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PoliGAF 2014 |OT| Kay Hagan and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad News

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Crisco

Banned
Suicide watch? The law is still wildly unpopular. The article acknowledges it at least, but argues the GOP's anti-Obamacare advertising has been ineffective which isn't true imo. For whatever reason the democrat's message isn't penetrating. Is it simply due to how partisan things are, that no matter what happens there will always be a split? Is it because so many red states have ensured the law works as horribly as possible? I'm not sure.

I think the point is that while the law remains unpopular overall, calling for it's repeal is no longer an effective political message for Republicans. Mostly because they've yet to propose any viable alternative that would prevent a catastrophic health care crisis were it repealed.
 
I think the point is that while the law remains unpopular overall, calling for it's repeal is no longer an effective political message for Republicans. Mostly because they've yet to propose any viable alternative that would prevent a catastrophic health care crisis were it repealed.
On this topic, Mark Pryor released an ad today where he talks with his father (David Pryor, former Senator) about his support for healthcare reform. Of course, he doesn't call it Obamacare, but he's certainly not running away from it.

In more bad news for PD, a Suffolk University poll has Hagan leading Tillis by 2. Amusingly this is the same pollster that stopped polling NC, VA and FL in 2012 because they believed they were all safe Romney states and didn't see the point.
 

East Lake

Member
Update on that last BoA fraud thing I posted.

Countrywide bankers complained bitterly to Mairone in March 2008 when Chief Executive Officer Angelo Mozilo testified to Congress that the bank was carefully screening all its applicants to minimize defaults. Mozilo never faced trial. A criminal investigation was quietly dropped in 2011, and he avoided a civil trial when he agreed to pay $67.5 million, only a third of which came out of his own pocket, in settlement.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-08-06/bank-of-america-s-penalty-misses-the-point

Turns out he's getting sued now.

Countrywide Financial Corp. co-founder Angelo Mozilo hasn’t escaped the wrath of prosecutors for his company’s role in inflating the U.S housing bubble that preceded the financial crisis.

More than 12 months after a deadline passed to file criminal charges, U.S. attorneys in Los Angeles are preparing a civil lawsuit against Mozilo and as many as 10 other former Countrywide employees, according to two people with knowledge of the matter.

The government is making a last ditch-effort to hold him accountable for the excesses of the past decade’s subprime-mortgage boom, using a 25-year-old law that has helped the Justice Department win billions of dollars from Wall Street banks, said the people, who weren’t authorized to discuss the case publicly.

Until now, the harshest penalty imposed on Mozilo, 75, has been a $67.5 million accord with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission from 2010 to resolve allegations that he misled Countrywide investors. He earned $535 million from 1999 to 2008, according to compensation-research firm Equilar Inc. The size of the sanction in the SEC case, in which Mozilo didn’t admit or deny wrongdoing, compared with his pay has fueled public anger that financial executives walked away from the housing bust enriched and mostly unscathed.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-20/countrywide-s-mozilo-said-to-face-u-s-suit-over-loans.html
 

Wilsongt

Member
I know sticking my head in the sand about the world and world events isn't wise, but goddamn is a lot of fucked up things being said and done.
 
I know sticking my head in the sand about the world and world events isn't wise, but goddamn is a lot of fucked up things being said and done.

Seriously . . . this summer sucks. Israel/Gaza, Ebola, Russia/Ukraine, IS/Iraq, Libya, etc. The world is really burning this summer.
 
Seriously . . . this summer sucks. Israel/Gaza, Ebola, Russia/Ukraine, IS/Iraq, Libya, etc. The world is really burning this summer.

Eh, this is true, but overall, we're still in a better place than even 20 or 25 years ago, when there were dozens of civil wars, proxy wars, and so on going on because the US and Soviets needed to measure their dicks.

I think now just looks bad because honestly, we went through a unlikely 10 years of near peace from the fall of the Wall to 9/11. The world is burning, but it's always burnt. We can just get right up close to the flames now and watch every ember flick away.
 

Wilsongt

Member
Eh, this is true, but overall, we're still in a better place than even 20 or 25 years ago, when there were dozens of civil wars, proxy wars, and so on going on because the US and Soviets needed to measure their dicks.

I think now just looks bad because honestly, we went through a unlikely 10 years of near peace from the fall of the Wall to 9/11. The world is burning, but it's always burnt. We can just get right up close to the flames now and watch every ember flick away.

It doesn't help that the US elects officals that fan those flames, and that egomaniacs have taken control in a lot of countries.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
I know sticking my head in the sand about the world and world events isn't wise, but goddamn is a lot of fucked up things being said and done.

Well this might brighten up your day a little:

If I ran into Tina Fey again today, I would say: “You need to at least pay for my kids’ braces or something from all the money that you made off of pretending that you’re me! My goodness, you capitalized on that! Can’t you contribute a little bit? Jeez!”

I think SNL is egotistical if they believe that it was truly an effect on maybe the public debate about who should lead the country in the next four years.

Best line in that interview:

Sarah of Wasilla said:
I know that they portrayed me as an idiot, and I hated that, and I wanted to come on the show and counter some of that.

http://wonkette.com/557803/sarah-palin-tina-fey-would-be-nothing-without-me
 
I think SNL is egotistical if they believe that it was truly an effect on maybe the public debate about who should lead the country in the next four years.
I think Palin is egotistical if she believes that she has truly an effect on maybe the public debate about who should lead the country in the next four years (or ever)
 
I think Palin is egotistical if she believes that she has truly an effect on maybe the public debate about who should lead the country in the next four years (or ever)

I think your underselling it. Palin being and idiot was solidified be her stuff. It helps form the ideas about what kind of person she is.

Those skits were BIG. I doubt it changed the election, but shaping the debate? Yeah
 
So how was that Huey Long guy? Was he a bad guy? Someone said something about him in another thread and he seems interesting.

Socialist/Populist.

Hero to many but he was a crazy guy, almost dictator like, but really well liked in Louisiana. He was the basis for "all the kings men"
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
I think your underselling it. Palin being and idiot was solidified be her stuff. It helps form the ideas about what kind of person she is.

Those skits were BIG. I doubt it changed the election, but shaping the debate? Yeah

It certainly didn't help that Palin looked like a complete and utter moron in her very first big interview.
 

Diablos

Member
With every passing day I'm more convinced the Senate is a lost cause. Sometimes polling makes me optimistic but the map is just so brutal for Democrats and the GOP knows this.

If Mitch is teasing another shutdown post-2014 the ACA is fucked (if Halbig doesn't fuck it beforehand, that is...)
 
With every passing day I'm more convinced the Senate is a lost cause. Sometimes polling makes me optimistic but the map is just so brutal for Democrats and the GOP knows this.

If Mitch is teasing another shutdown post-2014 the ACA is fucked (if Halbig doesn't fuck it beforehand, that is...)
Nah man Democrats are gonna pick up Kansas, Kentucky and Georgia, +2 in the Senate +30 in the House +10 governorships BOOK IT

it'll be fine
 

kingkitty

Member
With every passing day I'm more convinced the Senate is a lost cause. Sometimes polling makes me optimistic but the map is just so brutal for Democrats and the GOP knows this.

Every day I check the 270towin simulator on who would win control of the Senate.

Every day has been a disappointment.
 
Don't know much about Huey Long or his personal life/beliefs, but I liked every plank of the Share our Wealth platform.

The key planks of the Share The Wealth platform included:

  1. No person would be allowed to accumulate a personal net worth of more than 300 times the average family fortune, which would limit personal assets to between $5 million and $8 million. A graduated capital levy tax would be assessed on all persons with a net worth exceeding $1 million.
  2. Annual incomes would be limited to $1 million and inheritances would be capped at $5 million.
  3. Every family was to be furnished with a homestead allowance of not less than one-third the average family wealth of the country. Every family was to be guaranteed an annual family income of at least $2,000 to $2,500, or not less than one-third of the average annual family income in the United States. Yearly income, however, cannot exceed more than 300 times the size of the average family income.
  4. An old-age pension would be made available for all persons over 60.
  5. To balance agricultural production, the government would preserve/store surplus goods, abolishing the practice of destroying surplus food and other necessities due to lack of purchasing power.
  6. Veterans would be paid what they were owed (a pension and healthcare benefits).
  7. Free education and training for all students to have equal opportunities in all schools, colleges, universities, and other institutions for training in the professions and vocations of life.
  8. The raising of revenue and taxes for the support of this program was to come from the reduction of swollen fortunes from the top, as well as for the support of public works to give employment whenever there may be any slackening necessary in private enterprise

Obviously you'd have to tinker to compensate for inflation and whatnot, but seems like a good starting point to me. The fact we still haven't caught up to Truman's Fair Deal is pathetic; the Share our Wealth Platform will probably start to look conservative itself in a couple decades.
 

alstein

Member
With every passing day I'm more convinced the Senate is a lost cause. Sometimes polling makes me optimistic but the map is just so brutal for Democrats and the GOP knows this.

If Mitch is teasing another shutdown post-2014 the ACA is fucked (if Halbig doesn't fuck it beforehand, that is...)

Obama will have zero reason to give in. He won't care about anything but his legacy- so he'll be willing to shut down the government for a year if needbe (and that would sabotage Congress in 2016 hard)
 

Diablos

Member
it'll be fine
Nah. The GOP smartened up and didn't let Tea Party loons ascend to winning the primary. A lot of us were counting on that. These elections are going to be really close.

Obama will have zero reason to give in. He won't care about anything but his legacy- so he'll be willing to shut down the government for a year if needbe (and that would sabotage Congress in 2016 hard)
He isn't going to allow the Government to shut down for a year.
 

Tamanon

Banned
Nah. The GOP smartened up and didn't let Tea Party loons ascend to winning the primary. A lot of us were counting on that. These elections are going to be really close.


He isn't going to allow the Government to shut down for a year.

Neither is McConnell. It's just grand-standing. The ACA isn't going away, because you need to break a filibuster, be able to handwave away the millions of people that would then lose their coverage, and finally overcome a veto. Even if the GOP wins the Senate, it's meaningless in the ACA context.
 

Diablos

Member
Neither is McConnell. It's just grand-standing. The ACA isn't going away, because you need to break a filibuster, be able to handwave away the millions of people that would then lose their coverage, and finally overcome a veto. Even if the GOP wins the Senate, it's meaningless in the ACA context.
Something something Ted Cruz something Halbig something something.
 
He wasn't very democratic and got crazy, giving hints of cult of personality fascism.

I understand that he was undemocratic a bit but at times you have to be to fight the establishment. FDR was by far the most undemocratic president the United States had in the 20th century, but there was a reason for that. I understand there is a limit but I believe that there is some wiggle room.
 

pigeon

Banned
With every passing day I'm more convinced the Senate is a lost cause. Sometimes polling makes me optimistic but the map is just so brutal for Democrats and the GOP knows this.

If Mitch is teasing another shutdown post-2014 the ACA is fucked (if Halbig doesn't fuck it beforehand, that is...)

You so cray.

The ACA isn't going anywhere. If the GOP wants to shut down the government again after having already done it and having it be a huge disaster for them, then I encourage them to do so.
 
I understand that he was undemocratic a bit but at times you have to be to fight the establishment. FDR was by far the most undemocratic president the United States had in the 20th century, but there was a reason for that. I understand there is a limit but I believe that there is some wiggle room.

Yeah, that's why I don't much admire him because people lose all sense of anything but "the ends". It never goes well.


Don't know much about Huey Long or his personal life/beliefs, but I liked every plank of the Share our Wealth platform.



Obviously you'd have to tinker to compensate for inflation and whatnot, but seems like a good starting point to me. The fact we still haven't caught up to Truman's Fair Deal is pathetic; the Share our Wealth Platform will probably start to look conservative itself in a couple decades.

lol

its wonderfully easy to write up a platform with lofty goals, its another to realize their are others who disagree and you have to find a way to make progress instead of demagoguing

1,2, kinda 3 because of its formula, and 5 I have issues with. They're roads to places that have played out time and time again with disastrous consequences
 
Yeah, that's why I don't much admire him because people lose all sense of anything but "the ends". It never goes well.

It went well with FDR.

1,2, kinda 3 because of its formula, and 5 I have issues with. They're roads to places that have played out time and time again with disastrous consequences
True but there are some exceptions with 5. Yugoslavia and (Bulgaria? I can't remember which one) did so very well.
 
PPP polling Iowa this week, can't wait for the results, I feel like it's been a while since we've had a decent pollster there

Also saw an interesting article where the GOP worries that Alaska might be slipping away from them. That state is a bit of a wild card but I've always considered it one of the better states for Senate Democrats this election.
 
It went well with FDR.


True but there are some exceptions with 5. Yugoslavia and (Bulgaria? I can't remember which one) did so very well.

FDR wasn't that undemocratic beside's his wartime things (his first ten years).

And I just really don't trust bureaucrats in washing to run agriculture. I don't think the US should look to the balken's (didn't they import a lot?) but rather the bigger larger multiethinic nations where they've tried that kind of control. Its been bad.
 
lol

its wonderfully easy to write up a platform with lofty goals, its another to realize their are others who disagree and you have to find a way to make progress instead of demagoguing

1,2, kinda 3 because of its formula, and 5 I have issues with. They're roads to places that have played out time and time again with disastrous consequences

*Shrug*

Adjusting for inflation alone would multiply most of those figures by 17x, and as I mentioned, I see it as a good starting point, not that it should be implemented as is. I don't think capitalism or free democratic society is threatened by the principle of limiting the upper bounds of personal wealth or guaranteeing a lower bound of wealth. Where you put the limits absolutely can, but that's a different conversation. I'd hardly call it demagoguing to talk about these ideas, but since socialism is a dirty word in America clearly someone has been doing it, just in the other direction.

Piecemeal progress and compromise to placate the powers that be is why we're still struggling to figure out basic societal problems like health care, education, income inequality, discrimination, etc. We're still arguing about universal healthcare 70 years after the fact. When progress is that stunted, it's not enough to catch up to the past, we need to jump to where society should be.
 
Shocker : Rand Paul not actually popular with young people

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-rand-paul-will-win-over-young-voters-myth/

Since the beginning of the year, there have been eight live-interview national polls that detail results among young voters (ages Paul Youth Vote18 to 29 or 18 to 34), and matched Paul against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Together, these polls give us the views of more than 1,000 young voters. The same polls matched Clinton against Christie. The surveys show that young voters don’t see any difference between Paul and other Republican politicians. …

The median of the eight surveys shows that among young voters, Paul trails by 17 percentage points more than he trails among all voters. That would represent a slight improvement over Romney, who lost young voters by 20 points more than he did voters overall. Still, Paul’s and Romney’s relative performances with young voters are within the margin of error of each other.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/08/youngsters-love-rand-paul-is-a-fake-trend.html

Paul and his allies have won quite a propaganda coup by implanting the notion that he offers a unique appeal to the youngest voters. (Buoyed by the Times Magazine endorsement, and undaunted by the gaping holes in its data, Reason is plunging ahead with its predictions of the libertarian future.) It could happen. There is no reason to think it will.

In other words, young white conservatives just like to smoke weed and don't mind gay people. But, it's still just young white conservatives who love Rand. The coming multicultural apocalypse for the GOP continues.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Shocker : Rand Paul not actually popular with young people

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-rand-paul-will-win-over-young-voters-myth/



http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/08/youngsters-love-rand-paul-is-a-fake-trend.html



In other words, young white conservatives just like to smoke weed and don't mind gay people. But, it's still just young white conservatives who love Rand. The coming multicultural apocalypse for the GOP continues.

A060RuW.gif
 
Presidential polls don't matter at this point IMO. Give Paul time to campaign, win the nomination*, do events, etc and I genuinely believe he'd do well with young voters. He wouldn't beat Hillary amongst young people but wouldn't lose them 2008 style. I think young people have 6 years worth of experience in this shitty economy to at least give a decent republican a chance.

*not saying he will, just noting a hypothetical.
 
Presidential polls don't matter at this point IMO. Give Paul time to campaign, win the nomination*, do events, etc and I genuinely believe he'd do well with young voters. He wouldn't beat Hillary amongst young people but wouldn't lose them 2008 style. I think young people have 6 years worth of experience in this shitty economy to at least give a decent republican a chance.

*not saying he will, just noting a hypothetical.

Explain why you think young people will go for the GOP on economics. The economy completely tanked when they were running things. Their only economic policy for the last 6 years has been "No" and "Cut taxes for rich people!" I don't see that selling well.
 
Explain why you think young people will go for the GOP on economics. The economy completely tanked when they were running things. Their only economic policy for the last 6 years has been "No" and "Cut taxes for rich people!" I don't see that selling well.

Maybe PD thinks other young people are as much a sucker for "moderate" Republicans who aren't moderate in any way, like he was with Ricky Snyder.

Most young people only think Rand Paul of the guy for pot and against wars. They don't know he thinks Paul Ryan didn't go far enough, abortion is still wrong, and the Civil Right's Act wasn't needed.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Presidential polls don't matter at this point IMO. Give Paul time to campaign, win the nomination*, do events, etc and I genuinely believe he'd do well with young voters. He wouldn't beat Hillary amongst young people but wouldn't lose them 2008 style. I think young people have 6 years worth of experience in this shitty economy to at least give a decent republican a chance.

*not saying he will, just noting a hypothetical.

Rand Paul won't do well with young voters. He'll do well with the reddit libertarian crowd, but outside of that he offers nothing to younger voters.
 
You really can’t make this stuff up. A Missouri city councilman is apologizing for racist photos of President Obama he posted on Facebook a year ago. And he’s pointing the finger at the Republican Party for making him do it.
Poplar Bluff city councilman Peter Tinsley had some explaining to do on Monday after his racist posts were brought to light during a meeting.

“To come from a city council [member], a city government official, this is highly unthought of, even in Poplar Bluff, Missouri,” said Reverend Tommy Robinson at the council meeting. “I’m highly upset over this, along with the residents of our ward.”

One photo depicts President Obama dressed in tribal native garb with nose piercings and a headdress.

The anger prompted Tinsley to apologize that same night and he decided to take the Republican Party down with him.

“I apologize from the bottom of my heart,” Tinsley began his response.

At one time, I was a very active Republican, very opposed to Obama. I want people to know that I am very remorseful for it. It was inappropriate. I believe I got caught up in an emotional moment of sharing jokes. It seemed funny at the time but today it’s very serious and it’s not funny at all.​
http://www.addictinginfo.org/2014/0...an-party-for-his-racist-facebook-posts-video/
 
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