APF said:
tanod said:The biggest con of our age is how John Edwards even got to be on the national stage. Other than 2 years in the senate, he had absolutely no governmental, service, or executive experience. He's also morally bankrupt and a bit crazy.
PhoenixDark said:Thomas Sowell embarrassing himself
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/08/the_galbraith_effect.html
I'm not questioning his economic positions/disagreements with Obama there, but the petty, childish attacks should be below him. smh
The question, incidentally was why Senator Obama was advocating a higher capital gains tax rate, when experience had shown that the government typically collected more revenue from a lower capital gains tax rate than from a higher rate.
And it worked, than he came back and what.mckmas8808 said:Get outta here with that BS talk. Obama has been leading the narritive too. It goes back and forth. The whole overseas trip was him controlling the narritive.
Must have been a shitty ad, becuase I'm still hearing talk about Obama being a celebrity.mckmas8808 said:Then Mccain took it back with bitchassness ads about Obama being a celebrity. Now Obama is running a great economy ad during the Olympics and has called Mccain and his campaign liars.
Seriously, fuck Edwards. :lolAPF said:
avatar299 said:And it worked, than he came back and what.
Must have been a shitty ad, becuase I'm still hearing talk about Obama being a celebrity.
Than again, there are far more important things in the world right now that an obama ad, so maybe it was just bad timing.
avatar299 said:And it worked, than he came back and what.
ice cold :lolAPF said:
Disappeared shortly after McCain started going after Obama aggressively.tanod said:I think he's referring to the fallacy of the Euro-bump which was only shown in the Gallup polls that also conveniently (for McCain's campaign narrative) disappeared from the Gallup polls shortly thereafter.
What is with this whole thing about Clintonistas getting mad if Obama chooses a woman as a VP candidate who is not Hillary? Why wouldn't they be proud that a woman has a chance? Isn't that sexism, or is it only sexism when it's against Hillary?Instigator said:And Bayh is a ridiculous last name.
Kayne and Sebellius by default. Odds are on the former since the Clintonistas would complain about the latter.
NLB2 said:Since politics doesn't take place in a vacuum we can not truly understand the reason for the change, nor can we truly know if a change took place. The entire idea of a narrative is a narrative itself...
PhoenixDark said:Thomas Sowell embarrassing himself
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/08/the_galbraith_effect.html
I'm not questioning his economic positions/disagreements with Obama there, but the petty, childish attacks should be below him. smh
Wow.APF said:
Obama general counsel Bob Bauer emails lawyers and law students that the campaign is setting up an "unprecedented" new "voter protection" program -- a standard feature of Democratic campaigns, but given the general enthusiasm for Obama, and the specific enthusiasm (according to my anecdotal sense) among legal types, probably on a very large scale.
Bauer writes:
In 2004, those with legal expertise -- people like you -- were critical to the voter protection effort.
Lawyers and legal professionals made sure that registered voters made it on the rolls and were able to vote. They made sure that ballots were available and polls stayed open. And they helped reassure voters that they would not be intimidated.
Despite our stepped-up efforts, problems persisted -- including deceptive flyers, unnecessary lines, inadequate ballot supplies, and problems with voting machines.
In a year that will likely see unprecedented turnout, we can't afford to let our guard down. The stakes could not be higher. This election has to be different.
That's why the Obama Voter Protection Program has already launched, earlier than ever before, and will be the most comprehensive voter protection program in our nation's history, with counsel in 50 states and a vote protection team on the ground now.
Chuck Godd has spoken, therefore it is decided and we can all go home.Agent Icebeezy said:I was reading an article and it was saying that sometime recently, Chuck Todd was on Countdown and he basically said that McCain winning the electoral is unlikely or virtually impossible. Anyone have a link to that or can tell me what they that ran so I can look.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/08/05/is-obamas-lead-in-gallup_n_117058.html?page=7tanod said:I remember seeing some website work up a 10-day rolling average from the daily Gallup information. It showed a basically flat line at +4/5.
Gallup was literally the only poll to show a bump. Everything else was flat.NLB2 said:Disappeared shortly after McCain started going after Obama aggressively.
Since politics doesn't take place in a vacuum we can not truly understand the reason for the change, nor can we truly know if a change took place. The entire idea of a narrative is a narrative itself...
tanod said:Yes, we can understand the reason for the change. The rise and fall of Obama's numbers during/after the Europe trip in the Gallup poll is demonstrably statistical noise. No other poll showed a bounce of any kind after the Europe trip.
Lv99 Slacker said:
polyh3dron said:What is with this whole thing about Clintonistas getting mad if Obama chooses a woman as a VP candidate who is not Hillary? Why wouldn't they be proud that a woman has a chance? Isn't that sexism, or is it only sexism when it's against Hillary?
Why the fuck should Hillary Clinton have a monopoly on female VP candidacy and how is this not sexist?
Agent Icebeezy said:I was reading an article and it was saying that sometime recently, Chuck Todd was on Countdown and he basically said that McCain winning the electoral is unlikely or virtually impossible. Anyone have a link to that or can tell me what they that ran so I can look.
The Wall Street Journal takes a look at the voter-registration expansion happening in some battleground states, as well as how the GOP is moving to examine these surges in the voting rolls. "Republicans are moving to examine surges in voter registrations in some states. A Republican lawyers group held a national training session on election law over the weekend that included campaign attorneys for Sen. John McCain and other Republican leaders. One session discussed how party operatives can identify and respond to instances of voter fraud.
Republicans said they are particularly worried about prospects for fraud in Virginia and Pennsylvania, and are beginning to comb thousands of new registrations in those states for ineligible applicants. In some cases the huge numbers threaten to swamp their efforts -- and those of state and local governments to verify and process applications.
Election officials in Virginia and other states say there is no evidence of widespread fraud so far. Numerous studies have found fraud and other voting irregularities in past elections to be infrequent and generally not prevalent enough to influence the outcomes of most contests. Some Republican lawyers say that despite the huge numbers of new registrations in some areas, this year's problems could be fewer compared to prior years, because of improved procedures and tougher rules."
Speaking of voter registration, the Miami Herald takes a look at the massive increase in Dem voters in Florida since the primary -- nearly 300,000 new Democrats. "Regardless of how the voters got on the rolls, Johnson said the sheer number of Democrats is a concern this year -- as is the fact that more Hispanics are now registered Democrats. About 455,000 Hispanics are now in the Democratic Party, which only this year surpassed Republicans, who count 425,000 in their ranks. Compared to the last presidential election, the numbers are even more dramatic for African-Americans. More than 207,000 have joined the Democratic Party since 2004, accounting for 44 percent of the new-voter growth."
The Los Angeles Times picks up on an obsession of a voting group that we at First Read have been talking about: exurban voters who have big houses, in areas 30-50 miles away from work, who voted Bush in 2004 and are now hurting financially -- big time. "The boom that turned swamps and pastures into a suburban mecca has stopped dead. Now the talk is about plummeting home values, rising food costs, and gas prices that make the once-painless half-hour commute to Tampa a financial strain. It's enough to give some here the sense that maybe, this time around, the Republicans do not deserve their votes."
The Washington Post examines the other end of the generational gap with Obama: how voters over 65+ are not yet on the bandwagon. "Even as younger voters are showing signs of breaking with years of lackluster turnout to support him, Obama is facing singular resistance from voters over 65. That age group turns out at the highest rate on Election Day and is disproportionately represented in the swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania; Bill Clinton and Al Gore both relied on it in winning the Democrats' only popular-vote majorities of the past two decades.
With polls showing Obama dominating among those under 40 and running even among middle-aged voters, Republican John McCain's lead among those 65 and older is the main reason he remains close overall. His margin is largest among older white voters without a college education, accounting for much of Obama's problem with the white working class."
FLORIDA: The Wall Street Journal looks at Obama's attempts to put this sometimes swing state into the toss-up zone. McCain hasn't spent a dime on TV advertising in the state (though his national Olympic buy is being seen in FL now). "By this time in 2004, President Bush's re-election campaign had spent $13.5 million on television in Florida. The president went on to win the state in November. Sen. Obama's ads have touched every media market in Florida, which is the most expensive for advertising among the closely fought states."
By the way, the Journal has some up-to-date TV ad info: The top five states for Obama in terms of spending: FL, PA, VA, OH, and MI; for McCain, its PA, OH, MI, VA, and MO. Obama has outspent McCain in FL and VA. McCain has outspent Obama in PA, OH and MI. This pretty much sums up their strategies.
OHIO: Look for a ton of union mailers pouring into Ohio to slam John McCain's domestic policies.
VIRGINIA: A Republican consultant in Virginia tells the Post's Trail blog that, without huge voter registration gains in the Old Dominion, Obama will max out his support in liberal bastions like Fairfax County. "Since presidential elections already garner relatively high turnout rates among registered voters -- close to 80 percent in Northern Virginia, compared to about 45 percent in gubernatorial or Senate elections -- there are only so many more supporters for an aggressive campaign to turn out," says consultant Kenny Klinge. But what worries the GOP insider -- Obama's team's aggressive new registration drive might be working.
Any news on voter registration in NC? Is there even a chance Obama can take this state?Agent Icebeezy said:
tee hee.from the WSJ for God's sakes said:Election officials in Virginia and other states say there is no evidence of widespread fraud so far. Numerous studies have found fraud and other voting irregularities in past elections to be infrequent and generally not prevalent enough to influence the outcomes of most contests. Some Republican lawyers say that despite the huge numbers of new registrations in some areas, this year's problems could be fewer compared to prior years, because of improved procedures and tougher rules."
scorcho said:tee hee.
Good article, but this made my head hurt:Agent Icebeezy said:
How is "white working class" defined again? I thought it was working whites in a certain income range. Wouldn't the 65+ be reiterees?With polls showing Obama dominating among those under 40 and running even among middle-aged voters, Republican John McCain's lead among those 65 and older is the main reason he remains close overall. His margin is largest among older white voters without a college education, accounting for much of Obama's problem with the white working class."
Left of center blog? They were quoting the Wall Street Journal.Gaborn said:Amazing how a left of center blog reports on studies without actually saying that they can only look at a portion of the data.
WALL STREET JOURNAL said:Numerous studies have found fraud and other voting irregularities in past elections to be infrequent and generally not prevalent enough to influence the outcomes of most contests.
you're right. WSJ is a left-of-center 'blog'.Gaborn said:Amazing how a left of center blog reports on studies without actually saying that they can only look at a portion of the data.
Ghaleon - that just proves my point, first read is a blog full of lazy journalism.
Gaborn said:Ghaleon - that just proves my point, first read is a blog full of lazy journalism.
You are a fool.Gaborn said:Amazing how a left of center blog
Gaborn just imploded on himself. :lolmckmas8808 said:lol wtf
I voted for Leach when I lived in Iowa. Didn't agree with all of his positions, but he was a generally pragmatic representative. Glad to see him supporting Obama.The three Republicans -- former Iowa Rep. Jim Leach (who formally endorsed Obama today), former Rhode Island Sen. Lincoln Chafee, and former White House intelligence advisor Rita E. Hauser -- announced the formation of "Republicans for Obama," which will launch a Web site in the coming days that will be a clearinghouse of information for Republicans who want to learn more about the Illinois Democrat. The site will highlight the differences between Obama and McCain on the issues and let them know where they can go to see the candidate and how they can help in his election effort.
"From my perspective, this is simply not a time for politics as usual," said Leach, arguing that the portfolio of issues that will be passed on to the next president would be as daunting as any since World War II and would therefore require "inspiring, new, political leadership" and the kind of change he believes Obama's platform offers.
GhaleonEB said:Good article, but this made my head hurt:
How is "white working class" defined again? I thought it was working whites in a certain income range. Wouldn't the 65+ be reiterees?
scorcho said:you're right. WSJ is a left-of-center 'blog'.
i like how they give big-ups to the NON-PARTISAN Brennan Center. high five.
GhaleonEB said:Gaborn just imploded on himself. :lol
Also from that left-of-center blog:
I voted for Leach when I lived in Iowa. Didn't agree with all of his positions, but he was a generally pragmatic representative. Glad to see him supporting Obama.
what?And just because the Brennan Center is "non-partisan" that doesn't mean they're non-partisan. James Dobson's group, Focus on the Family is a 501(c)(3) corporation, but they're not actually what I'd call non-partisan either.
scorcho said:what?
I was just reading Josh Marshall's posts about this. He picked up on that as well.Tamanon said:So, what's McCain's deal with this whole anti-Russia, pro-Georgia stuff?
"Today, we are all Georgians" at a town hall today...I think he's trying to foster nationalism against the Big Red Menace, it just seems really weird.
McCain gets on the grandiosity bandwagon talking about the crisis in Georgia.
Notice too that McCain's first talking point is that Georgia was one of the first countries to officially adopt Christianity. Beside pandering to the Christian right, what is the relevance of that exactly? This is one dangerous guy ...
I know I've made this point in various ways in several posts over the last day or so. But watching John McCain speak about the Georgian crisis in the video below should deeply worry anyone interested in a sane US foreign policy -- or the safety of their children. One arch joke from the earlier part of this decade was that the one good thing about the neocons obsession with getting into a war with Iraq was that it distracted them from their much bigger obsessions -- ratcheting up Cold Wars with China and/or Russia.
The people that are pulling McCain's strings are the people who want to push us into a new Cold War with the Russians -- and ironically and a bit improbably with the Chinese too. But the Russians are probably more willing to oblige us since their power remains limited to oil reserves and military power. In other words, they're people McCain's folks can understand and vice versa.
McCain is going out of his way to cast this as a replay of 1938 and 1939. Is it really in our interest to get into a renewed Cold War with Russia right now? Do we have the military resources for a proxy/advisor war in the Caucasus at the moment? Should we find ourselves in the situation where the Russians want to reassert their sway in Eastern Europe, we would have some very serious and consequential decisions to make. But this just is not that. The key is that McCain, both in terms of policy and temperament, wants to court that result.
It's sort of funny when he's just an unhinged senator. But think for a moment where we'd be if this man were president right now, as he may well be in six months. This man takes the counsel of the people who got us into the Iraq War. On foreign policy, he is in league with the people who were so extreme they've now largely been kicked out of the Bush administration. People like John Bolton and others like him.
It's beyond Obama or political strategy or dinging McCain on this or that policy.
This man is simply too dangerous and unstable to be president. People need to wake up and get a look of the preview he's giving us of a McCain presidency.
Tamanon said:So, what's McCain's deal with this whole anti-Russia, pro-Georgia stuff?
"Today, we are all Georgians" at a town hall today...I think he's trying to foster nationalism against the Big Red Menace, it just seems really weird.
a. one of his advisors was a paid lobbyist for Georgia. (warning! left of center publication link)Tamanon said:So, what's McCain's deal with this whole anti-Russia, pro-Georgia stuff?
"Today, we are all Georgians" at a town hall today...I think he's trying to foster nationalism against the Big Red Menace, it just seems really weird.
Tamanon said:BillO is an independent. The term doesn't just mean centrist.