The South Carolina Primary & Nevada Caucuses |Feb 20, 23, 27| Continuing The Calm

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Hmm stacking some sites and running up a margin doesn't mean much in a caucus, right? I guess we'll see.

I think Clinton has this but it's close enough for Bernie to claim a victory of sorts, regardless.
 
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Godamn Berniebros!
 
Even if it will be 50/50 between Bernie and Hillary, won't Hillary win because of this super deligates stuff anyways. (US elections are so damn complicated so I don't really know much about it but I think there was a thread about this)
 
Hmm stacking some sites and running up a margin doesn't mean much in a caucus, right? I guess we'll see.

I think Clinton has this but it's close enough for Bernie to claim a victory of sorts, regardless.

it doesn't mean nothing, but it doesn't mean as much in a primary since each site only has a certain number of delegates and that is all we are counting
 
Even if it will be 50/50 between Bernie and Hillary, won't Hillary win because of this super deligates stuff anyways. (US elections are so damn complicated so I don't really know much about it but I think there was a thread about this)

Yes. Not to mention the SC will be an easy win for her and the states coming up super Tuesday will likely go to her. Texas alone has more delegates than the three that have been done so far.
 
Clinton has next to zero traction with younger voters. So its going to be close in pretty much every state

No it won't. Bernie is going to get crushed in the southern states with a high black percentage vote. Him winning here would make things slightly more interesting
 
I thought Sanders was supposed to have no chance in Nevada?

The whole narrative has been a dead heat with Clinton advantage, but if it stays this tight the delegate gain is null... March 1st needs to come so we can get this train going one way or another
 
it doesn't mean nothing, but it doesn't mean as much in a primary since each site only has a certain number of delegates and that is all we are counting
Yeah, exactly what I thought, like Iowa. So these overwhelming numbers for Clinton at some sites doesn't really help her since there's no raw voter total here.
 
No it won't. Bernie is going to get crushed in the southern states with a high black percentage vote.
Isn't that particular. A few weeks ago some people here told me that Bernie would be stopped at Nevada with Hillary doing double digits. What happened to that?
 
How does Bernie do so well with Hispanics and Asians but so poor with blacks? Does the Clinton name hold that much clout in the South?
 
This makes me think she has this:

@dwbeard
Clark County is underrepresented in the results so far, so if Hillary is winning across the county consistently, very good news for her

She also seems to have slightly better geographical distribution this time, so she might actually win and take all of the delegates this time.
 
Ugh, feeling less confident here. Clinton has an 8 point lead in the Vegas area, which is where most of the people are. That gap needs to close if Bernie is going to pull this out.
 
Isn't that particular. A few weeks ago some people here told me that Bernie would be stopped at Nevada with Hillary doing double digits. What happened to that?

Even if Bernie win here, the next states have like a week and he's still polled 10% below. If it were a month, maybe, but a week? He's not gonna do it. But at least it show a bit of hope for the poors and disadvantaged of the country. People are getting tired of the rich propaganda.
 
"Has" can quickly turn to "had" with these two, it seems...

True. But the Latino vote has kind of split off, maybe favoring Clinton slightly it seems, so far anyway. But all indications are that the Black Vote is still strong for Clinton so that makes the Southern states very hard for Sanders to compete in.
 
How does Bernie do so well with Hispanics and Asians but so poor with blacks? Does the Clinton name hold that much clout in the South?
It's because he actually believes what he's saying when he says racism is really "all about economics". Despite all the opportunities in the world to actually listen to people and adjust his point of view, he's stuck with this explanation, and its really off-putting to people who know that it's not a one-size-fits-all approach to all social issues. When prompted at the recent Minneapolis town hall to specifically address reparations, he responded:

"What I just indicated in my view is that when you have ... you and I may have disagreements because it's not just black, it is Latino, there are areas of America, in poor rural areas, where it's white."

This is a policy position one would expect out of a naive guy/gal fresh out of HS from a mono-white community, not a Senator attempting to run for the Democratic nomination.
 
This makes me think she has this:



She also seems to have slightly better geographical distribution this time, so she might actually win and take all of the delegates this time.

was about to chime in with this one. Whoever wins Clark County takes this thing in a walk, and she's leading there 55-45 right now. Things could still change of course, but it's looking good for her out of the gate.
 
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