Don't Laugh
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Quoting for posterity.
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2014 FIFA World Cup |OT| Spa1n v The Netherland5
- Thread starter Wes
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Quoting for posterity.
FiveThirtyEight have posted their projections
for who is most likely to advance in each group, etc.
for who is most likely to advance in each group, etc.
Nate Silver and friends predict the World Cup.
Article: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-brazils-world-cup-to-lose/
Interactive: http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/world-cup/
Some notes:
-Brazil is given the highest percentage chance of winning the Cup at a whopping 45%. Argentina (13%), Germany (11%) and Spain (8%) are the next three.
-The Netherlands is given only a 43% of making it out of their group while Chile has a 70% chance.
-Portugal, with Germany, is the favorite to advance out of the Group of Death. But not by as much as people might think. Portugal has a 45% chance at advancing while the US has a reasonable 36% chance.
-Australia are the least likely to advance out of their group, with only a 7% chance. Oi.
Article: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-brazils-world-cup-to-lose/
Interactive: http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/world-cup/
Some notes:
-Brazil is given the highest percentage chance of winning the Cup at a whopping 45%. Argentina (13%), Germany (11%) and Spain (8%) are the next three.
-The Netherlands is given only a 43% of making it out of their group while Chile has a 70% chance.
-Portugal, with Germany, is the favorite to advance out of the Group of Death. But not by as much as people might think. Portugal has a 45% chance at advancing while the US has a reasonable 36% chance.
-Australia are the least likely to advance out of their group, with only a 7% chance. Oi.
gutter_trash
Banned
yup, pretty much agree with most of it. Netherlands are old and have lost to Iberians time and time again. I think Chile's intensity will be too much for the Dutch.
Uruguay ontop over England and Italy, yup I see it
Mt Heart Attack
Member
Lol this is crap.
PoemOfTheLastMoment
Banned
The World Cup is defined by the massive upsets that place every 4 years. That's what make the tournament so special.
i want to believe
FIFA rankings don't mean shit.
Sporting Intelligence have made an "objective" prediction based on different metrics.
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You can do the same now by going to this thread: 2014 World Cup - Predictions and Fantasy Football
Sporting Intelligence: And the World Cup winners will be Brazil. Or Argentina. Or Spain. Or Germany
---
You can do the same now by going to this thread: 2014 World Cup - Predictions and Fantasy Football
Pretty much the to-go bet this year
Nike Football: The Last Game ft. Ronaldo, Neymar Jr., Rooney, Zlatan, Iniesta & more
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iy1rumvo9xc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iy1rumvo9xc
gutter_trash
Banned
footy is about matchups and shenanigans
Portugal has had the upper hand on Netherlands for years but struggles against Germany.
Sometimes you get upsets like France's fratricide and Italy's early bow out in 2010.
Then you get the bullshit: like England's scoring against Germany crossing the line then bouncing back out but the ref never saw it, England loses the game.
or when David Villa was Off-Side then scored against Portugal, eh linesman took a nap or god paid off.
shit happens
Portugal has had the upper hand on Netherlands for years but struggles against Germany.
Sometimes you get upsets like France's fratricide and Italy's early bow out in 2010.
Then you get the bullshit: like England's scoring against Germany crossing the line then bouncing back out but the ref never saw it, England loses the game.
or when David Villa was Off-Side then scored against Portugal, eh linesman took a nap or god paid off.
shit happens
ShinRPGamer
Member
Good lord do people have low expectations for the Italians. I mean it's not like i'm expecting them to go all the way or anything but the last 8 should be realistic.
That said, FORZA AZZURRI!!!
Pretty awesome video.
Portugeezer
Member
the ENGLISH of all people licking the GERMANS anus? Oh my dear EuropeOG, you're sadly mistaken..
You will see how they act like Germany is some godly unstoppable team because England has bad history against them. But in reality they are just efficient, nothing more.
As I said a few pages back, that sucked compared to the amazing campaigns last WC
Nike : http://youtu.be/GUBpfCHhwbw
Adidas : http://youtu.be/tkKw-J9PWwI
Adidas Jose 10 (2006) : http://youtu.be/fncOu6dp1IY
nothing serious
gutter_trash
Banned
the CG Nike add sucks ass. The art direction is bad, character proportions are off, their animations don't caricature the player correctly. It's modern CG poo
FootballFan
Member
Watch out USA-GAF
Seanspeed
Banned
(Today, 03:29 AM)
master splinter
Banned
(Yesterday, 02:39 PM)
Seanspeed
Banned
(Today, 03:29 AM)
master splinter
Banned
(Yesterday, 02:39 PM)
snoopeasystreet
Member
If they really wanted to risk everything, they'd have put Joe Hart in goals.
lastflowers
Banned
Cornballer has failed to protect USA-GAF. We're all DOOMED
The Culture Vulture
Member
Feel a bit sorry for USA-GAF's hopes and dreams being crushed when all three teams in the group beat them.
"a bit sorry" but you try to rub salt before the tournament even begins.
To be fair getting past Germany and Portugal is going to be prety difficult
perfectchaos007
Member
Which is why I'm hoping the USA beats Ghana, then Ghana upsets either Portugal or Germany. Let them do the work for us.
Willkiller
Banned
Yeah that's disingenuous, at least I'm honest when I say I hope the USA doesn't pick up a point!
CraigerGamer
Member
Just read the ESPN piece on Argentina's win in 1978. I don't know enough about FIFA to form an opinion, but was their any pressure to host the games someplace else?
The horror....the horror.
The horror....the horror.
USA beat Spain and went two-nil ahead against Brazil in the Confederations Cup of 2009.
#impossibleisnothing #believe
If group G isn't the group of death then what is?
Arjen
Member
Maybe the group with the 2 final teams of 4 years ago?
Tragicomedy
Member
Feel a bit sorry for USA-GAF's hopes and dreams being crushed when all three teams in the group beat them.
That is very likely, but it's just as likely that we lose to Germany, tie Portugal, beat Ghana, and move on.
I feel that Germany is the only lock in the group. I can see any of the other three teams moving on. Ghana is no joke. If Fake Ronaldo is healthy, Portugal is no joke. The USA lacks the star power of Portugal, but the team is no joke.
Group D. G doesn't even have a south american team. Germany will easily top the group followed by Portugal.
Q
Queen of Hunting
Unconfirmed Member
i really hope the ball is alot better than last time,
lastflowers
Banned
Will laugh when Germany gets knocked out
FootballFan
Member
UK-gaf always hating on USA.
I hope USA come first in the group. With number 1 soccer player in the world Clint Dempsey scoring 5 goals in the group stage.
I hope USA come first in the group. With number 1 soccer player in the world Clint Dempsey scoring 5 goals in the group stage.
Really? That's what you base it on? Whether or not there's a South American team? When Portugal gets knocked out I'll bump this post and laugh.
perfectchaos007
Member
Group B and G are both groups of death. Group B has the two finalists of the last WC, and Group G has 2 teams in the top 5 FIFA rankings, plus the USA and Ghana who made the round of 16 and quarter finals in the last WC respectively. All 4 teams in Group G made the round of 16 or better in the last WC. Any other group that strong?
FortuneFaded
Member
Fixed.
gutter_trash
Banned
Only Germany can beat Portugal decisively without shenanigans
People like to pile onto Portugal blablabla. Most of Portugal's tournament losses as of late were stupid losses like penalties (2012), an offside goal in front of a blind linesman (2010) and shit like that.
Germany is the only team that legitimately beat Portugal without shenanigans.
USA can't beat this current Portugal squad.
Group D > Group G > Group B in terms of group of deathness.
The Netherlands' squad isn't what it was. I'd bet most football fans hadn't even heard of most of their players. Who the fuck is Jordy Clasie for example?
They're just lucky they have a tactical genius in LvG and a world class striker in RvP. Oh and Robben.
The Netherlands' squad isn't what it was. I'd bet most football fans hadn't even heard of most of their players. Who the fuck is Jordy Clasie for example?
They're just lucky they have a tactical genius in LvG and a world class striker in RvP. Oh and Robben.
Tragicomedy
Member
To be fair, England hasn't factored into the World Cup for 48 years. I doubt any Gaffers were even alive when their team mattered. Fueled by an excellent domestic league, made up of foreign stars, a large portion of the fanbase is delusional in their expectations for the national squad.
There's an entire chapter in the book, Soccernomics, that makes a very convincing case that England actually overachieves just by making it out of the first round. Sounds about right and it's in keeping with historical trends.
The USA knows exactly where it stands on the football front. We'll sometimes surprise a few top teams, but we're a second-tier squad.
Never forget.
Vivalaraza
Member
Spain are a poor side.
I hope other head coaches finally expose them. What you need to do is stretch them out across the field. A soccer field is huge, it always surprises me that more of it isn't used. The Spaniards are clever I guess they stay close and slowly progress up the field, killing the clock as well which is to their benefit.
Don't get me wrong they have some good players but if you force them into long plays they will crumble.
1/4 exit imo.
I hope other head coaches finally expose them. What you need to do is stretch them out across the field. A soccer field is huge, it always surprises me that more of it isn't used. The Spaniards are clever I guess they stay close and slowly progress up the field, killing the clock as well which is to their benefit.
Don't get me wrong they have some good players but if you force them into long plays they will crumble.
1/4 exit imo.
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