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PoliGAF 2016 |OT| Ask us about our performance with Latinos in Nevada
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Officerrob
Banned
Cruz isn't going anywhere anytime soon, no matter what Rubio does.
Officerrob
Banned
Over 200 million Republican superpac dollars spent on ads, less than 10 million of it spent going after the guy running away with the nomination.
OrangeGrayBlue
Member
Probably not a big deal, but Spike Lee just endorsed Sanders.
Also, it's hilarious that the Republicans are a week away from Trump running away with the whole thing and they still don't even have a strategy against him, much less something they've been implementing.
Also, it's hilarious that the Republicans are a week away from Trump running away with the whole thing and they still don't even have a strategy against him, much less something they've been implementing.
Officerrob
Banned
99.9% of endorsements don't matter
The conventional wisdom is Rubio but I don't buy it. Trump burned a lot of bridges recently but in the far right circles I keep an eye on everyone was Trump/Cruz or Cruz/Trump until a month or so ago
Going nuclear on Cruz certainly isn't going to help Rubio win them over
It's not about him leaving. It's getting his vote share from 20 to 10. Attacks can do that. I'd be surprised if yesterday didn't seriously damage Cruz.
At this point in time a legion of monkeys armed with pamphlets about neoconservative philosophy would be capable of producing a more coherent strategy than the Republican leadership have.
Officerrob
Banned
And why exactly are we just to assume those 10% would go to Rubio?
I assume 6-7% would. It's material in some states.
In all seriousness, there was a period of a few months towards the end of last year when Trump had been leading the polls consistently long enough that the Republican establishment should have realised he was a genuine threat and started planning accordingly. The mass panic which is currently happening clearly demonstrates that they didn't bother planning for this situation, and are now desperately scrambling to fix a problem they have no strategy for dealing with.
theprodigy
Member
Would you guys be ok with Kasich>Trump>Rubio in Ohio, seeing as this probably keeps Kasich in the race for longer?
Where? One or two states?
"It's not our guy screwing up, it's all the rest of 'em!"
Officerrob
Banned
Is Rubio ahead in even one state?
Not saying he's going to win for certain. Just that the Republicans are a disorganised shambles right now.
gutter_trash
Banned
Not even his home State
Good luck with that
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/oh/oh02232016_Osm46vb.pdf
(from today)
but yes, I would like to see Kasich stay in and siphon off Rubio's votes. Also, add this to the list of states the chosen one is doing terrible in
cartoon_soldier
Member
The problem for Cruz, he keeps hitting Rubio on immigration but even in a state with such a conservative voters 53% said they should be able to apply for legal status. And Rubio won them handily.
The one's who want to deport them are in Trump's camp overwhelmingly.
Basically Cruz's campaign is inept at figuring out what to attack his competition on.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I posted the link several times in this thread.
Latest poll said Rubio gets 33% of Cruz voters, Trump gets 26%.
The problem for Cruz, he keeps hitting Rubio on immigration but even in a state with such a conservative voters 53% said they should be able to apply for legal status. And Rubio won them handily.
The one's who want to deport them are in Trump's camp overwhelmingly.
Basically Cruz's campaign is inept at figuring out what to attack his competition on.
Cruz is trying to move to the right of trump on immigration, it just isn't working -- because everyone knows there is no room to the right of trump on immigration. I don't think that SC voters are what you're after when railing against immigration though -- it's more of a southwest issue
cartoon_soldier
Member
Rubio going after Cruz makes sense, he is vulnerable right now. Way too many missteps in SC from their campaign. They took the SC plays dirty to heart...
Apparently this happened on Bill O'Reilly last night with Marco Rubio:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tYARA6MYqw4
🍀
To think I was once afraid of this chump..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tYARA6MYqw4
🍀
To think I was once afraid of this chump..
Hillary is going to make him look like such a child in debates. If he wins the nom
shinra-bansho
Member
So, I didn't really notice it until today but Rubio has a bit of a lisp. #stereotypes
Also I learned a new word thanks to Ted Cruz. Backpfeifengesicht.
Also I learned a new word thanks to Ted Cruz. Backpfeifengesicht.
cartoon_soldier
Member
What will happen to Sanders if he runs for GE:
Glenn Beck?
What will happen to Sanders if he runs for GE:
Pretty much this. Again, rather like Sanders, Corbyn's popularity nationally was actually not too bad until he got close to becoming leader.
EDIT: For example, from a poll roughly a month before he became leader: "Some 32% of people in the Survation study said they would be more likely to vote Labour at the election if Mr Corbyn ran the party, ahead of Mr Burnham on 25%, Ms Kendall on 22% and Ms Cooper on 20%."
Well, as of yesterday. Yesterday Cruz said that not only will he kick out all of the immigrants, he will never allow them to enter the country again lol.
Yeah, so, I had some free time this morning...
I so, SO want Donald Trump to have a 1-on-1 debate scheduled that Megyn is moderating. Preferably one in the primary, and then one in the general. Wanna see Annoying Orange get squeezed. :d
RustyNails
Member
So, John King played on his magic wall yesterday on CNN about thr GOP race. Basically he said if Trump even wins half of ST states and loses FL and OH, it will still be too late for anyone to stop him. He said the only way to stop Trump is for Cruz or Rubio to consistently start winning. The RNC made the candidate selection a front-loaded and a short affair after the never ending 2012 primary in the hopes of making Jeb the nominee in 2 months, also making FL a WTA state. It's now working to Trump's favor.
gutter_trash
Banned
I Bolded the media peddled establishment savior.... not winning any of the big ones
I hate the media so much trying to make us believe that Rubio is something
What will happen to Sanders if he runs for GE:
I don't get your point, because Labor didn't have a chance prior to Corbyn's rise.
If Democrats were in a similar position perhaps you might have some sort of point.
Ziltoidia 9
Member
Obama's farewell tour is going to be fun to watch this year, as he does everything he wants and the GOP sits by crying. I've always believed he would do something on marijuana/drug war/prison sentences for non-violent use.
The point is as soon as Corbyn became leader and the media focused on him his favourability cratered.
I don't want to read too much into it, because the calendar does give Rubio a little time, but the math is looking pretty bad for him. Not Cruz bad, but still.
Nevermnd, Texas is fully proportional with no minimum threshold. Either way, I look forward to seeing Rubio second and third place his way to the nomination.
Ziltoidia 9
Member
Is this guy reputable?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-naiman/chamber-of-commerce-lobby_b_9104096.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-naiman/chamber-of-commerce-lobby_b_9104096.html
Surprised he hasn't just rescheduled marijuana to a lower tier.
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