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[Chezzymann]

This might be what you're looking for:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/

Yeah that's it. Thanks! Bookmarked.

 

[Ignatz Mouse]

Today marks the day I changed my mind officially about who to vote in the Primary.

I intended to vote Bernie as a "message" vote, but the constant anti-Hillary spew has convinced me that I'll vote for this to end as early as possible instead. I don't think Bernie is a strong candidate and Hillary's the more well-rounded choice anyway.

 

[Sirpopopop]

My Facebook feed is filling up with anti Hillary posts from Bernie supporters today. Ugh.

That's my facebook feed every day.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

@TeddyDavisCNN
FLORIDA -
Monmouth Poll

Trump 38%
Rubio 30%
Cruz 17%
Kasich 10%

Let's go Trump!

 

[CCS]

Let's go Donald "Please don't feel so stupid or insecure" Trump!

COMMENCE CARTOON_SOLDIERING

 

[cartoon_soldier]

COMMENCE CARTOON_SOLDIERING

Doesn't matter. At this time it's either Trump or messy floor fight.

 

[Iolo]

We need Trump to win both OH and FL. I don't want a contested convention. I want Trump with the nom.

God no. A contested convention would be 10x as damaging and 100x as entertaining, especially if the deus ex machina rigs it for someone without a plurality.

I mean, jeez oh man, Kasich was saying that if he has enough momentum at the end, the voters' preference in earlier states could be considered an error corrected by those in later states. Trump would deploy all three arms of the nuclear triad, if he can figure out what that is by then.

 

[BoboBrazil]

Today marks the day I changed my mind officially about who to vote in the Primary.

I intended to vote Bernie as a "message" vote, but the constant anti-Hillary spew has convinced me that I'll vote for this to end as early as possible instead. I don't think Bernie is a strong candidate and Hillary's the more well-rounded choice anyway.

Let's go Trump!

25 million in negative ads against Trump in the next week against Trump. Not gonna be pretty for him. His facebook and twitter strategy won't work. He needs to start investing more money.

 

[Basileus777]

Link to Florida Monmoth poll.

In today’s poll, Trump has support from 38% of likely primary voters compared to 30% who back Rubio. Cruz earns 17% support and John Kasich has 10%. Rubio actually leads Trump by 48% to 23% among the nearly 1-in-5 voters who have already cast their ballots in this “early vote” state. Trump has a 42% to 26% lead among those who have yet to vote.

What?

 

[Frank the Great]

Does Florida have early voting for the GOP primary?

Edit: post above answered my question.

 

[Macho Madness]

Does Florida have early voting for the GOP primary?

Yes.

 

[Iolo]

Doesn't matter. At this time it's either Trump or messy floor fight.

COMMENCE PBY-ING, THEN

 

[NeoXChaos]

Marc Caputo ‏@MarcACaputo 1m1 minute ago
600,000 FL Republicans have voted early (of 2m?) & Rubio leads Trump 5-1 there. If poll is right, Rubio has 150k votes more than Trump

going to be close.

 

[Holmes]

Link to Florida Monmoth poll.

What?

Small crosstabs?

 

[Macho Madness]

Link to Florida Monmoth poll.

What?

10% say they'd vote for Hillary if Trump is the nominee.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

going to be close.

That's a big fucking lead.

 

[plagiarize]

A brokered convention is the best scenario for those looking to see the GOP as we know it get forced into moving more towards the middle.

Whether Trump walks out the victor or not, they are in an awful position for November.

 

[Basileus777]

going to be close.

48% to 23% is not 5:1. Someone read the poll wrong.

That's a big fucking lead.

Because it's wrong. This is the relevant part:

Rubio actually leads Trump by 48% to 23% among the nearly 1-in-5 voters who have already cast their ballots in this “early vote” state. Trump has a 42% to 26% lead among those who have yet to vote.

Small crosstabs?

I updated the link.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

going to be close.

Waaaa??? Trump has generally done really well with the early vote and then under-performed on election day. If this is true, its a really bad sign for him.

Edit: Lol, still Rubio being ahead is big.

 

[Kusagari]

going to be close.

If that's true Trump is in deep shit.

 

[CCS]

Come on Trump, don't let Rubio back into this.

 

[NeoXChaos]

obviously he could have collapsed going forward making whatever he banked out of the votes cast so far not enough.

 

[Y2Kev]

Wait...he leads with EARLY voters? Then TRUMPMENTUM


There's still a week to go. That's a long way to fall for Rubio.

 

[Makai]

NOOOOOOOOO

 

[Y2Kev]

He's still leading overall per the poll. Need more polls to confirm. Moaaar please

 

[BoboBrazil]

damn the kkk and David Duke. Trump just had to say he doesn't want any support from groups like that. He's going to lose the election by being greedy and not wanting to lose hate group votes.

 

[NeoXChaos]

guys listen. Marc is saying that Rubio leads about x amount if the poll is right of 150k in early vote. If his support has collapsed starting this week the early vote and election vote numbers will move.

 

[Bam Bam Baklava]

So is there any day after this Tuesday that CNN can throw another super in front of? We already had Super Saturday. These clowns just can't help themselves.

 

[PBY]

Doing the math actually right

thats:
138000 for Trump and 288000 for Rubio


Interesting.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Also points to lack of proper campaign organization failing to drive early voters to poll

 

[Aaron Strife]

It'll be fine. Eight points is a solid lead. And if Trump even finished one vote ahead of everyone else he wins all the delegates.

 

[Rafa=FedKilla]

Oh my fuck at that Florida poll. How did Rince pull that off?

 

[Basileus777]

Monmoth's early voting numbers are based off of 75 respondents.

 

[RustyNails]

Let's go Trump!

Dammit Trump take Rubio's box

 

[cartoon_soldier]

@adrian_gray
Trump % of early voters / % of election day voters
AR 33 / 28
GA 44 / 38
OK 33 / 28
TX 28 / 17

Very different in FL.

 

[Rafa=FedKilla]

Monmoth's early voting numbers are based off of 75 respondents.

Okay,not large enough sample size. Sad! MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN

 

[Nazgul_Hunter]

So is there any day after this Tuesday that CNN can throw another super in front of? We already had Super Saturday. These clowns just can't help themselves.

It's like Capcom is running the marketing team. I can't wait for November 8: "Ultra Super Tuesday 3: World Leader Edition"

 

[BoboBrazil]

It's all over. Trump had one job.

 

[Y2Kev]

Monmoth's early voting numbers are based off of 75 respondents.

Wow. Embarrassing for little Marco! Sad!

 

[User 463088]

I'm not sure I'm watching the Fox News debacle tonight. I probably will end up watching it but the whole concept pisses me off.

That MSU thing is adorable. It's not a poll. There's no weighting of anything. It's just an opinion thing. Not a poll. I'm pretty sure Michigan is going to be around a 15 point Hillary win. I heard she's running ads saying Bernie opposed the bailout. Good.

 

[Valhelm]

We need Trump to win both OH and FL. I don't want a contested convention. I want Trump with the nom.

No. You. Don't.

Trump will be a more difficult candidate to defeat in the general election than any establishment politician, because many independents hate politicians on principle. He's perceived as more honest than she is, which is more important than the issues for most voters.

 

[kingkitty]

trump chokes like a dog worse than jeb

 

[Macho Madness]

Apparently Republican-leaning Independents are now "Dems"

 

[VendettaRed07]

Arnold Schwarzenegger has endorsed John Kasich. Called him an "Action Hero"

 

[Y2Kev]

No. You. Don't.

Trump will be a more difficult candidate to defeat in the general election than any establishment politician, because many independents hate politicians on principle. He's perceived as more honest than she is, which is more important than the issues for most voters.

He's the guy that refused to denounce the ducking KKK. I'm ok with trump.

 

[Kusagari]

Trump ended the careers of Florida's most prominent Republicans. Now Florida will end his.

*airhorn*

 

[PBY]

No. You. Don't.

Trump will be a more difficult candidate to defeat in the general election than any establishment politician, because many independents hate politicians on principle. He's perceived as more honest than she is, which is more important than the issues for most voters.

Based on what? Every single data point we have indicates otherwise.

 

[Incognito]

rubio campaign probably running some scam operation with absentee ballots in senior citizen centers. shameful.

 

[BoboBrazil]

No. You. Don't.

Trump will be a more difficult candidate to defeat in the general election than any establishment politician, because many independents hate politicians on principle. He's perceived as more honest than she is, which is more important than the issues for most voters.

He will get no black or hispanic voters, turn off most women, and will be destroyed in debates, and publicly refused to disavow the kkk in a soundbite. He's the absolute dream candidate to go against for HIllary Clinton.

 

[Maengun1]

I'm not sure I have a problem with Rubio winning FL. I don't think even his best case realistic scenario at this point ends with +1,237 delegates. I'd like to keep all 4 of them in splitting votes as long as possible, make the convention the biggest nightmare possible.