whyamihere
Banned
People were giving the same level of confidence and assumed that the UK would be reasonable in its vote.
2016 is the year of the cosmic joker.
Well, no, that's not how this works.
People were reasonably certain, giving the polling, that this was a likely scenario. Just like how Trump was leading the polling in the Republican primary polls for almost the entire primary, but we just ignored them because THAT CAN'T BE HAPPENING LALALA!
Now, Trump is down by a staggering 6.6% (much more than Romney was down at this point) at a time when polling is becoming more and more predictive. It's a lazy and useless analysis to scream "anything can happen!!!"