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[Beefy]

I wanted to fucking sleep!

 

[JonnyDBrit]

If this is true then May has got to be done as leader of the Conservatives right?

I think it would be the end of her political career outright. She would not only have weakened the party's position, but she would come off as an incapable tactician who bet wrongly - just like the man in office before her.

 

[Acorn]

I'm gonna get fucked by someone tonight, either the Lib dems will jump in tory laps or the poll will be b.s.

 

[His Majesty]

So who will succeed May?

 

[Hot Coldman]

317 CON (3 more than this says.) They finished on 330. So yeah, could still be blue majority.

Yikes. Well ok then. I should probably just go to bed -_-

 

[offshore]

BBC saying Amber Rudd's seat could be in doubt :O

 

[George Oscar Bluth II]

Still have no hope.

 

[cyberheater]

So who's going to take over from May?

Also. Get fucked SNP. That's a clear no vote for indyref2.

 

[Jezbollah]

I think the exit poll had the LDs at 14, right? Totalling 314. Ain't things funny.

Sorry mate. Yep I mis-typed and added up. EQUAL.

I secretly gave two more for Huw for his engagement with Crab.

 

[Uzzy]

Tight race in Hastings, Amber Rudd in trouble.

 

[PurpleMoustache]

time for some amazon shopping

thanks May

oh shit, do you think this will reflect on the markets tomorrow? I'm in the US and wanna buy a bunch of Future Sound of London stuff, but their webstore is all in pounds.

 

[liquidtmd]

I wanted to fucking sleep!

No sleep, only Corbyn now

 

[Coffinhal]

Just read that exit polls minored by 14 seats the Conservative's score in 2015
But were accurate in 2010, gave 11 more seats than what they actually had in 2005 and 2001.

 

[Stead Fast]

I bet £75 on May

We’re gonna get someone else as prime minister but a conservative gorgernment and I’ll be down money and still fucked

My answer is the same whether you voted on her or bet: you are solely to blame.

 

[Orniletter]

May's political career is over.

 

[Audioboxer]

THESE EMOTIONS!

I'm super happy for the hope the UK has. I'm at a loss worrying that Scotland has just given the Scottish Tories a mental recovery.

 

[Wes]

Oh my days if Amber Rudd loses her seat...

 

[Zaph]

 

[TiredofWinning]

BBC saying Amber Rudd's in trouble

 

[MrMysterio]

Why always no sleep for election nights in 2016/2017!

 

[Delusibeta]

Who is going to prop up the Tories?

DUP and UUP, and that's a combined ten seats max.

 

[Pandy]

Hold me gaf. May having to resign would be beautiful.

 

[SilentRob]

Man. This and Comey. Thank's world, I needed this.

 

[-Plasma Reus-]

317 CON (3 more than this says.) They finished on 330. So yeah, could still be blue majority.

Fuck.

Stop it. We're fuckes. I'm going.to sleep. Fuck this Shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiittttt

 

[Putyouinmyoven]

Amazing.

It does mean that I am, yet again, fucked on the exchange rate for summer. I went to Japan last year 2 weeks after brexit (lol), it's just gone back up to a respectable level and now it will plummet again a few weeks before I go back again.

Clownish

 

[Goodlife]

317 CON (3 more than this says.) They finished on 330. So yeah, could still be blue majority.

Honestly, unless it's massively wrong, it really doesn't matter at this stage

 

[nubbe]

May's fucked right? Even if they get a majority.

yeah, the EU will dance on her corpse

 

[Gurgelhals]

Meanwhile in Continental Europe:

 

[KingSnake]

Haha, what's happening? Too strong too stable?

 

[Santiako]

So who will succeed May?

June

 

[Guerrillas in the Mist]

The people's flag is deepest red,
It shrouded oft our martyred dead
And ere their limbs grew stiff and cold,
Their hearts' blood dyed its every fold.

So raise the scarlet standard high,
Beneath its shade we'll live and die,
Though cowards flinch and traitors sneer,
We'll keep the red flag flying here

Still the GOAT political anthem.

 

[RangerX]

May's fucked right? Even if they get a majority.

Oh she's gone in a fortnight maximum. The exit poll won't be off by that much to save her skin. Good riddance too. A truly awful politician.

 

[Hyams]

The only way to get to 326 seats is through a Tory/LD coalition.

I know Farron said no coalition with Corbyn or May, but I imagine May won't be Tory leader for much longer.

Question is, does Farron have the guts/is he stupid enough to go for a coalition?

 

[Zakalwe]

317 CON (3 more than this says.) They finished on 330. So yeah, could still be blue majority.

Except it rushed fully in the other direction... they could even end up with slightly less...

 

[Uzzy]

So who's going to take over from May?

Also. Get fucked SNP. That's a clear no vote for indyref2.

Boris will join with Corbyn in a National Government.

 

[Ac30]

So, for Labor to govern, they would need LD, SNP, Green and independent support. Fuck me.

At least it's a hung parliament

 

[SlipperyFishes]

DUP and UUP, and that's a combined ten seats max.

yeah, it's not a majority but I'm really not holding out hope tonight

 

[Par Score]

Weaver Vale likely Labour Gain. Get the fuck in.

 

[JonathanEx]

At worst, that 15-seat margin would still deliver her a majority, if she actually had her seat count underestimated. Gonna be fun to wake up tomorrow!

So it'd take the poll being a chunk wrong to only get us back to where we started with. Blimey.

 

[31GhostsIV]

I wanted to fucking sleep!

Same!

 

[UtterlyPerplexed]

And to think we were originally bracing for a 1983-redux.

This is just indescribably staggering.

This would be the ultimate indictment of Theresa Maybot's disastrous presidential campaign.

 

[BrokenIcarus]

Ahahahahahah LET'S HOLD A SNAP ELECTION AND FUCKING LOSE OUR MAJORITY

 

[Syder]

 

[Royal_Phalanx]

I don't even care if the LD jumped in bed with the Tories again if they forced electoral reform+EEA membership tbh.

 

[Matt_]

might take advantage of the falling pound and cash in the euros that have been sitting on my side for the last two months

 

[Chinner]

Even if the exit poll is out 10-20 seats and the Tories do get a majority, this would be simply embarrassing as it was a huge waste of time and would be transparently political opportunism.

 

[PowderedToast]

The Guardian:

Can you trust exit polls?

The short answer is, yes and no.

Broadcasters have been using exit polls since at last 1974 and it is true that in the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s there were were some horrific misses. Here are the figures, showing how far the gap was between the predicted majority of the winning part and the actual majority.

October 1974

ITN: Wrong by 12

BBC: Wrong by 132

1979

ITN: Wrong by 20

BBC: Wrong by 29

1983

ITN: Wrong by 28

BBC: Wrong by 2

1987

ITN: Wrong by 34

BBC: Wrong by 76

1992

ITN: Wrong by 62

BBC: Wrong by 70

1997

ITN: Wrong by 20

BBC: Wrong by 6

But in the last decade and a half the exit polls have become much more accurate.

Here are the figures for 2001.

ITN: Wrong by 8

BBC: Wrong by 10

From 2005 onwards there has been a joint exit poll, firstly commissioned for ITN and the BBC, and then, from 2010 onwards, for Sky too. Its record has been much better.

2005

Wrong by 0. It predicted a Labour majority of 66, which Labour got.

2010

Wrong by 0. It said the Tories would be 19 short of a majority, and they were.

2015

Wrong by 22. It said the Tories would be 10 seats short of a majority, but they got a majority of 12.

This chart, posted on Twitter by the Spectator’s Fraser Nelson, makes the same point.

 

[cyberheater]

June

LOL.

 

[The Greek Freak]

May's political career is over.

Even if the tories get a majority this is a win

 

[chemspida]

Unelectable my arse.

Strong and stable my arse.