillary runs, she's just as popular with minorities and youth as Obama is, and moreso with white people. Every Obama voter will be just as energized to come out again, especially if Obama campaigns for her (which he will).
Incidentally PPP came out with a poll of Georgia today, and while it's far off, the only GOP candidate who beats Hillary is Christie, 44-42. Otherwise she's tied with Bush (45-45), and wins over Rand Paul (48-43), Paul Ryan (47-44), Newt Gingrich (47-43), and Sarah Palin (51-38 lol).
It was a goal of Obama's campaign team to flip Georgia in 2008, and I think it's significant that OFA has only explicitly offered help to one candidate, Michelle Nunn. Voter turnout is always depressed across the board in midterms, but if they can boost AA and college turnout to presidential levels, you get a Democratic Senator. States like Georgia - and Texas, Arizona, and North Carolina - are where the Democratic Party is going to grow the most over the next few elections. There will be a time when even a majority of the Confederate states start voting blue, and it'll be entirely thanks to the Southern strategy.