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Pachter Predicts: Xbox One outsold PS4 in September (dance, you puppets)

lmbotiva

Junior Member
i thought that usually by now there's a rough estimate of sales, you know, people leaking number online and things like that
 

BokehKing

Banned
No it isn't, it's selling based on the shit storm and bad PR Xbox One will never shake off.

You honestly think your average consumer cares about where multiplats look better? They didn't care on Xbox/PS2 and they didn't care last gen either, PS3 was toe to toe with 360 in software sales.
I tell my average consumer friends that multiplats look better on ps4 (which is true) and guess what, they tell their friends, and they tell their friends

"But I wanted a Xbox Tony"
"But we all have ps4's and the games look better on ps4 don't be dumb"

A simple conversation that goes on between 'average gamers' all the time
 
I tell my average consumer friends that multiplats look better on ps4 (which is true) and guess what, they tell their friends, and they tell their friends

"But I wanted a Xbox Tony"
"But we all have ps4's and the games look better on ps4 don't be dumb"

A simple conversation that goes on between 'average gamers' all the time

Peer pressure is a timeless pastime.
 

Patroclos

Banned
I tell my average consumer friends that multiplats look better on ps4 (which is true) and guess what, they tell their friends, and they tell their friends

"But I wanted a Xbox Tony"
"But we all have ps4's and the games look better on ps4 don't be dumb"

A simple conversation that goes on between 'average gamers' all the time

But Tony, what about the Feel of First Class? Anyway, "average gamers" should be more than happy with Workingman's Graphics.

Kidding, I agree with what you said.
 
It's not all about multiplatforms though. Yeah, multiplats look better on PS4, but the real differentiators are going to be first-party games that you can only get for one console or the other.

I keep reading these "exclusives are super important" comments, together with other posts like "X1 lineup quality is way better", but month after month, PS4 keeps on being #1 in sales.
I don't know, something doesn't quite add up...
 
I keep reading these "exclusives are super important" comments, together with other posts like "X1 lineup quality is way better", but month after month, PS4 keeps on being #1 in sales.
I don't know, something doesn't quite add up...

To be fair, we haven't had any real killer exclusives yet. All exclusives so far have been remakes, or have been just alright. Me personally, nothing has blown my socks off. I expect that to happen in 2015 and 2016.
 

Patroclos

Banned

BOOM! Well, there it is.
BOOM! Well, there it is.

There_It_Is_2.jpg
 
Less than 24 hours before Mr. Pachter shows up in this thread and serves us each a plate of fresh crow. Get your forks and knives ready now, ladies and gentlemen, because it's gonna be a long meal.
 
has the xbone ever outsold the Ps4 in any given/month time period?

and if so, did it have anything to do with a shortage of Ps4s or was it pure competition?
 

Carl

Member
I tell my average consumer friends that multiplats look better on ps4 (which is true) and guess what, they tell their friends, and they tell their friends

"But I wanted a Xbox Tony"
"But we all have ps4's and the games look better on ps4 don't be dumb"

A simple conversation that goes on between 'average gamers' all the time

But do you tell them that Xbox gets more firmware updates? I imagine that would make most people buy Xbox.
 

GeoramA

Member
Less than 24 hours before Mr. Pachter shows up in this thread and serves us each a plate of fresh crow. Get your forks and knives ready now, ladies and gentlemen, because it's gonna be a long meal.
Of course he will. It would redeem his career that's been full of many, many blunders.
 

Tegernako

Banned
If we lived in a world where the most/best exclusives were what sold consoles... the hardware sales rankings for the big three would probably be reversed right about now. Instead, PS4 is selling off the power of having the best console version of COD, FIFA, Madden, Watch Dogs, Diablo, Battlefield... etc.
HA!!!!

If you think having slightly better graphics is the reason why the PS4 is selling so well you're frakking crazy.

If that's the case, why did the PS2 the weakest of all the systems sell the best? In the end graphics aren't what sways most people (Talking consoles only) and you are crazy to think that it does.
 
Last December, Xbox One outsold the PS4 in the US, most likely because the PS4 was supply constrained.
OK, so it was never the case that the xbone outdid the Ps4 in terms of popularity
you mean WW or just NPD?

NPD : XB1 had december 2013 but that was because of PS4 supply.

WW: Won't happen . . . ever.

so worldwide, the Ps4 has consistently outsold the xbone ever since they were released... aside from that ONE week it was reported the xbone outsold it in the UK because of the price cut?
 
OK, so it was never the case that the xbone outdid the Ps4 in terms of popularity


so worldwide, the Ps4 has consistently outsold the xbone ever since they were released... aside from that ONE week it was reported the xbone outsold it in the UK because of the price cut?

Sony announced 10m PS4 SOLD through back in Augest.

Last we heard from MS is 5m SHIPPED X1 units.

So in reality PS4 is 2:1 and increasing the gap as we speak.
 
Sony announced 10m PS4 SOLD through back in Augest.

Last we heard from MS is 5m SHIPPED X1 units.

So in reality PS4 is 2:1 and increasing the gap as we speak.
Yes, although that's worldwide. UK and US the gap isn't as great, but it's still probably insurmountable for MS. That said, winning September NPDs could be the beginning of a great comeback story.
 
Yeah this no games thing is either sarcasm or genuine ignorance. PS4 is also most likely have the largest library of any next gen console due to it getting the Japanese third party games as well as the Western third party games. SCE have potential for a larger output.


I think the no games line comes from the fact it's a nice big list but only a handful I'd be excited about

But people have different tastes so if you love every game then good for you....enjoy being broke
 
HA!!!!

If you think having slightly better graphics is the reason why the PS4 is selling so well you're frakking crazy.

If that's the case, why did the PS2 the weakest of all the systems sell the best? In the end graphics aren't what sways most people (Talking consoles only) and you are crazy to think that it does.

You do realize that the PS2 released 13 months earlier in NA, and like 17 months earlier WW? Thus giving the PS2 a far larger library at the time the Xbox launched and besides that was one of the cheapest DVD players on the market at the time, not to mention being cheaper at least initially [iirc]

The XB1 versus PS4 comparison has none of that. Both have blu-ray players, both came out within a week of each other, and the game libraries while different are very very close compared to previous generations. There is likely some effect however small that the power difference plays as it has been shown a great amount of exposure due to the articles on it.

TL;DR Trying to correlate PS2 selling the best as somehow proof that the power of a system is irrelevant across all comparisons is dumb and illogical
 
I think the no games line comes from the fact it's a nice big list but only a handful I'd be excited about

But people have different tastes so if you love every game then good for you....enjoy being broke
I've got the 'PS4s got no games' argument pretty much down to a science.

1. Start with all PS4 games
2. Take out all the indie downloadable games, because they're not real games
3. Take out all the multiplatform games, since they're on other systems and don't count
4. Take out any remaining PS exclusive, non indie games that you personally aren't interested in for whatever reason

If you follow steps 1-4 carefully you should be left with ~0 games, thus proving the maxim.
 
Yes, although that's worldwide. UK and US the gap isn't as great, but it's still probably insurmountable for MS. That said, winning September NPDs could be the beginning of a great comeback story.

You mean NPD comeback, because WW X1 is almost dead everywhere. my very optimistic prediction would put it at 40m LTD.
 
I've got the 'PS4s got no games' argument pretty much down to a science.

1. Start with all PS4 games
2. Take out all the indie downloadable games, because they're not real games
3. Take out all the multiplatform games, since they're on other systems and don't count
4. Take out any remaining PS exclusive, non indie games that you personally aren't interested in for whatever reason

If you follow steps 1-4 carefully you should be left with ~0 games, thus proving the maxim.

Lol that sounds about right. Is this going to be worked in to a high school curriculum at some point?
 

Toparaman

Banned
Less than 24 hours before Mr. Pachter shows up in this thread and serves us each a plate of fresh crow. Get your forks and knives ready now, ladies and gentlemen, because it's gonna be a long meal.

I can just imagine Pachter dressed up as a waiter with a vindictive smile on his face.

Really though, if it happens it will be one of the greatest moments in GAF history.
 
You do realize that the PS2 released 13 months earlier in NA, and like 17 months earlier WW? Thus giving the PS2 a far larger library at the time the Xbox launched and besides that was one of the cheapest DVD players on the market at the time, not to mention being cheaper at least initially [iirc]

The XB1 versus PS4 comparison has none of that. Both have blu-ray players, both came out within a week of each other, and the game libraries while different are very very close compared to previous generations. There is likely some effect however small that the power difference plays as it has been shown a great amount of exposure due to the articles on it.

TL;DR Trying to correlate PS2 selling the best as somehow proof that the power of a system is irrelevant across all comparisons is dumb and illogical

I've got the 'PS4s got no games' argument pretty much down to a science.

1. Start with all PS4 games
2. Take out all the indie downloadable games, because they're not real games
3. Take out all the multiplatform games, since they're on other systems and don't count
4. Take out any remaining PS exclusive, non indie games that you personally aren't interested in for whatever reason

If you follow steps 1-4 carefully you should be left with ~0 games, thus proving the maxim.

As rough as that sounds it's not far off...The indie titles this year have been pretty average. .third party has been pretty sparse and the other first party titles I'm interested in are broken (driveclub) or not released yet (lbp3)

The highlights of my year have been infamous..destiny and shadow of mordor

I hope there are no driveclub like issues with lbp3

And where the he'll is planetside? ?
 

Rymuth

Member
I've got the 'PS4s got no games' argument pretty much down to a science.

1. Start with all PS4 games
2. Take out all the indie downloadable games, because they're not real games
3. Take out all the multiplatform games, since they're on other systems and don't count
4. Take out any remaining PS exclusive, non indie games that you personally aren't interested in for whatever reason

If you follow steps 1-4 carefully you should be left with ~0 games, thus proving the maxim.
This equation needs to be carved in stone, frozen in carbonate and displayed on a mantle somewhere because it's so painfully true.

Shall we call it The Neuromancer Theorem or Neuromancer's Constant?
 

Synth

Member
Many would argue that the ps2 area takin games even from other systems are and will go down as the best time in history to be a gamer and the ps2 was at the top of that era and with it some of the best games ever made

This is a late response, but oh well.

I think a lot of the time, when people highlight the PS2 as being a golden age of gaming, it's often mostly because the PS2 was always their first choice of console regardless. So if today the PS4 were to outsell other consoles 10:1, PS4 owners would likely be ecstatic because they'd rarely ever see any releases outside of first party games, for any console they don't own. I'd say the SNES/Genesis era was the best time in history to be a gamer personally. The PS2 era was just the best time in history to be an exclusively Sony gamer.

Now as someone that owned all consoles that gen (DC/PS2/GCN/Xbox), I honestly don't think it was such a great thing that Sony ran away with it so easily, especially not initially when they had a very weak line-up in comparison to the Dreamcast, but had no problems killing it anyway. At the time, I was enjoying things that Sega was doing to push console gaming forwards, by including a modem, establishing an online network (we had DreamArena over here rather than SegaNet). I was playing Quake 3 online with my friends on PC, playing Phantasy Star Online and communicating with players in Japan, taking part in online time trial competitions in Sonic Adventure, downloading small DLC content to the VMU, etc... and yet due to the console's failure to grab more of a market, these things weren't managing to become more of a standard as Sony didn't require them to win. This continued when Microsoft came along with the original Xbox and brought with it a persistent online network, and amazing experiences like Halo 2, Project Gotham 2, Rainbow Six 3 and more. It wasn't until the 360 came along and Xbox Live became too big to ignore, that Sony began to get its act together in regards to online gaming, and by the time they did, their OS choices had prevented it from truly competing with the XBL feature set the 360 had, as they had only really prepared to compete with the XBL functionality of the previous gen.

In a way I feel like this has continued this gen as well, with PS4's OS and online functionality becoming more competitive with that of the 360 (such as having party chat finally), but falls significantly behind what the current Xbox OS now offers. Honestly, I'd hate to think where we'd be with console online gaming if Xbox Live hadn't picked up where Sega left off. We may be closer to Nintendo's level of online functionality across the board, then what we have today. A lot of what PS4 owners like about the PS4 would probably be very different had the PS3 "Dreamcasted" the Xbox 360 last gen.
 
If Pachter is wrong by a wide margin, can we come down to consensus that he is very bad at his job? I mean, he has many clients that involve directly in gaming business and probably has direct sources from retailers. It should be very easy for him to get his prediction very close to the real number.
 

Anth0ny

Member
HA!!!!

If you think having slightly better graphics is the reason why the PS4 is selling so well you're frakking crazy.

If that's the case, why did the PS2 the weakest of all the systems sell the best? In the end graphics aren't what sways most people (Talking consoles only) and you are crazy to think that it does.

I answered this a few posts later:

For the same price, why would you buy the system that has the worse version of COD? FIFA? Madden? These are the most popular games on the planet. The system with the best version of them is going to sell the best.

PS2/Xbox isn't applicable because that was an era of the third party exclusivety where PS2 fucking dominated. PS2 had a shit load of games that Xbox or Gamecube did not, or that Xbox didn't get til waaaaaaaaaaaaay later (the biggest being MGS and GTA). It's not really the case here with Xbone and PS4. They have the same third party output, just one is more powerful than the other.
 
You honestly think your average consumer cares about where multiplats look better? They didn't care on Xbox/PS2 and they didn't care last gen either, PS3 was toe to toe with 360 in software sales..
HA!!!!

If you think having slightly better graphics is the reason why the PS4 is selling so well you're frakking crazy.

If that's the case, why did the PS2 the weakest of all the systems sell the best? In the end graphics aren't what sways most people (Talking consoles only) and you are crazy to think that it does.


PS1/PS2 -> were powerful consoles at reasonable prices back in the day (1994/2000)

Sony, Squaresoft, etc shared the same vision, PS1/PS2 completely dominated the domestic market, Japanese games dominated the world, there were tons of great exclusives ...


PS3/360 -> western multiplats dominate the console market, and 360 is cheaper and runs multiplats better ... MS defeats Sony and Nintendo in US/UK.

Obviously PS is a huge global brand, so the PS3 is going to hit 90 M early next year.

For example, the PS3 got 58% of its sales from outside US+JP, and 25% of its sales outside US+EU+JP.


PS4/XBO -> For the same price, PlayStation console runs multiplats better... PS4 is outselling the XBO 2-to-1.
 
If Pachter is wrong by a wide margin, can we come down to consensus that he is very bad at his job? I mean, he has many clients that involve directly in gaming business and probably has direct sources from retailers. It should be very easy for him to get his prediction very close to the real number.

Just read the thread, man. Or read my posts, at least. I've said a lot on this already.
 
Ps1 dominated because Sega were leaking cash and Nintendo went down the cartridge route which 3rd parties hated

The ps2 was hideously overpriced and launched with no competition

If anything I think competition has improved things from a gaming perspective and the fact we have 2 strong Consoles is a good thing gaming wise
 
Ps1 dominated because Sega were leaking cash and Nintendo went down the cartridge route which 3rd parties hated

The ps2 was hideously overpriced and launched with no competition

If anything I think competition has improved things from a gaming perspective and the fact we have 2 strong Consoles is a good thing gaming wise

U serious?
 
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