GabeTheGrouch76
Member
I don't think Scottish independence is a guarantee by the way.
Oil has tanked, they won't have the pound and it would take them years to join the EU. If you think England and Wales are going to fail then Scotland wouldn't stand a chance. It has nothing.
The EU would not favor a Scotland independence movement because it would favor independents in countries like Spain. It's more beneficial to the EU to tell the Scots that if they vote out of the UK, there will be a very long process that might not even result in an acceptance of Scotland into the EU for a decade.
Enlighten me if I'm wrong, but I thought one prevailing reason Scotland decided to stay with the UK was specifically on the grounds/promises that the UK would remain in the EU, though? That was a major point of debate in the leadup to that referendum, which has now become a moot point with the UK calling it quits.
And that's to say nothing of EU referendum voting results showing that Scotland was the only territory within the UK that had a clear majority of voters who wanted the UK to remain in the EU (62% opting to remain). That's a far greater majority compared to Scotland's referendum of voters opting for Scotland to remain with the UK (55.4%); even though the voter turnout for the EU membership vote in Scotland (66.7%) was significantly smaller than the Scottish independence vote (84.6%--and that has been described as the highest-recorded turnout for an election/referendum in the UK since universal suffrage was introduced, IIRC).
Coupled with complaints by some that Scotland isn't getting the certain concessions / leeway (or quickly enough as they desired) they were promised if the country did opt to stay with the UK (another major bargaining chip for the Scotland referendum I recall on the table), I don't really seen Scotland lying down and having to lump whatever roadblocks the UK might try to impose on them, if they did make an unanimous decision to exit the UK.