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[AHA-Lambda]

really getting nervous for how this will go down in scotland >_<

 

[Beefy]

I also saw a surveymonkey poll with a similar gap between labour and the conservative. 7% is bad for the LD's if that TNS poll is accurate.

Dems basically at the same level as UKIP is mad

 

[D4Danger]

Shame on you and your 50 posts per page.

I've become everything I hate

 

[mo60]

Surveymonkey poll I mentioned earlier.
https://twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/872543536746573824

Con 42%
Lab 38%
LD:6%
UKIP:4%
N=11817.

 

[BadHand]

I'm hoping these pollsters have got it really wrong with the youth and "shy tory" voters this time around.

I feel that it's more likely to have shy labour voters this time around, given the amount of personal attacks on them and the stigmatization of labour voters.

 

[Dougald]

What really sums up the Lib Dem campaign is my colleague (who has an EU national wife and is super depressed about Brexit) isn't voting for them because he doesn't believe they're a credible option any more. He should have been low hanging fruit for their campaign

 

[Beefy]

Surveymonkey poll I mentioned earlier.
https://twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/872543536746573824

Surveymonkey/Sun:

CON 42 (-2)
LAB 38 (=)
LD 6 (=)
UKIP 4 (=)

4th-6th Jun
N=11,817
#GE2017

Surveymonkey/Sun:

Added the poll for you

*edit: Damn you did it &#128514;

 

[2blackcats]

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Also what roughly can we expect results? I checked the op and couldn't find anything.

 

[D4Danger]

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Also what roughly can we expect results? I checked the op and couldn't find anything.

10PM is the exit poll which is usually quite reliable.

 

[WhateverItTakes]

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Also what roughly can we expect results? I checked the op and couldn't find anything.

Exit polls come at 10PM. Then actual results are staggered over the constituencies, usually by like 4am I think we know most of the seats.

 

[Morat]

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Also what roughly can we expect results? I checked the op and couldn't find anything.

Exit polls come out a bit after 10, and are generally spot on.

Edit -Ninja'd

 

[JonathanEx]

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Also what roughly can we expect results? I checked the op and couldn't find anything.

Here's a guide: https://www.buzzfeed.com/jamesball/...-on-uk-general?utm_term=.vej1b5MeY#.vbdDq9bRW

Exit Poll, 10pm. That's been accurate on percentage (though a bit iffy on seats) before, probably trustworthy.

By 1/2am, we'll know if the exit poll is "looking right". Nothing hugely significant expected - but you can start to tell trend.

3 to 6am you'll know.

 

[2blackcats]

Thanks guys.

 

[Sordid]

really getting nervous for how this will go down in scotland >_<

I've had almost 20 Conservative leaflets over the past fortnight. Got 3 in today, one was just a huge photoshopped image of Nicola Sturgeon with her fingers in her ears saying "THE SNP DON'T LISTEN". On the back there were just a few sentences saying the SNP are bad, vote Conservative. They're going in hard and must be spending tons of cash on it, pretty worried myself

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Hoping for the best but expecting the worst!

 

[danowat]

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Also what roughly can we expect results? I checked the op and couldn't find anything.

Going on the strength of the Brexit result? no, no optimism.

 

[Pandy]

What really sums up the Lib Dem campaign is my colleague (who has an EU national wife and is super depressed about Brexit) isn't voting for them because he doesn't believe they're a credible option any more. He should have been low hanging fruit for their campaign

Dems basically at the same level as UKIP is mad

They should have offered Remainers EFTA instead of a second chance to lose a referendum.

 

[Sheentak]

We are fucked Tory landslide in coming. I'm expecting it but the blows of crushing disappointment will still crush me.

 

[Deleted member 231381]

Seat predictions
Conservative Party seats: 335
Green Party seats: 1
Labour Party seats: 236
Liberal Democrats seats: 11
Plaid Cymru seats: 2
Scottish National Party seats: 46
UK Independence Party seats: 0
Independently held seats: 1
Seats held by other parties: 18

Bonus predictions
Labour wipe-out in Scotland? No
More Conservative votes than Labour in Scotland? Yes
More Conservative seats than Labour in Wales? No
The Portillo Award goes to ... ? Nick Clegg / Angus Robertson - I think both will lose their seats, but I don't know which one Roberto would consider more impressive. I'll hedge on Clegg if I need a single choice.
First resignation of the night? Angus Robertson
How many party leaders will resign? None
Seat for Nuttall? No

 

[Freewheelin']

Optimistic, Crab!

I'm deeply pessimistic. Reckon Tory's get up to about 380.

 

[Deleted member 231381]

Optimistic, Crab!

I'm deeply pessimistic. Reckon Tory's get up to about 380.

I've had a pleasant amount to drink tonight and don't want to spoil the mood.

 

[Orgun]

Totally unoptimistic about labours chances but hey I voted a week or so ago through a postal vote. Why don't more people do this, I've done it since I've been able to vote.

 

[kmag]

Seat predictions
Conservative Party seats: 335
Green Party seats: 1
Labour Party seats: 236
Liberal Democrats seats: 11
Plaid Cymru seats: 2
Scottish National Party seats: 46
UK Independence Party seats: 0
Independently held seats: 1
Seats held by other parties: 18

Bonus predictions
Labour wipe-out in Scotland? No
More Conservative votes than Labour in Scotland? Yes
More Conservative seats than Labour in Wales? No
The Portillo Award goes to ... ? Nick Clegg / Angus Robertson - I think both will lose their seats, but I don't know which one Roberto would consider more impressive. I'll hedge on Clegg if I need a single choice.
First resignation of the night? Angus Robertson
How many party leaders will resign? None
Seat for Nuttall? No

I've heard the SNP are reasonably confident for Robertson.

 

[Beefy]

Totally unoptimistic about labours chances but hey I voted a week or so ago through a postal vote. Why don't more people do this, I've done it since I've been able to vote.

My voting station is 5 mins walk from my place. Way easier.

 

[checkeredknight]

really getting nervous for how this will go down in scotland >_<

I'm a voter in Edinburgh and want to cast my vote to Jeremy Corbyn and his party. I've been told not to vote Scottish Labour and instead vote SNP. Does this sound like the right decision?

Btw, I hate the voting system here.

 

[DavidDesu]

Never thought that guy on the BBC was going to shut up. Is there a special journalism course to spout endless bullshit while you run the clock down or something? Jesus Christ.

 

[QuicheFontaine]

Any sense of optimism in here or is it turkeys voting for Christmas again?

Also what roughly can we expect results? I checked the op and couldn't find anything.

I'm a bit more optimistic than this time last week. Anything over 40-ish and Theresa can semi-plausibly argue that this wasn't a complete waste of time. I think she's on for around 50 on the night.

 

[kmag]

I'm a voter in Edinburgh and want to cast my vote to Jeremy Corbyn and his party. I've been told not to vote Scottish Labour and instead vote SNP. Does this sound like the right decision?

Btw, I hate the voting system here.

Are you in Edinburgh South? If not then probably. And frankly even if you're in Edinburgh South, Ian Murray is probably the single most aggressively anti-Corbyn MP in the PLP.

 

[Biggzy]

My voting station is 5 mins walk from my place. Way easier.

Same here. It is literally up the street from me and a stones throw from the bus stop, so it is just easier to go to the polling booth as I am already on my way to work.

 

[checkeredknight]

Are you in Edinburgh South? If not then probably. And frankly even if you're in Edinburgh South, Ian Murray is probably the single most aggressively anti-Corbyn MP in the PLP.

I'm in Midlothian, South Gyle. I find it so hard to make a decision. Half of the stuff I read online is misleading or not true, and none of the bigger news / media outlets are helping.

 

[AHA-Lambda]

I'm a voter in Edinburgh and want to cast my vote to Jeremy Corbyn and his party. I've been told not to vote Scottish Labour and instead vote SNP. Does this sound like the right decision?

Btw, I hate the voting system here.

Probably not, in Scotland the real fight is SNP and Tory.

Voting Labour up here won't get you very far. And yes our voting system is real shitty.

 

[Sheentak]

One positive of the Tories wining will be due to the winter fuel allowance and NHS cuts there will be less pensioners to vote for them.

 

[JonathanEx]

I see The Sun have come up with loads of reasons why they back Theresa

Oh? No? They're going with negative on Labour? Shock

 

[WhateverItTakes]

I've had a pleasant amount to drink tonight and don't want to spoil the mood.

Hey we spend the next 5 years pleasantly drunk and it won't matter the Tories are in power!

*cries*

EDIT: lol 'Puppet of Unions'. 'Oh no he's with those people who want workers rights, the bastards.'

 

[checkeredknight]

Probably not, in Scotland the real fight is SNP and Tory.

Voting Labour up here won't get you very far. And yes our voting system is real shitty.

Thanks. I see enough of my friends in Scotland saying they're going with the SNP for these reasons, I think I'm doing the same.

 

[Pandy]

I'm a voter in Edinburgh and want to cast my vote to Jeremy Corbyn and his party. I've been told not to vote Scottish Labour and instead vote SNP. Does this sound like the right decision?

Btw, I hate the voting system here.

If you like your Labour candidate then vote for them and be content that you did what you're supposed to do, whatever the outcome.

If you like Corbyn but not the candidate, probably consider voting SNP. Again, looking at the candidate rather than the party may make you feel better/worse about going in that direction.

 

[Anung]

I'm a voter in Edinburgh and want to cast my vote to Jeremy Corbyn and his party. I've been told not to vote Scottish Labour and instead vote SNP. Does this sound like the right decision?

Btw, I hate the voting system here.

That's my dilemma. I believe in Corbyn and believe he's what's best overall but SNP is what's best for Scotland since labour up here are a total joke.

 

[kmag]

Won't have time to do a UK wide prediction but for Scotland.

All SNP bar

CONSERVATIVES: 6 seats
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Dumfries and Galloway
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
East Renfrewshire
Perth & North Perthshire
West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine

LIB DEMS: 4 seats
East Dunbartonshire
Edinburgh West
North East Fife
Orkney & Shetland

LABOUR: 1 seat
Edinburgh South

 

[AuthenticM]

As a Canadian who barely knows anything about UK politics except for the well-known fact that the conservatives are shitheads, could some of you brits tell me if a merger of the Labour and Liberal Democratic parties would help them counter the cons or not? Also, would such a merger be feasible to begin with?

 

[RulkezX]

Thanks. I see enough of my friends in Scotland saying they're going with the SNP for these reasons, I think I'm doing the same.

Generally I'd vote Labour but it Tory vs SNP in Dumfries , so its Richard Arkless for me.

 

[Sanjay]

I see The Sun have come up with loads of reasons why they back Theresa

Oh? No? They're going with negative on Labour? Shock

Wow is this a UK thing or does this style of trash newspaper also happen around the world like in America, France, Germany and Canada etc?

 

[Pandy]

Won't have time to do a UK wide prediction but for Scotland.

All SNP bar

CONSERVATIVES: 6 seats
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Dumfries and Galloway
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
East Renfrewshire
Perth & North Perthshire
West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine

LIB DEMS: 4 seats
East Dunbartonshire
Edinburgh West
North East Fife
Orkney & Shetland

LABOUR: 1 seat
Edinburgh South

I see what you did there.

 

[sammex]

Indy predicting a 74 seat majority...

I'm pretty much resigned now to them getting something similar. Silver lining, it's not the 200 odd that some predicted at the start.

 

[Huw_Dawson]

Also, would such a merger be feasible to begin with?

Could you imagine the NDP and the Liberals merging?

 

[Air Zombie Meat]

Wow is this a UK thing or does this style of trash newspaper also happen around the world like in America, France, Germany and Canada etc?

We're the best at it no doubt.

 

[Audioboxer]

really getting nervous for how this will go down in scotland >_<

20+ seats to the Tories and a majority to rule the country for the foreseeable future with Scotland whipped and told to STFU and sit down and bow to May.

Pls enjoy.

I've heard the SNP are reasonably confident for Robertson.

If Moray swings then it must be SNP voters who dun goofed

 

[CarlisleDavid1979]

Turkeys will continue to vote for Christmas and then blame everyone else when things go south.

 

[Acorn]

Well, hand delivered my postal vote today.

Labour... First in any election since 2012ish I think. I can't vote against policies I've bitched and moaned to get for half my life.

If I wasn't in Paisley I would've voted SNP to keep the tories out, but yeah Paisley.

 

[DiGiKerot]

Totally unoptimistic about labours chances but hey I voted a week or so ago through a postal vote. Why don't more people do this, I've done it since I've been able to vote.

I trust walking to the Polling Station about 10 minutes away more than I do the postal system in this country sometimes, largely.

 

[31GhostsIV]

I see The Sun have come up with loads of reasons why they back Theresa

Oh? No? They're going with negative on Labour? Shock

Murdoch will surely be dead by the next GE, right? Just a random thought.

 

[Audioboxer]

Well, hand delivered my postal vote today.

Labour... First in any election since 2012ish I think. I can't vote against policies I've bitched and moaned to get for half my life.

If I wasn't in Paisley I would've voted SNP to keep the tories out, but yeah Paisley.

Paisley is currently SNP so voting Labour seems like a tactical swing and miss to potentially let the Tories back in. Do not underestimate the amount of Labour voters in Scotland who are going to go out and vote Conservative this GE because of the Union.

If you voted against Mhairi Black I'll give you a slap too lol.