Steam Machine life time sales prediction

What is going to be the lifetime sales of the steam machine>

  • Total voters
    189
Topher said:
Sounds like you are compensating.



Real Life Love GIF by Abbey Luck
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5.11 3/4"*

I am indeed better than many.

*Disclaimer: Half a Foot. But we know it isn't, but we'll pretend it is. Shut it.
 
Codes 208 said:
Hovering between 5-10m seems reasonable

Steam deck was a highlight as a nintendo switch killer and it only made about 6m, so….
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Only by retards.

EDIT - to be clear: it's BETTER than a Switch under any possible metric (build quality, specs, price point relative to its power, versatility and possible user cases, etc), but it was NEVER going to sell comparable numbers.
 
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lh032 said:
20 mil at most if they are lucky.

Probably end up niche like steamdeck
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It will probably sell HALF of the Steam Deck lifetime, if even that.
The Deck was a smash hit, relatively to its niche of reference, and that's because it covered a particular gap in the market (affordable handheld PC) which is something that these Steam Machine don't seem to replicate.

Morons keep comparing it to "Nintendo numbers" as if that was the average standard to live by, but they should try to ask to any new hardware producer on the scene if they'd be happy to launch a new device and ending up in the 4-6 million ballpark and then report the answer back.
 
I vot d 5 to 10 which I think they would be happy with.

All depends on price though. Can they get it near the price of a standard PS5....
 
Pros:
  • Steam library
  • Free multiplayer
  • New gamepad
Cons:
  • Modest hardware
  • Limited multiplayer
  • Many popular titles are unavailable
Overall I think the Steam console lacks killer features even if it's priced properly.
 
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Parazels said:
Pros:
  • Steam library
  • Free multiplayer
  • New gamepad
Cons:
  • Modest hardware
  • Limited multiplayer
  • Many popular titles are unavailable
Overall I think the Steam console lacks killer features even if it's priced properly.
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I must have missed something from the reveal. Why the multiplayer is limited and what titles are unavailable?
 
250 million with the Half-Life 3 bundle, breaking all the records now and in the future. Gabe Newell then proceeds to purchase all the yacht companies in the world.
 
If it had had a RDNA4 GPU with FSR4 support, it would've been a gamechanger but being stuck on FSR3 will hinder its sales I think. Most PC gamers would rather build their own systems with more powerful GPUs. This will be good entry point system for kids looking to get into the Steam ecosystem but that's about it. If the price is too high it probably won't surpass 10M but if the price is right I can see it go to 20M.
 
just dont expect Playstation or Switch number.

it could be better than Xbox S/X but im not suprise if it less, based on Steamdeck number.
 
snapdragon said:
....also not an issue and just a personal cope but the design is modernistic garbage and further continues the 2 and a half decade long trend of game consoles looking like DVD players or routers, wish we could get consoles with more fun designs like the PS vita 2000, Dreamcast, Gamecube, New 3DS, etc
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While I agree with your sentiment, Sony opted for a non-standard design for the PS5 and got mocked for it.
 
Depends. I don't have enough info to make a judgement yet. I'm optimistic though..it has the software and the quality, it will depend on how much investment is put on it..
 
IF they market this right and gets some popular streamers/content creators on the payroll they might find some success among young gamers wanting to play trendinding Steam Indies.

But until we know the price it's inpossible to hazard a guess.
 
Depends on cost, hard to say without a cost/value ratio. I would risk less than 10m because most people playing on Steam already have a more powerful PC and would not trade the full gaming experience versus a watered down one on TV (they haven't done that so far, why they would start now).
 
If it's about this specific piece of hardware announced yesterday... it will all depend on the logistical, media, and marketing push that Valve provides. If it's the type of hardware that SteamDeck received (and considering its limited power and the uncertainty surrounding the price)... I'd bet on between 1-5 million.

SteamDeck was a product with greater potential because it was handheld and had less competition, and it's selling ~3 million units.
 
At least 100 million.

S

Post in thread 'Steam Frame, Steam controller and Steam Machine Revealed'

HeisenbergFX4 said:
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Looks like our buddies get completely caught off-guard. Again.

You have to hand it to Valve - they have engineers out here claiming theres no real plan to expand the SteamOS footprint outside of Windows, then putting out slates of HW that are infinitely more sellable than anything MS can produce.

The only silver-lining is this will finally give the Windows OS team a real competitor for them to worry about, because...
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You guys are just thinking about this sole product, but there will be more and then it will trigger a new wave of small form factor steam PCs .. some will even be windows. and other will be Xbox PCs. :messenger_tears_of_joy:
 
kevboard said:
people who dualboot windows and Linux are probably not the target audience for a prebuilt, non-upgradable console shaped PC tbh.
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People who play games on Windows already? I'm referring to those users specifically, because they are the only ones that would want to play the games I referred to in my earlier post.

These are likely the type to customize their experience anyway and installing Windows through a usb key has never been easier. Even total newbs would just google and download the OS and installing would be relatively simple.
 
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I say 5-10 million. The Steam Deck sold north of 6 million, so the GabeCube will likely land around there too.

If priced competitively, then I will bump it up to 10-15 million.
 
Are you just counting this particular device or every OEM box/portable that will have SteamOS? Because that's the actual game that Valve is playing.
 
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Unless they start selling this at retailers like Amazon, Gamestop etc... i don't see this doing anymore than 10-15 million if it's priced reasonably and if not than even less than that.
 
Over 5 years, it will sell probably 100 million per year. So 500 million.

Realistically. Because Half-Life 3 will be a launch title exclusive to it.
 
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Topher said:
Relevant stats from the Steam hardware survey

-The top 30% of GPUs are in the 3060/4060 GPU range.

-73% game at 1080p or 1440p.

-4.65% game at 4k

-33% have 8GB VRAM

-28% have 6 core CPUs

-41% have 16GB system RAM

Valve is clearly going after the HTPC crowd with this, but I would not be surprised if this gets a lot of interest from entry level desktop PC gamers, particularly the folks who don't want to build their own PC. If it comes in at under $600 then you will be hard pressed to find a prebuilt with similar specs at that price.
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SM isnt launching now, but in 2026 sometime, by the time(if ever) it sells even measly 10m units we will have both ps6 and xbox pc as new baseline and new much stronger/efficient cards from nvidia and amd :)
 
darrylgorn said:
People who play games on Windows already? I'm referring to those users specifically, because they are the only ones that would want to play the games I referred to in my earlier post.

These are likely the type to customize their experience anyway and installing Windows through a usb key has never been easier. Even total newbs would just google and download the OS and installing would be relatively simple.
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I think you severely overestimated the tech literacy of the average gamer.

I had to restore a friend's windows install a few years ago because he was too afraid to do it himself, even tho he could follow guides online to do it. so I had to come over with my Windows 10 usb stick and reinstall windows for him in a way that he doesn't lose data... which is almost an automatic process anyway, but he didn't think he could do it safely on his own.

people like that don't even know what dualboot means.
also remember that the lowest SKU of the Steam Machine only has 512GB storage. so dualbooting on such a small SSD is a whole nother issue. meaning you'd need to upgrade the storage first in some way, either with a USB drive or by replacing the SSD.


I just think that's not something the target audience of this box would ever do.
 
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