I think the GOP is making a mistake going for Rubio here. They're playing the short game when the long game is more important.
If Trump is serious about going third party it might also fuck up the short game.
I think the GOP is making a mistake going for Rubio here. They're playing the short game when the long game is more important.
Both are a waste of time.
No, I have no problem with companies opting in to production of their foods under a given criteria to certify them with a label as a marketing ploy with little to no proven health benefits.
If Trump is serious about going third party it might also fuck up the short game.
I think he'll only do that if he gets cheated out of the nomination at the convention.
This Jeb thing is seriously blowing up. Look at the note my mom left for my dad today.
My dad is 68 and he loves it!!!
http://www.theonion.com/article/scientists-warn-all-plant-life-dying-within-30-yar-52409
Scientists Warn All Plant Life Dying Within 30-Yard Radius Of Ted Cruz Campaign Signs
http://www.theonion.com/article/scientists-warn-all-plant-life-dying-within-30-yar-52409
Scientists Warn All Plant Life Dying Within 30-Yard Radius Of Ted Cruz Campaign Signs
I think the GOP is making a mistake going for Rubio here. They're playing the short game when the long game is more important.
There is a massive chunk of the base (about 35%) right now that is furious with the establishment. We saw bits of this in 2012 but now it is in full effect. This group of people is far, far right and wants things done in Washington that are incredibly unlikely.
If Trump wins, their guy got the nomination, and either A) loses the GE or B) wins the presidency and goes on to not do what they want. Both things are good for the GOP. In scenario A, they say, "See? Should have picked the establishment guy." Scenario B is the same way. In the end, this group's rage may subside and they head back to the party.
If Rubio wins, there is no possible way he can live up to what they want. Next election, the rage against the establishment is worse and the party may head toward a split.
oh for fuck's sake
oh for fuck's sake
Ted Cruz can't catch a break. So on Super Tuesday, basically every Southern state is similar to how South Carolina awarded its delegates: a nice at-large prize for the winner, and district delegates awarded depending on who wins first and second in the district: winner takes 2 delegates, runner up takes the remaining delegate. These states are Georgia, Tennessee, Arkansas and Oklahoma. So if Trump can win any of these by even 10%, he'll come away with a big majority of delegates. Texas, on the other hand, which Cruz should win, is totally proportional, with a 50% threshold, but no way that Cruz crosses that 50%. Virginia, Alabama, and the rest of the non-Southern states are all proportional too.
Basically, Trump doesn't need to win the Southern Super Tuesday states decisively to come out far ahead in delegates.
So Andrew Kaczynski just posed this question:
His map:
[snip]
My map:
[snip]
Curious to see what everyone else's look like.
Is Colorado a swing state? I've sort of thought of it as safely blue.
Huh...my vote might actually matter this election
Is Colorado a swing state? I've sort of thought of it as safely blue.
Huh...my vote might actually matter this election
What a mess.Shit, I didn't mean to leave Colorado on there. Whoops.
Shit, I didn't mean to leave Colorado on there. Whoops.
It's always a battleground but it's favored Dems in the past couple of cycles.
Both parties definitely invest resources there.
I think people are being a little unfair about the GMO thing with Bernie; the obstinate "omg now he REALLY did it!!!" is reminiscent of the babby behavior from extreme Berniestans. I agree it's a shitty position, but it's mostly harmless on its face. It's just a waste of time.
Hillarystans are really feeling emboldened these days.
I just really hate GMO fear-mongering but it's never a deal breaker.
Hmm okay. Used to Minnesota where the presidential result is basically a foregone conclusion
I don't see Indana flipping blue.
I don't see Indana flipping blue.
Maybe if Trump depresses suburban Republican turnout enough. That's a requirement for most of these states flipping.
I think people are being a little unfair about the GMO thing with Bernie; the obstinate "omg now he REALLY did it!!!" is reminiscent of the babby behavior from extreme Berniestans. I agree it's a shitty position, but it's mostly harmless on its face. It's just a waste of time.
Hillarystans are really feeling emboldened these days.
There is already one.Anyone making a Nevada Caucus thread?
But Rubio can beat Hillary
Hardly an over reaction. This guy is in the pocket of Ben & Jerry, Whole Foods lobbyists and all the other GMO hating, organic corporate overlords, and we cannot allow someone who is trying to rip off every day Americans with their $12 cartons of milk and their stupidly over priced vegan frozen bananas into the white house
Is Colorado a swing state? I've sort of thought of it as safely blue.
Huh...my vote might actually matter this election
Indianapolis is getting bluer because of crime rate (so more gun laws) and Pence isn't helping his cause with his social conservatism.Indianapolis is getting bluer, but it's still not at the level of most cities to counteract the rest of the state's red lean.
2008 was just a freak event.
Is Colorado a swing state? I've sort of thought of it as safely blue.
Huh...my vote might actually matter this election
There is already one.
duh. It will on Tuesday too. Tell your friends to caucus with you for HIllary
GMO labeling doesn't seem to be much of an issue over seas.
It gave us Cory Gardner in the Senate in the last election. Those fucks.
Tell your friends to caucus with you for HIllary
They're in a better position to win. Obama is on the way out. That in and of itself makes Republicans quite thrilled. The economy is better than it was in 08. The candidates, even Trump, are better despite their deep flaws.The GOP is once again at a really low point. They've let a fascist hijack their party.
I just really hate GMO fear-mongering but it's never a deal breaker.
Thank you Michigan! #VoteTrumpMI
Trump 35%
Kasich 17%
Cruz 12%
Rubio 12%
Carson 9%
Via: ARG