I would never bet on anything being in stone, as far as release schedules. I think Venom is a safe bet for 2025, but that also seems to be a Miles Morales kind of scope. So, a bit easier to confidently pin that one down. Especially since it's certainly going to reuse a significant amount of assets and animations. The fact that it's only on a two-year development timeline is a potential issue. That is either going to be remembered as an impressive schedule, a disaster, or too optimistic at the time and it gets delayed. But, I'm gonna say this actually fits well with their goals of smaller budgets and faster timelines.
Wolverine is a bit trickier to say for sure. The slides cut off at Q4 2022, and Wolverine was in development before that. But we can't say for certain based on that slide how far back it started. It's being given a much larger timeline and resource allocation than Venom. But my concern stems from Wolverine requiring many new assets, maps, animations, and just trying to figure out the gameplay. Which will be considerably different from Spider-Man.
I don't believe this supposed leak is real. It looks like a modded fake. The actual, legit leak we saw had the game playing nothing like Spider-Man. Much closer to God of War. Meaning they have very little previous work to piggyback on for an easier development. I'm pretty sure that Wolverine is basically a "from scratch" development. Which gives me pause looking at that slide and being confident in a 2026 release.
For Spider-Man 3, I see both Insomniac and Sony doing everything in their power to have it hit 2028. Why? PlayStation 6. That is the year we've been hearing that Sony wants to release it. This would be a tremendous move by Sony to drum up excitement for the launch of the next console. With that in mind, I think that if SM3 looks to be in danger of not hitting the launch, they'll go all hands on deck to make the deadline. Which means delaying anything supposedly coming later. If Wolverine gets delayed, that would slow down the reallocation of resources to SM3. To me, a delay of Wolverine would tell me everything coming after, except SM3, is also going to miss the original timeline.
But, all of this is merely guesswork based on slides that are already a year old. More factors than I tossed out would be in play. For all we know, things already changed.