PhoncipleBone
Banned
No worries. I just replied in the other thread too. The wording is a bit confusing in the article.
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Wkd Box Office 0612-1415 - It's Jurassic World, we all just live in it, dino-might!
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No worries. I just replied in the other thread too. The wording is a bit confusing in the article.
What?? Who brought up Minions? I was talking about Jurassic World and Inside Out...
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
Yes.
Avengers made $18.9M on its first Monday.
Jurassic World might end up going into the weekend with close to $290M.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/days/f-th.htm?page=Mon&p=.htm
Is boxofficemojo considered unreliable?
RastaMentality
Banned
Is $600m domestic possible?
I should have specified that the record was for regular Mondays. Mondays that fall on Memorial day or the Fourth of July are basically weekend days.
Yes, but it will depend on legs. $500M is locked. $550M is probable.
Ok, was just wondering if ive been stupidly using boxofficemojo for movie stats or not.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
It was sill to ask if it was one of the biggest since you said it set a new record. I was going by boxofficemojo.
But yeah, wow.
Finaika
Member
Why would he ride a dino?
Ninja Scooter
Member
because why not?
Because we have learned audiences are more interested in Dinos than super heroes. Dino power wins above all else.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Marvel to fast track a Devil Dinosaur film.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
I bet that's why Transformers 4 made so much. That robot dino marketing.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Deadline: Why Hollywood Couldn't Predict JW's Record Weekend.
A pretty cool look into how early tracking and weekend tracking works, and how the system breaks down once a film tracks above or below a certain threshold.
I might make a new thread for this, because it is fascinating to read how the metrics work and don't work.
A pretty cool look into how early tracking and weekend tracking works, and how the system breaks down once a film tracks above or below a certain threshold.
I might make a new thread for this, because it is fascinating to read how the metrics work and don't work.
Early estimates are pointing to a Tuesday gross for Jurassic World that is just under $25M.
This is by far the largest non-opening Tuesday of all time. The Dark Knight previously held the record with $20.9M and the Avengers grossed $17.7M on its first Tuesday.
Jurassic World will pass $250M in 5 days, beating Avengers' previous record by one day. It will also set a new speed record for fastest to $300M in 8 days (Avengers was sitting at less than $1M below the $300M mark after 8 days).
Based on this, my back of the napkin estimate puts Jurassic World at around $19.5M for today and $16.5M for tomorrow, for a total of $295M heading into its second weekend.
If Thursday is between $16-16.5M, Man of Steel weekend increases (with a slightly better Sunday drop to account for Father's day) would put JP's second weekend at around $97.5M. Obviously things are early so grosses could go up or down if demand stays or drops.
There is a chance that Jurassic World hits $400M domestic at the end of this weekend though. Even if it misses that mark, it is going to end up taking every one of The Avengers' records (other than biggest May opening obviously).
This is by far the largest non-opening Tuesday of all time. The Dark Knight previously held the record with $20.9M and the Avengers grossed $17.7M on its first Tuesday.
Jurassic World will pass $250M in 5 days, beating Avengers' previous record by one day. It will also set a new speed record for fastest to $300M in 8 days (Avengers was sitting at less than $1M below the $300M mark after 8 days).
Based on this, my back of the napkin estimate puts Jurassic World at around $19.5M for today and $16.5M for tomorrow, for a total of $295M heading into its second weekend.
If Thursday is between $16-16.5M, Man of Steel weekend increases (with a slightly better Sunday drop to account for Father's day) would put JP's second weekend at around $97.5M. Obviously things are early so grosses could go up or down if demand stays or drops.
There is a chance that Jurassic World hits $400M domestic at the end of this weekend though. Even if it misses that mark, it is going to end up taking every one of The Avengers' records (other than biggest May opening obviously).
BronsonLee
Member
It's not a great chance. I think $390M is more likely. However, with a better than expected Wed/Thurs and Fathers' day, it could hit that mark.
Can Crusher
Banned
What a weird year. Fast and the furious 7 and now this.
I'm out of touch. Shit.
I'm out of touch. Shit.
Furious 7 was more of an overseas/China thing. Domestic got a nice bump over the last film, but $350M domestic isn't nearly as crazy as $1.16B overseas. Jurassic World will probably pass Furious 7's domestic total on Saturday.
Jurassic World should be over $700M worldwide going into the weekend. $900M by Sunday seems like a reasonable total. We'll have a better idea when we get the WW update on Thursday or Friday.
WaffleTaco
Wants to outlaw technological innovation.
Well I helped contribute to this twice. I have to say the 3D is the better version. Those are some crazy numbers though.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Fathers Day is next weekend, the 21st. Not this weekend. And $97.5m for the weekend would be #2 best second weekend too I think. Avengers is the only film to clear $100m in second weekend ($103m. Only 50% drop), which I can see JW clearing with the momentum it has. That is if the summer weekdays didn't burn off a bit of the weekend potential.
This weekend is going to be a monster, and I wonder how much it is going to hurt Inside Out.
Uh, this Sunday is the 21st
(unless you are one of those people who refer to the past weekend as "this weekend")
cartoon_soldier
Member
What is worldwide looking like now for JW?
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Holy shit, lol. Yeah, don't post on your phone while tired and groggy as you wake up. Mistakes like mine are what happen.Uh, this Sunday is the 21st
(unless you are one of those people who refer to the past weekend as "this weekend")
What day is it!?
Well, now that I've gotten "make an ass out of yourself" out of the way today.
As of today or in total?
As of today, Jurassic World is at least in the $625M range.
Eventual total, who knows. $550M is going to be the low end domestically. Overseas will at least hit $800M, so Harry Potter 8 numbers would probably be a conservative guess. The actual total could be >$1.5B
PhoncipleBone
Banned
JW will, at worst, have the #2 second weekend of all time, and is in prime position to take the #1 spot. The record for second weekend is Avengers with $103m, while #2 is Age of Ultron with $77.7m. JW is going to stomp the #2 spot into the ground easily, and if it does set the second weekend record it will probably just squeak by unless this has some crazy sub 50% drop this weekend.
After that though, I think it is safe to say that Avatar is going to keep the records for the next few weekends. $68.4m for week 3, $50.3m for week 4, and so on.
EDIT: Jurassic World could have a Green Lantern level second weekend drop and still pull in about $70m and probably be number 1 for the weekend. A Man of Steel level drop would place it around $75m or so. We all know it won't have a drop anywhere near that huge, but it is funny to think about just how much money it is pulling in that it could drop that hard and still rank in the top 10 second weekends of all time.
After that though, I think it is safe to say that Avatar is going to keep the records for the next few weekends. $68.4m for week 3, $50.3m for week 4, and so on.
EDIT: Jurassic World could have a Green Lantern level second weekend drop and still pull in about $70m and probably be number 1 for the weekend. A Man of Steel level drop would place it around $75m or so. We all know it won't have a drop anywhere near that huge, but it is funny to think about just how much money it is pulling in that it could drop that hard and still rank in the top 10 second weekends of all time.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
It is still a huge hit, but not as big as the surprises this year. Furious 7 pulling in insane numbers overseas, and now Jurassic World devouring all comers.
Especially because the same thing happened with TDKR vs the original Avengers.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Yup. And to think, there is still another huge movie waiting at the end of the year too.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
Jesus. Practically 25 million for tuesday too? I don't understand.
Like I get it doing big numbers, but I thought maybe the opening was just incredibly front loaded. These weekday numbers are so surprising.
Like I get it doing big numbers, but I thought maybe the opening was just incredibly front loaded. These weekday numbers are so surprising.
Star Wars 7 has virtually zero chance at topping Avatar Worldwide. Ignoring what grossing $2B overseas actually means, the Euro was over $1.40 US when Avatar was released. Now it is sitting at $1.13 US. The Yen was trading at around 90 per USD. Now $1 USD is worth over 120 yen. Several other local currencies are way down as well (Australian Dollar, the Russian Ruble, etc). So in local currencies, Star Wars would actually have to make hundreds of millions more than Avatar, just to tie the USD gross.
That's not even considering the fact that 3D shares are way down in North America and Europe compared to Avatar's 75-80% share.
It's 5+ at the very least, Minions are freaking huge, no way in hell they don't make 1b+.
Well, it is a spin-off film and the main series hasn't broken that barrier yet. I can see why people would be cautious.
Ninja Scooter
Member
In a weird way I feel like we should have seen this coming. Kids still love dinosaurs and even moreso than Avengers, this movie seems to be drawing a ton of kids and family. Add to that the fact that kids are out of school for the summer and you get huge weekday numbers. Would it be all that shocking if this ends up with a bigger overall gross than even Star Wars?
Honestly, that proves even more that Minions will do it. Nobody cares about what's-his-face protagonist of the 'main series' and it still did $970m. Minions focused film with a huge marketing campaign should pull outrageous numbers.
First weekend exit polls suggest that Jurassic World actually had an older audience than the Avengers did.
I can't think of any spin off films that beat the originals in the box office (at least for bigger budget fair). This film is in a better position to do that I guess, but some characters just work better as supporting characters than the main focus for 90 mins. We'll see in a few weeks whether that is the case here.
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