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PoliGAF 2016 |OT7| Notorious R.B.G. Plans NZ Tour

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Anoregon

The flight plan I just filed with the agency list me, my men, Dr. Pavel here. But only one of you!
39704-Candy-Corn-Gif.gif


Candy corn is delicious. And you're wrong on this. Just take the L brah.

I don't think you have ever expressed a single opinion about food or pop culture/media that I have not been diametrically opposed to. It's remarkable.
 
Oh man the new Florida poll lol

Trump +5

Totally BS

The poll is BEAUTIFUL.

Trump's +13 among Hispanic voters. He's -2 among women. It's awesome.

OMG It's even better!

The demographic breakdown of the respondents was 72-14-8-6% white/black/Hispanic/”other”

In 2012, it was 67% white, 13% African American. and 17% Latino.

adam has no tastebuds. His drink concoctions burned them off

Don't you like the Pats? Glass houses and all that.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
The poll is BEAUTIFUL.

Trump's +13 among Hispanic voters. He's -2 among women. It's awesome.

Why bother wasting the money polling when you clearly aren't doing it right? I'll never understand this.
 

teiresias

Member
One of them even spelled it out for them why it's a bad route to go by asking them why someone who grew up in a same sex household would vote republican.

AND THEY STILL ADOPTED THE AMENDMENT.

If Trump proves that the racists have taken over the GOP, I'd amend that statement to say that this convention proves that the Religious Right has also taken over. The "Business" Conservatives and the "Moderate Republicans" must feel like shit to be overrun by both the Racists and Religious.

Meh, screw the "business" and "moderate" conservatives. They enabled this by playing to the racist and religious right while it kept them in power, so I have no sympathy for what they've brought upon themselves by doing so.
 

itschris

Member
The Hill: Kaine says he doesn't expect to be Clinton's VP

Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) on Monday said he doesn't expect to be picked as presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's running mate.

"I was speculated about eight years ago, and it's nice to be speculated about," he said on MSNBC's "MTP Daily."

"In my gut, eight years ago, I didn't think it was going to go that direction, and I got to say, in my gut right now, I kind of feel like I'm going to stay in the Senate."

Kaine said he expects to remain in the Senate and continue his work on armed services, foreign relations and budget issues that "make me a happy senator every day."

"Speculation is fine, but I got a job to do," he said.

"And for the Hillary campaign, the best thing I could do is hopefully help her win in Virginia. Virginia is a key state and I'm looking forward to campaigning for her to make sure she wins Virginia."

I don't think saying you don't "expect" to be picked or you have a "gut feeling" about it is worth much, but whatever.
 
This poll is giving me life. Some gems from their "findings"

Mitt Romney only carried Central Florida 50-49%, while Trump has a 51-37% lead
over Clinton in this crucial region (also known as “the I-4 corridor”) of the state

Hehehe. No.

. However, she has to improve upon her showing among Central Florida voters, white Independents, women,and Hispanics if she wants to carry the state in November.

Yes. Yes. The groups Hillary needs to do better with are WOMEN and Hispanic voters. Hehehe. No.
 

GutsOfThor

Member
I see you guys here mention internal polling that candidates have access to. I've always wondered what is the difference between internal polling and the polling that the public sees?
 
Meh, screw the "business" and "moderate" conservatives. They enabled this by playing to the racist and religious right while it kept them in power, so I have no sympathy for what they've brought upon themselves by doing so.

First off don't get me wrong I'm not saying I pity them.

Part this takeover is the result of many people from those two groups leaving the Republican Party. I welcome with open arms any economically conservative people who have the decency to separate themselves from the GOP through not just words, but actual votes.
 

pigeon

Banned
I see you guys here mention internal polling that candidates have access to. I've always wondered what is the difference between internal polling and the polling that the public sees?

Not an expert, but it's mostly just that internals are done more often (they have both tracking and snap polls) and they can apply multiple demographic models. There are probably a couple of other tricks of the trade -- for example, apparently in 2012 Obama's pollsters "knew" that the 10 points of undecided voters were going to go back to Romney all summer, presumably because they can deep dive them.
 
They also tend to stay in the field longer. Public pollsters often miss a lot of late moving people because they tend to be in the field a few days before the election. Internal polling, I think, often is running right up to the day of the election.
 

GutsOfThor

Member
Not an expert, but it's mostly just that internals are done more often (they have both tracking and snap polls) and they can apply multiple demographic models. There are probably a couple of other tricks of the trade -- for example, apparently in 2012 Obama's pollsters "knew" that the 10 points of undecided voters were going to go back to Romney all summer, presumably because they can deep dive them.

They also tend to stay in the field longer. Public pollsters often miss a lot of late moving people because they tend to be in the field a few days before the election. Internal polling, I think, often is running right up to the day of the election.

Cool! Thanks!
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
Was hearing pundits say today that Trump's "I'm the law and order candidate" was Nixonian (as if it was a good thing) and that the Clinton camp would have to figure out to respond to that, like it was going to be difficult.

Candidate of disorder, bigotry, throwing oil on the fire, running a campaign of fear. Done.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Speaking of Florida, I had no idea Obama's margin of victory was so tiny in 2012. It was only by 75k votes. I mean, it wouldn't have mattered even if he lost that year, but I figured his lead was more comfortable than that.
 
Trump's teleprompter voice is hilarious

It's like, he's completely different. Like he's been sedated or something. He reads from it like I read from Shakespeare books in English class in highschool when the teacher picked someone to read the next page.
 

kess

Member
I want to ask one of the crotchety old dudes coming into work with "Make America Great Again" hats when they thought America was really great.

Some guy showed up with a "Black Labs Matter" shirt

Fuck
 

Diablos

Member
Youporn and similar sites are more dangerous than an AR-15 according to GOP logic. Their priorities are so ass-backwards.

Can I just leave the US omg
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
Just noticed CNN hired back Richard Quest who had been arrested in Central Park park with a noose around his neck and balls, meth, and carrying a crack pipe, back in 2008.

Trump's teleprompter voice is hilarious

It's like, he's completely different. Like he's been sedated or something. He reads from it like I read from Shakespeare books in English class in highschool when the teacher picked someone to read the next page.

He keeps saying "100%!" and "Guaranteed!" "Believe it!".
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
I want to ask one of the crotchety old dudes coming into work with "Make America Great Again" hats when they thought America was really great.

Some guy showed up with a "Black Labs Matter" shirt

Fuck

Wha?
 
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