Mozza
Member
As I said not the same thing. The WII and DS were pretty much born out of necessity fro Nintendo. The traditional console space had two major players and their home console sales were declining. They simply did not want to stay in the power race anymore. The Wii and DS both got in at the ground floor with touch and motion controlls and ushered in the biggest sdelling console generation of all time. Pretty much a lightning in a bottle situation. They sold around 255 million consoles. The problem as you suggested was they tapped into the more casual crowd who they simply did not understand. Most of these customers had simply moved onto cheaper tablet devices and motion controlls had lost their appeal. A perfect example of this are the two Mario Galaxy games on the Wii. The original was advertised with a heavy lean towards the motion control aspect while in reality this was only really a co-op mode. The game was as traditional as normal, The first game sold around 13 million copies. The sequel only managed around 7 million as the casuals just ignored it as it was to tough to play for them.Yeah, I should have clarified.
I'm not suggesting the Switch 2 will be a total flop like the Wii U. I'm pointing out that analysts can be very wrong.
Any predictions on sales should be approached with caution. That article I posted predicted the Wii U would sell over 50 million in 4 years.
Nintendo have almost done everything right for it to be a smash hit, except the software prices. That could be difficult in this economic climate.
If the casual gamers turn up like they did with the Switch then it'll be another huge seller. That's who Nintendo need to sell to as that's the customer base who made the Wii, DS and Switch huge success stories.
The Wii brand was also very strong.
I was also pointing out that predicting console sales isn't always correct. Saying the Switch 2 will blast through 20 million sales in year one isn't a guarantee.
I know. Amazingly I'm a analyst in my day job. Lol.
I should have added more context to that. My prediction is around 70 million. Not a flop, but not close to Switch 1 sales.
Nintendo are a lot more knowledgeable about the market now and have done a very good job with the Switch. Of course combining both their handheld and portable consoles has helped as well. The Switch barand love it or hate it is very popular right now. I also feel Nintendo will have a much better idea of it's own market due to the online services etc. Another often overlooked feature of the Switch is the news button on the home screen. The simple design pretty much always draws your eyes to the little greem notifications. And Nintendo will be using this to reach customers that will not be on gaming forums etc. I know my sister knew the Switch 2 was coming out because of this feature.
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