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Wkd Box Office 1218-2015 - Force Awakens does good... gOOOood, opens w/ $248m
- Thread starter xaosslug
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I mean hell he even did it for Rebels on Disney XD.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Not only are the two biggest box-office successes in 2015 both revivals of decade-dormant popular film series, but two of the biggest critical successes are as well.
And aside from Jurassic World (which kinda clumsily checked boxes until the WWE-tastic crowdpleaser of a Dino Finale), the other three (Force Awakens, Mad Max, Creed) seem to be working because they're taking old familiar formulas, and not just amping them up, but ensuring the moments that made those series beloved in the first place are replicated (or topped) in a careful manner, while making the film itself look and sound more like the audience watching it.
Which makes me really curious as to how Ghostbusters is going to run when it drops next year.
And aside from Jurassic World (which kinda clumsily checked boxes until the WWE-tastic crowdpleaser of a Dino Finale), the other three (Force Awakens, Mad Max, Creed) seem to be working because they're taking old familiar formulas, and not just amping them up, but ensuring the moments that made those series beloved in the first place are replicated (or topped) in a careful manner, while making the film itself look and sound more like the audience watching it.
Which makes me really curious as to how Ghostbusters is going to run when it drops next year.
Agreed and well said.
I'm sure the Ghostbusters movie will open well with the female audience and critics (Feig last movie Spy was very well received), but the task at hand is bringing in the geeky male crowd. If it does, it's going to be one of if not the most lucrative comedy given modern box-office potential.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
They're coming anyway.
Besides which, the amount of money "geeks" actually lend to a movie's totals is often overvalued on forums/social media, as seen by what happens when a film is built specifically to cater to that audience. They hit a ceiling pretty quick, usually.
The only thing that worries me about Ghostbusters:
With Star Wars (returning characters, same universe), jurassic world (returning characters, same universe) and creed (same), major players from the originals were involved and it was a continuation of the overarching story. Fans of bill murray, et al, may not associate a Melissa McCarthy, Wiig, etc movie with the franchise they loved. A lot of it will come down to how the movie is marketed in my opinion.
perfectchaos007
Member
Why does the title in the OP say $248million but the content of the OP and press release says $238 million?
OP only logs on to GAF on the weekend to do his gig, it's not updated.
star wars is a very very clever balancing of obsessing about matching past franchise expectations (old cast, fan service, film structure, highlighting stuff like focus on practical effects etc) with modern elements (way more more diverse cast, focusing on a woman as you already know everything else brings in the boys, subverting gender expectations often in the story).
i don't think ghostbusters will carry enough of the existing fans and i don't mean the hardcore obsessives but just people who watched it and enjoyed it in the past, it's too risky with the new direction as it completely commits to it, it doesn't have the balance of star wars. people don't know what they are getting, they don't feel secure. honestly financially i think it will be successful but also considered a missed opportunity given jurassic world and star wars mega success. ppl like to be pandered to sadly.
i don't think ghostbusters will carry enough of the existing fans and i don't mean the hardcore obsessives but just people who watched it and enjoyed it in the past, it's too risky with the new direction as it completely commits to it, it doesn't have the balance of star wars. people don't know what they are getting, they don't feel secure. honestly financially i think it will be successful but also considered a missed opportunity given jurassic world and star wars mega success. ppl like to be pandered to sadly.
perfectchaos007
Member
So which one is right?
Insane. I was at the movie yesterday morning at 915am and the theater was full so I can believe it.
It does, however, have the "From the director of Bridesmaids and Spy" thing going for it. So I don't think it will be a complete bomb.
Insanity. $40 mil Monday, $85 mil worldwide.
Wait, $40 mil would still be bigger than any December single day gross, right? Bigger than any movie before did on weekend?
What the fuck.
Matt_
World's #1 One Direction Fan: Everyone else in the room can see it, everyone else but you~~~
Yes, beats the Hobbits opening day of 37M and ROTK's opening day of 34M
Legs like Avatar while breaking every weekend and weekday record. If it keeps that up through the holiday season $1 billion domestic is possible.
Insane.
ryutaro's mama
Member
Avatar started picking up steam in weekends 2 and 3.
Yeah, that's not gonna happen. Aside from a few "sleeper" movies that gain incredible word of mouth marketing, movies never do better in their second week, especially not ultra-high profile movies like this.
bananafactory
Banned
While the Monday gross is impressive, it doesn't imply "legs like Avatar"; Avatar's legs were weeks after opening weekend, when it still was topping the charts.
rokkerkory
Member
Add another approx $50 for 4 tickets towards this movie as the whole family is going. Again. 
Something looks off about this lineup.
The warmest winter weather in history and a movie with insane hype that lives up to it will do that.
yeah.. people forget this with Avatar and Titanic. They actually WENT UP in grosses on certain weekends, or dropped less than 5% WoW on other weekends.
Legs on those didn't only mean small drops, but in some cases no drop or increases.. for TFA to hit $900M it will have to play similarly. If it keeps dropping every week, even small-ish drops (<40%), I doubt it will make it much beyond $800M if it even gets there.
If either this weekend or next is crazy small drop though (<30%), it should be pretty safe. If either are increases.. THEN $1B may be possible, though far from a safe bet.
BronsonLee
Member
What's off about that lineup is that there hasn't been a goddamn Sherlock Holmes 3
bananafactory
Banned
I think this weekend drop will be pretty steep (40%), but I could see its third weekend holding very well. After that, who knows?
Jesus Christ
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Wut. Nothing since then has been able to top that, the only movie that would be a serious contender would be Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - that motion cap was great.
Vault Dweller 111
Member
So I think we can all agree that the domestic record is falling.
But for someone who doesn't know the box office that well, is it kind of doing just meh WW? We don't seem to be talking about it at all. It would be be crazy if got around a billion domestic and still didn't even beat Titanic.
But for someone who doesn't know the box office that well, is it kind of doing just meh WW? We don't seem to be talking about it at all. It would be be crazy if got around a billion domestic and still didn't even beat Titanic.
Well, obviously Avatar-like drops aren't actually possible. OTOH, something like the first Hobbit film, which had close to a 4x multiplier, could happen.
It set the world wide opening record without China. You tell me.
DudeWithNoName
Member
This is me as well. Myself and three kids are going to catch it in 3-D over Christmas break.
And who is setting this 900M as target?
superdeluxe
Member
Avatar is going down.
I'll be going for my third time this week. The last time I did that was with Avengers, and besides Avengers I don't know if I've ever seen a movie at the theatre three times.
Way too low. 150-160 feels more likely.
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