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Wkd Box Office Est. 06•15-17•12 - Weekend of the xaosslug MUST COME BACK

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kswiston

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Why the sudden interest in Madagascar?
I always thought that series had average succes, and that it was going down in popularity. Surprised this iteration will be th highest grossing.

The first one made $193M. The second one made $180M, but was a fall film instead of a summer film like the other two. November/December can be a great time to launch a movie, but looking at franchises that have launched in both time frames, summer tends to be a little better.

Madagascar 3 has the best RottenTomatoes score and best IMDB user rating out of the series. It also has 3D working in its favour.




After today, I don't see Abe hitting $40M domestically, but the movie is cheap enough that overseas earnings may save it. I imagine that the movie will do well in Russia.
 

Dan

No longer boycotting the Wolfenstein franchise
Abe is probably going to beat Rock of Ages and That's my Boy OW.

lol Cruise and Sandler.

I'm really not sure Cruise was the problem for Rock of Ages. It was more that it was a generic looking '80s rock musical about who knows what. It was just famous people and '80s music. Why would anyone rush to the theater for that?
 

GraveRobberX

Platinum Trophy: Learned to Shit While Upright Again.
I did a movie marathon on Wednesday (6/20)

Saw Prometheus, Snow White/Huntsmen, That's My Boy, Avengers, Madagascar

I enjoyed Madagascar a lot, it was so much fun, it was better than 2, it had charm, and didn't get boring at all, I want to go see it again in 3D, it visually pops (martin short as the Seal did get a little annoying, but that's martin short for you)

Prometheus was decent, I enjoyed it, Haters be Damned

Snow was OK, the abrupt ending was Umm... that's it?

My Boy was was a disaster, maybe 3-5 OK jokes, movie was a chore to watch

Avengers was Avengers.. the 6:20 show 3/4th FULL!... WHAT THE FUCK?!?

Might wait till Dark Knight Rises for next movie marathon and hopefully catch that, Spider-Man, Brave and some other movie I'm missing
 
Deadline Hollywood is saying that Brave's Friday was around $25M. We will find out the official Friday estimate in a couple hours, but Cars 2 opened to a $25.7M Friday last year and had a $66M weekend. Brave should continue Pixar's string of $60M+ openers (Ratatouille was the only film to debut to less than that in the past decade).

Abe Lincoln and Seeking a Friend aren't doing so well.


Also, The Bourne Legacy moved its release from Aug 3rd to Aug 10th, so it is no longer launching the same weekend as Total Recall. Probably good for both flicks. If Total Recall bombs or disappoints, the Dark Knight Rises will have three weekends at #1 now. I doubt that it will beat Bourne in its fourth weekend though.

I would be pretty shocked for Total Recall to be number one opening weekend. I think DKR pretty easily has three weekends, and it's fourth weekend being close, but losing to Bourne. We'll see though. Maybe I'm crazy.
 

kswiston

Member
I would be pretty shocked for Total Recall to be number one opening weekend. I think DKR pretty easily has three weekends, and it's fourth weekend being close, but losing to Bourne. We'll see though. Maybe I'm crazy.

It's way too early to predict. TDK's third weekend was $42M. Avengers third weekend was $55M. I doubt Total Recall makes $55M in its first weekend, but it could top $42M if reviews/word of mouth are good. Also, there is no guarantee that TDKR will perform as well as either the Avengers or TDK in its third weekend. First weekend will be massive, but we will have to wait and see how its legs look.

Fourth weekend was $37M for Avengers and 29M for TDK. I doubt Bourne will be lower than either of those numbers. The last movie opened to almost $70M, and while Legacy will probably open notably lower, I think it shares enough links to the previous movies to break $40M opening weekend. That could either be close to TDKR or well above it. Again, it will depend on TDKR's legs.

I think this August's release schedule is stronger than TDK's August back in 2008.
 
Avengers isn't losing that many theaters and has been having great week on week drops so far this week. Will be over 591 heading into the weekend, decent chance it goes over 600 before next weekend. Probably going to beat MIB3 this weekend.

looking like 2 for 2. Still think 650 is in play.
 
It's way too early to predict. TDK's third weekend was $42M. Avengers third weekend was $55M. I doubt Total Recall makes $55M in its first weekend, but it could top $42M if reviews/word of mouth are good. Also, there is no guarantee that TDKR will perform as well as either the Avengers or TDK in its third weekend. First weekend will be massive, but we will have to wait and see how its legs look.

Fourth weekend was $37M for Avengers and 29M for TDK. I doubt Bourne will be lower than either of those numbers. The last movie opened to almost $70M, and while Legacy will probably open notably lower, I think it shares enough links to the previous movies to break $40M opening weekend. That could either be close to TDKR or well above it. Again, it will depend on TDKR's legs.

I think this August's release schedule is stronger than TDK's August back in 2008.

I just have zero faith in Total Recall from either a critical or box office standpoint. I'm expecting below 30 million for it.

Didn't realize last Bourne did that well. I guess it's really up in the air how that will play out with a new unproven lead. Either way,
I think it'll win the weekend. I was randomly guessing 40ish before.

And of course there's always the crazy chance Batman turns out shit, and regardless will be hurt by it's longer run time I assume. All I know is, I'm ready.
 
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